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Analyst

Andrew Charles

TD Cowen · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
48on tracked calls
Challenge rate
21%10 of 48 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 48 of 48 questions from 7 companies

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 4 of 9 challenging
CMG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

2Q's embedding a 50 basis points traffic decline that versus what you saw with 1Q 60 basis points gain

ChallengingRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Adam acknowledged the guidance is conservative, citing consumer environment uncertainty including Iran conflict and gas prices, but expressed belief in upside from Chipotle Honey Chicken and other initiatives.

the sustainability report published this week it indicated a large pickup in hourly turnover in 2025

ChallengingLabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Scott attributed 2025 turnover spike to an anomaly from sales deceleration reducing hours and the new hospitality focus requiring difficult staffing decisions, and confirmed Q1 turnover is back to historical lows.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I'm curious what you would need to see to slow development to intensify the focus on improving traffic

ChallengingGeographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Scott outlined three triggers to slow development: cannibalization exceeding historical levels, new restaurant productivity falling below 80%, or margin/ROI deterioration. None observed to date.

should we think about them being roughly evenly spaced around three months each? Or Al Pastore obviously has been a hero for you guys

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Scott confirmed four LTOs will span 8-12 months total with varying cadences. Flexibility to extend or reduce based on market trends.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what are you seeing just in early stages with the sales volumes and margin uplifts relative to the remainder of the restaurant fleet?

Innovation & R&DMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Adam quantified 2-3 hour daily labor efficiency per restaurant from equipment. Additional benefits expected from improved culinary consistency, better throughput, and catering platform unlock.

Calendar 2025 Q1

How should we think about the impact on new store CapEx? And I think you talked about how new store economics, 60%, while still very strong, diminished a bit

Trade TariffsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam quantified mid-single-digit CapEx increase from enacted tariffs, noting most exposure is China-sourced and situation remains in flux.

I'm curious what leads you to confidence that fast-casual competition won't impede your target for positive traffic in the back half of this year?

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Scott emphasized value proposition, speed advantage, and that new competitor openings near Chipotle actually increase area traffic. Adam added fast-casual is still small in overall restaurant space.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what is the gaining factor to getting that staffing of that position from 60% to closer to a 100%

Labor MarketMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott identified prep completion and break timing as the bottleneck. Back-of-house equipment modernization expected to unlock better expo compliance.

can you talk about the decision to keep March at the time to launch this upcoming chicken promotion when it possibly could have been accelerated

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott explained confidence in February barbacoa launch plus better linear TV reach and frequency in the March-April window. Strategic timing decision.

DRIDarden Restaurants9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
DRI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

can you remind us in the past how the Olive Garden business fares when there's acute spikes in gas prices?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Rick said correlation is low and $4 gas is no longer a shock, though sustained high prices could eventually weigh on the category. Direct.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Does the same-store sales guidance embed expansion of delivery, either via more brands adopting first party

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Rick said guidance does not contemplate third-party delivery; concerns remain on price transparency, data control, and tips.

Calendar 2026 Q1

is it fair to assume that a good portion of the converted Bahama Breezes will be Olive Gardens

Geographic ExpansionCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rick noted Olive Garden already present in most Bahama Breeze markets. Maybe a couple OG conversions but not the majority.

What do you attribute that to

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rick attributed catering growth to execution excellence, strong digital platform, and great value. Delivery part of catering is highest-rated part of their business.

Calendar 2025 Q4

does that embed any incremental pricing

PricingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Raj confirmed back-half pricing expected in mid-threes, full year close to 3%. Up from 2.2% in Q1 and 2.6% in Q2.

Do you believe are better addressable as ultimately contemplating the decision to add Olive Garden to third-party delivery

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Rick confirmed providers know Darden's concerns. Would look at it if solutions provided but won't elaborate on specific concerns publicly.

Calendar 2025 Q2

are you prioritizing expanding rolling out Uber Direct across the remaining brands

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rick confirmed focus remains on first-party delivery; marketplace still has challenges. Will evaluate before considering marketplace at all.

can you segue how that's going to look between food and labor

Cost PressureCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Raj provided clean split: food approximately 2.5%, labor approximately 3.5%.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can you just help level set the expectations for line items around G&A, interest expense, and depreciation for the year

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Raj provided specific G&A (~$470M), interest (~$47M/quarter), and depreciation guidance with Chuy's incorporated.

DPZDomino's8 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
DPZ company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

your willingness to use the balance sheet invest more heavily in the business via new equipment for franchisees

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Reddy said Investor Day priorities are unchanged and noted comfort operating below 4x leverage given higher rates, with no specific new investment.

is the message of low end of low-single-digit 2026 same store sales, US guidance 1%, or more like flat to 1%?

