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Analyst

Brian Harbour

Morgan Stanley · covers Consumer Cyclical, Consumer Defensive

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
51on tracked calls
Challenge rate
4%2 of 51 questions
Companies
8questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 51 of 51 questions from 8 companies

DRIDarden Restaurants11 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 11 challenging
DRI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Three percent commodity inflation seems pretty good in this environment. Is this a prime example of where your scale

Cost PressureSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Raj credited owned distribution and scale for outperforming market commodity costs by mid-to-high single digits.

Calendar 2026 Q1

it is still your expectation that food cost pressure continues to diminish a bit into the fourth quarter

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed Q4 implies margin growth across most P&L lines. Declined to specify individual line items, manages holistically for bottom line.

Anything that you would call out about income bands that may have shifted

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed growth above $50k across all brands, biggest from $150k+. Fine dining strongest above $200k. Larger disparity between lower and higher income cohorts.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what kinda gives you the confidence that that starts to come down by 4Q

Cost PressureCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Raj cited retail demand destruction accelerating (November steaks down ~14%), prices starting to improve, 45% coverage locked for back half. Beef production increased to near prior year levels recently.

is that kinda where you expected to be at at this point

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Rick confirmed pleased with 4% without Q2 marketing. Tracking with overall to-go business. Marketing options available to drive higher if desired.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What -- are you seeing sort of a different guest that is asking for that?

Show response

Rick said lighter portions will dilute check slightly if guests trade down, but believe it will drive traffic long term. Seeing slightly more frequency already without marketing.

could you talk about sort of contracting through the balance of the year and sort of what gives you visibility

Cost PressureCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Raj explained only 25% beef coverage for next 6 months due to belief that elevated prices are unsustainable. Beef and tariff-impacted shrimp are biggest variables.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what -- roughly what pricing do you expect to run in the coming year

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Raj projected mid-2s pricing for FY2026, starting close to 2% in Q1 and rising. Pricing will still likely be below total inflation.

what form would that take? Would it be more on the food side?

Capital AllocationInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rick described investments in affordability (menu mix), labor for speed of service, and continued pricing below inflation. Investments in 10-20 basis point range.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how would you kind of characterize what has driven Olive Garden in recent months?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rick attributed more of the momentum to fan favorites LTO than delivery, which wasn't broadly rolled out until February.

Calendar 2024 Q4

was it fairly material at some of the stores where you've rolled out so far

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rick shared Uber Direct is 6% of to-go with growing order volume, higher average order than pickup, and 15% of orders include catering items.

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
CMG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

What -- I guess, what is it that's specifically changing? Or like at your conference, what did you kind of zero in on

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Scott cited measurable improvements in staffing KPIs, GM turnover at historic lows, and rising taste of food and GSAT scores coming out of the All Managers Conference push.

can you just talk about the traffic and mix components of same-store sales and kind of what your outlook

Revenue GrowthPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Adam broke down comp: transactions +60bps, check -10bps (price +90bps offset by -100bps mix from lower group size, BYOC cannibalization, snack occasions). Expects mix closer to flat in Q2.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I assume because I think the slicers are probably just now starting to have an impact. So I guess I might infer that, that was from other initiatives

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Adam gave detailed breakdown: in-restaurant flow-of-food initiatives plus supply chain savings from supplier diversification and logistics optimization yielded 30-40bps net gain beyond the portion investment offset.

the way you're thinking about it is sort of similar -- from June, July sort of similar trends holding through the balance of the year?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Adam confirmed ~8% two-year comp expected to continue into H2 with fall campaign replacing summer initiatives. Expect to maintain or build upon current trend.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Was that an output of, you know, did some of your survey work, for example, indicate any sort of deficiency there

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Scott explained hospitality push came from a problem detection study showing cleanliness and friendliness gaps. Already seeing refunds drop and brand perception improve.

Could you elaborate on what items are affected there? I don't know if it's, you know, any other packaging items

Trade TariffsCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam detailed COGS impact: beef from Australia, packaging from Vietnam/Indonesia/Thailand, avocados from Colombia/Peru. New build impacts from lumber, shelving, China-sourced items.

