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Analyst

Walter Spracklin

RBC Capital Markets · covers Industrials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
17on tracked calls
Challenge rate
18%3 of 17 questions
Companies
3questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 17 of 17 questions from 3 companies

CSXCSX Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
CSX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

seeing pinch points from a structural standpoint, anything that might make you look a little bit harder at the CapEx?

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Mike said there are no structural capacity issues; aside from a few crew-tight locations the network handled the volume and can handle more, with ongoing work to improve capacity modeling.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Again, just trying to isolate for your company-specific growth so that hopefully, when the market improves

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Maryclare acknowledged closures offset some ID gains, confirmed net positive contribution but declined to quantify the growth split.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is there a mix effect at play here where we should we should build in some negative mix

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Mary Claire confirmed negative mix headwind from growth concentrated in lower-RPU segments like intermodal, minerals, and fertilizers. Chemical, forest products, and auto headwinds in higher-RPU areas. Coal RPU stabilizing with high-vol more stable than PLV.

Calendar 2025 Q3

is it unreasonable to think that operations can perhaps reestablish and put the quicker than that

Supply ChainMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Mike confirmed the railroad is already running very well with best metrics in years. Projects add capacity and resiliency. Noted the Q1 lesson on having backup routes and said the stable foundation enables continuous improvement.

Calendar 2025 Q2

would it be out of the realm of possibility to say next year should be up mid-teens when we look at your earnings growth

Guidance ReliabilityMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sean acknowledged strong 2026 growth needed to meet 3-year targets, said 2026 should be double digits from headwind reversal and industrial development pipeline alone before economy factors.

Calendar 2025 Q1

you called out a favorable partner alignment in your international intermodal side as an opportunity. Can you expand a bit on that

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kevin clarified it was not a specific new contract reference but a broad portfolio positioning comment. Emphasized East Coast advantages from China decoupling and inland port initiatives.

Calendar 2024 Q4

is the Investor Day target of 243 still relevant, given where we are kind of stepping down in 2025

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Sean firmly reiterated 3-year guidance, noting $10M/month construction costs fully reverse in 2026 as benefits. Assumption of commodity prices returning to 2024 averages by 2027 underpins the framework.

UNPUnion Pacific Corporation6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
UNP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Curious if whether when you were talking to CN, does this open the avenue now for more cooperation with CN?

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Vena said the merger enabled the CN deal but was noncommittal about further railroad agreements.

Calendar 2026 Q1

If the volume is indeed looking better compared to where it was in the fourth quarter, why wouldn't your EPS guide be up

ChallengingDemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Kenny noted lumber and auto SARs still negative at roughly 3% and 2-3%. Business development wins offsetting market softness. Truck market tightening could provide uplift if sustained.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Do you need pricing? Do you need volume to get north of a 100 basis basis points

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jim noted multiple levers are needed including productivity, price, and cost management, acknowledging the 4% wage increase pressure. He expressed confidence in OR improvement while noting Jennifer is appropriately more conservative in her outlook.

Calendar 2025 Q3

whether you can give us some context on how we characterize what you put in that document

Guidance ReliabilityM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jennifer explicitly stated S-4 numbers are not guidance but directional unstressed financials that excluded merger costs, assumed continued share repurchases, and did not include detailed commercial or operational deep dives.

Calendar 2025 Q2

have you ever quantified that as a total addressable market as to how much you could repatriate

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jim acknowledged the competitive opportunity to win Canadian-routed US-bound traffic, while Kenny cited new products from Tacoma to Chicago and the Twin Cities ramp.

Calendar 2024 Q4

where do you see the most opportunity for leverage, if we get a better macro

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Kenny highlighted renewable diesel facilities, Gulf Coast industrial development, and Inland Empire intermodal as key growth levers in a stronger macro environment.

NSCNorfolk Southern Railway4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
NSC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

you're seeing any green shoots on the demand side outside of truck pricing or just your own pricing

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ed cited 3 months of manufacturing above water and auto strength as green shoots but flagged housing, interest rates, and inflation as unresolved factors. Mark said calling an end to freight recession is premature but green shoots exist.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I think it was $260 million in total. Land sales, that I know you did north of $150 million land sales. Was that in the productivity number?

Cost PressureCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed $150M outsized land sales (Q3+Q4) are excluded from $216M productivity figure. CEO noted truck market recovery must be demand-led not supply-led, and hasn't seen a supply-side-led recovery in his career. Reduction in driver pool and truck count will help over time.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is there a metric you can kind of indicate where you're happy

Innovation & R&DMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

COO declined to single out one metric, emphasizing six network/asset/customer health indices working together like an 8-burner stove, with Zero-Based plan tightening standards across all dimensions.

Calendar 2024 Q4

So my question is what's kind of holding it back from a faster clip

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

COO emphatically stated nothing structural is holding back improvement, with disciplined continuous improvement approach across locomotive productivity, fuel, and purchase services while protecting customer service.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CSX CSX Corporation714%1 of 7 questions
UNP Union Pacific Corporation617%1 of 6 questions
NSC Norfolk Southern Railway425%1 of 4 questions
  • CSX
    CSX Corporation · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • UNP
    Union Pacific Corporation · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • NSC
    Norfolk Southern Railway · 4 questions
    25%1 of 4 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4367%2 of 3 questions3
2025 Q120%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q220%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q320%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q430%none of 3 questions3
2026 Q1333%1 of 3 questions3
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q43 questions · challenge rate 67% (2 of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  6. 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 33% (1 of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand6
  • Margin5
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Guidance Reliability4
  • Revenue Growth3
  • Cost Pressure3
  • M&A2
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Capex Investment1
  • Pricing1
Show all 13 topics
  • Supply Chain1
  • Geographic Expansion1
  • Innovation & R&D1