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Reddy declined to put a number on the low end of the U.S. comp range.

Calendar 2026 Q2

I'm curious if part of Q2's ticket mix can be explained by the value offers being offered in recent months

PricingCompetitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Weiner rejected the aggregator-discount premise in a single sentence, attributing the entire ticket miss to the premium series without addressing the specific offers cited.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm curious if you could speak to the narrowing performance between delivery and carryout

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Sandeep noted macro, competitive, and weather pressure impacted both channels. Carryout still grew 2.4% with material store growth driving retail sales. 20% carryout share vs 33% delivery = massive runway. Russell added franchisee pipeline strength signals confidence in future growth, people investing their own money.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I was wondering if you could help us understand your confidence in the compounding impact of aggregators in 2026

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Russell emphasized 1-in-3 off-platform share not yet matched on-platform. Uber tracking to expectations. DoorDash in first full quarter, expected to build steadily like Uber did. Sandeep noted Uber took time to build through its first year; DoorDash on same trajectory. Both growing simultaneously into 2026.

Calendar 2025 Q2

could we see Domino's play deeper in the chicken category, not just from menu innovation and marketing

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Russell noted nothing to announce but stores have more room from operations reinvention (no more box folding). Dom OS could coordinate a second cooking platform. Prepared if consumer demand warrants it.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how do you ensure this doesn't dent the incrementality of Uber

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Russell argued customer platform loyalty (not Domino's presence) drives platform choice. Sandeep emphasized delivery business will be discussed holistically going forward, not by individual platform.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the $162,000 of US store level cash flow in 2024. It trailed the initial $170,000 target issued at the December 2023 investor meeting

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Sandeep attributed shortfall to H2 sales softness and 4.4% food basket in Q4. Russell noted franchisees approved the 9.99 best deal ever promotion mid-quarter, showing their long-term commitment.

CAVACAVA Group, Inc.7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
CAVA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

can you talk about the levers at your disposal that if you needed, you could help pull?

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Charles pressed on levers to reaccelerate traffic amid food-safety publicity; Schulman pointed to marketing headroom and consistently great guest experience.

Calendar 2026 Q2

do you stock rank the drivers of that acceleration between white sweet potatoes, any marketing investment

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Tricia said no single factor drove the 9.7% comp, brand/cuisine, value, hospitality and white sweet potato all contributed; lower-income cohorts outperformed.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm curious what's embedded within the impact from new store maturation within the 3% to 5% guidance

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Direct: 2025's stronger opening class means a slightly larger new-store maturation drag on 2026 comps, which is built into the guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

are there opportunities with the growing scale of the brand to really just create more brand awareness

DemandCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Pointed to upper-funnel marketing at scale, speed-of-service improvement, and the COO's focus on the people-development pipeline (AGM role).

Calendar 2025 Q3

What do you attribute to the July improvement? You spoke about 2-year trends improving, but I'm curious if this is just easy comparisons.

Show response

CFO attributed the July acceleration primarily to lapping the June steak launch, coupled with guest-experience and media-mix work; declined to reset the long-term comp algorithm.

Calendar 2025 Q2

It did look like it was still solidly positive in 1Q, but it did seem a little bit lower than last, say, three quarters

Show response

Tricia attributed the read to 1.7% menu pricing within combined price/mix and said premium attachment and steak incidence remain strong. Direct.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how big of a traffic opportunity does this represent during peak periods?

Show response

Management declined to quantify the traffic prize but pointed to early speed and service gains from the new deployment model.

SBUXStarbucks6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
SBUX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you guys talked about the opportunity in 2027 to slow development, you know, step up closures of underperforming stores

ChallengingCapex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Niccol conceded the prior development strategy was poor and framed closures as cleanup that a recovering base makes easier to identify. Candid rather than defensive.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how the improved value perceptions play into your 2026 pricing plans

Show response

Brian ruled out broad-based pricing, emphasizing strategic and targeted use as a last lever. Cathy added Q1 should be led by positive transaction comps with earnings lagging as Green Apron investment annualizes.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how many Mobile Order and Pay stores are in the portfolio as you go through the process of system optimization?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Brian quantified 80-90 MOP-only stores. On the executive bonus tied to OpEx reduction through FY2027, he acknowledged the incentive exists but declined to share specific reduction targets.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what levers does the brand have as disposal to protect US traffic if the macro would deteriorate further?