Calendar 2024 Q4

How would you sort of contextualize the performance of brisket this time relative to, the past iteration of that and other LTOs

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Adam highlighted strong performance with broad protein switching, new customer acquisition, and sustained incidence. Noted pent-up demand from years without brisket.

does it actually sort of like change labor hours needed? If people can, I don't know, show up an hour later, for example

Innovation & R&DMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott confirmed both labor redeployment and margin capture from equipment. Detailed efficiency gains for dual-vat fryer, plancha, and rice cooker.

SBUXStarbucks8 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
SBUX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I’m curious how much you think kind of the uplifts are helping you right now in the U.S.

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Qualitative on uplift performance across formats and dayparts; Smith added the $150,000 average investment and overnight execution, but no per-store transaction lift was quantified.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm curious if you could talk about sort of the -- just the service times.

Show response

Niccol confirmed 80% of stores hitting 4/4/12 targets. Scheduled ordering rolling out in May expected to improve MOP queue management. Team also learning to better sequence mobile orders from on-premise customers.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I think sort of inherent in what you talked about was some additional cost opportunities, and it sounded like that's this year, but also over the next couple

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brian outlined $2 billion cost reduction program over next two to three years across entire P&L including G&A, procurement, and technology. Emphasized it is not dependent on a single project but a diversified portfolio of initiatives with clear ownership.

Calendar 2025 Q3

when you talk about leveling up Green Apron Service, could you talk about what that means from sort of an incremental investment perspective

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Brian confirmed no additional investment needed beyond initial Green Apron rollout; future labor growth will be earned through transaction growth. Cathy added Green Apron investment will annualize into early FY2026; coffee expected as headwind at least through first half.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Could you talk about sort of how fast you would expect that to spread through the whole company store base?

Cost PressureDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Brian confirmed mid-August rollout start with assistant managers part of the roster. Noted it takes time for partners to reach rhythm and customers to recognize improved experience before transactions respond.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Could you comment on just the menu simplification you did. I think the thought before was that, that wouldn't have too much of an impact on transactions

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brian dismissed concern about simplification hurting transactions, citing 80% increase in stores with positive transaction comps. Innovation pipeline being rebuilt using stage gate process for food, drinks, and afternoon daypart.

Calendar 2024 Q4

What needs to change there? I guess, how much do you expect that to change?

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Brian explained the reorganization creates accountability through new Chief Store Officer and Chief Development Officer roles. Rachel confirmed G&A savings start in Q4 but full-year G&A still higher due to lapping lower performance-based comp.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Do you have a sense for what that will be so far and roughly what the timing would be

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Niccol said menu simplification spans beverage and food and is underway, and will reinstate a stage-gate innovation process, but gave no SKU count or timeline.

MCDMcDonald's Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
MCD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What was the reason for the lower franchisee participation just in the EDAP program

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO said about 1/3 of the system didn't follow recommended EDAP pricing (10 items under $3 leaves wide latitude vs a fixed $5 deal); noncompliance is now factored into franchisee business reviews affecting growth eligibility.

Calendar 2026 Q1

could you just elaborate on sort of the need for another iteration? How often do you think you will change that?

ChallengingPricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO explained need for both meal deals and everyday affordable price points. Noted France was an exception lacking strong programs on both dimensions, now being fixed.

Calendar 2025 Q4

It will probably end up being up by $1.5 billion versus '23. Is that exclusively because you want to move faster

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ian attributed the CapEx increase to December 2023 Investor Day commitments, FX headwinds, and building ahead on 2026-2027 pipeline with returns meeting expectations.

Calendar 2025 Q3

are you seeing yourselves take share across different income cohorts? I mean, do you think that the value push

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Chris said value matters to all income cohorts, not just low-income; EVMs and McValue attract the upper income consumer too.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how should we sort of gauge the success of those? I mean are you already seeing some cost benefits

Cloud & AICapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Chris walked through consumer, restaurant and company platform benefits; Ian reinforced 2025-2027 as the investment phase before efficiency benefits flow.