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brian positioned Starbucks as an affordable luxury resilient in downturns, noting best offense is a great third-place experience, strong drinks, and barista connection. Innovation pipeline has items that could cut through any environment.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can you talk a little bit more about Tressie Lieberman's plan of attack to help build on the initial marketing work around reintroducing the brand?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Brian described the shift from discount dollars to working brand dollars but deferred on specific spend levels. Rachel added marketing as % of revenue is close to doubling but offset by reduced discounts.

Calendar 2024 Q3

I'm curious what your view is on the Siren system automated technology and if this is something

Capex InvestmentInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Niccol called Siren Craft a key throughput unlock and said rollout will be sized to each store's bottleneck rather than a fixed annual pace.

MCDMcDonald's Corporation5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 2 of 5 challenging
MCD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

is it right to think that [ ILD ] is going to really be driving a lot more and pulling a lot more of its weight than you originally expected

Capital AllocationGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO said no significant shift expected in development mix. CEO emphasized tremendous financial firepower in the system despite franchisee cash flow pressures, with no concerns about ability to open at a strong pace.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you talk more about the U.S. McOpCo margin contraction in 3Q and help unpack as a bigger headwind this quarter

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ian confirmed US F&P basket still expected low to mid-single-digit for the year; beef inflation up but MCD's supply chain cushions vs most.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what are you monitoring for to decide if this is something you're looking to expand further

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Chris framed the beverage test as binary: the 500-restaurant test will directly inform a decision on full market expansion rather than incremental pilot steps.

Calendar 2025 Q1

moderate U.S. same-store sales embedded within your 2025 U.S. McOpCo outlook

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ian reaffirmed slight year-over-year McOpCo margin improvement despite uncertainty in the external environment.

Calendar 2024 Q4

we're estimating about a 14% decline in US Mexico's 2024 store-level cash flows. So I'm curious

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ian declined to validate the 14% figure but pointed to inflationary pressure in Europe (beef prices) and confidence in cash flow improvement.

Show 1 more company
YUMYum! Brands4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
YUM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

does that imply trends are somewhere down 20 over the last 2 weeks since publicity started

ChallengingDemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Roy neither confirmed nor denied the implied down-20% math, saying only that recent days are well within that level and both sides of it over 10 days.

Calendar 2026 Q1

does the KFC development guidance for the year reflect the ripple effect of the Middle East conflict

Geographic ExpansionSupply ChainGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Turner confirmed no change to KFC outlook, Middle East is mid-single-digit % of pipeline. Roy expressed more confidence in Taco Bell than earlier in year, raised margin guide.

Calendar 2025 Q3

what needs to happen for that to be rolled out more broadly

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO confirmed 13 Live Mas Cafes open, targeting 30 as pilot group. Good consumer response. Refrescas already a system-wide lift-and-shift from cafe pilot, showing benefit to entire system before full rollout.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is it realistic to expect that Taco Bell is up 10% performance on a 2-year basis can persist throughout 2025

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed April trends continuing Q1 momentum, cited expanding penetration, strong value positioning with $5/$7/$9 boxes, category-of-one innovation pipeline that competitors cannot copy.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill944%4 of 9 questions
DRI Darden Restaurants90%none of 9 questions
DPZ Domino's813%1 of 8 questions
CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.714%1 of 7 questions
SBUX Starbucks617%1 of 6 questions
MCD McDonald's Corporation540%2 of 5 questions
YUM Yum! Brands425%1 of 4 questions
  • CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill · 9 questions
    44%4 of 9 questions
  • DRI
    Darden Restaurants · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • DPZ
    Domino's · 8 questions
    13%1 of 8 questions
  • CAVA
    CAVA Group, Inc. · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • SBUX
    Starbucks · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • MCD
    McDonald's Corporation · 5 questions
    40%2 of 5 questions
  • YUM
    Yum! Brands · 4 questions
    25%1 of 4 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q4633%2 of 6 questions5
2025 Q1714%1 of 7 questions6
2025 Q270%none of 7 questions6
2025 Q3520%1 of 5 questions5
2025 Q4520%1 of 5 questions3
2026 Q1825%2 of 8 questions6
2026 Q2540%2 of 5 questions5
2026 Q3425%1 of 4 questions3
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 33% (2 of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q17 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  4. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  8. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 40% (2 of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  9. 2026 Q34 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand19
  • Revenue Growth9
  • Competitive Dynamics9
  • Guidance Reliability8
  • Margin8
  • Product Launch7
  • Cost Pressure7
  • Innovation & R&D6
  • Capital Allocation4
  • Capex Investment4
Show all 16 topics
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Pricing4
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Labor Market2
  • Supply Chain1
  • Trade Tariffs1