Calendar 2025 Q1

you're still running something like mid-single digit menu pricing in the U.S.

ChallengingPricingMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ian acknowledged ongoing mix adjustment through Q2 until lapping the June 2024 $5 Meal launch in Q3.

Calendar 2024 Q4

roughly where you'd expect unit growth to be in the US versus IOM

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ian gave specific mix (about 70% IOM of wholly-owned) and confirmed new-unit first-year returns in the low to mid-teens area.

CAVACAVA Group, Inc.6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
CAVA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

with Salmon, is it still your expectation you'll keep that through year-end?

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Harbour asked about Salmon's staying power and mix drivers; Tolivar said incidence was in line and constant, with premium attachments also aiding mix.

Calendar 2026 Q2

could you comment on what you have seen from Salmon so far? I guess, the core date kinda suggests it is doing well

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brett said salmon is performing in line with market tests; not committed as an everyday item but expected to run through Q4 at minimum.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what are some things that you think can really make the difference as we think about this year and next

Labor MarketCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Direct: top operations priorities are the people-development pipeline, elevating hospitality, and consistency of execution every location, every shift.

Calendar 2025 Q4

The change to store margin guidance is that really just reflective of the sales environment?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Attributed the margin cut to Q3 sales plus persistent higher repair-and-maintenance costs; preopening is up on more units under construction and GM travel to high-volume markets.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Do you think some of the kind of the macro pressures were what explained how you did in the 2Q?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CFO acknowledged the macro fog on consumers but attributed the deceleration mainly to lapping the steak launch and the 2024 class honeymoon effect, noting no change in premium attachments or incident rates.

Calendar 2025 Q1

could you just talk about some of the moving parts there? It sounds like food would be sort of a pressure.

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO walked through steak cost impact, low-single-digit food inflation, and no outsized labor investments planned, a direct answer.

DPZDomino's6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
DPZ company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

what actions might you take to continue to support franchisee profits?

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Jordan pointed to the marketing calendar and DomOS with its orchestration agent to improve store consistency.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm curious if you think advertising effectiveness has changed to some extent

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Russell acknowledged they can get better in all aspects. CMO Kate Trumbull working closely with agency on new stories for H2. Not just spending the most money, need most compelling stories too. Russell (former CMO) said he's really excited about stories on the H2 calendar.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is there any texture you'd add to that as you look at your own business, whether it's certain customer groups, you know, any differences delivery versus carryout

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sandeep declined to discuss current quarter trends in detail. Broad observation about restaurant industry sequential slowing. Initiatives unchanged but monitoring macro. Russell separately confirmed brand refresh costs funded by ad fund (addressing prior Christine Cho follow-up).

Calendar 2025 Q2

is, you know, some of the pressure that you're still seeing kind of on the corporate stores, are franchisees seeing something similar

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sandeep separated corporate store noise (insurance charge in Q2) from franchisee EBITDA which remains very good and expected to grow. Food inflation heavier H1, lighter H2, full-year low single digits unchanged.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is your expectation on units that any closures going forward therefore be just more normal course

Geographic ExpansionMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Sandeep confirmed remaining closures will be normal-course, unit guidance unchanged. The 1-2% international SSS guide bakes in macro and geopolitical deceleration from Q1 levels.

Calendar 2024 Q4

was the point gain consistent across both of those in you know, in 2024

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Russell confirmed share gains in both channels. Sandeep emphasized expect balanced growth between delivery/carryout and ticket/transaction in 2025 with continued pricing discipline.

Show 2 more companies
YUMYum! Brands3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
YUM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

are there some specific investments that you’re asking, you know, franchisees to make related to kind of brand image

Capex InvestmentProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Turner clarified the global scope and named the UK and Australia as lead markets, but did not quantify the franchisee investment the question specifically asked about.

Calendar 2025 Q2

What needs to be done differently there? And I'm not sure if those were comments that apply across different markets

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO pointed to Scott Mezvinsky spreading Taco Bell's value gospel at KFC globally, seeing business strengthen on backs of embracing value going into Q3 and second half.

Calendar 2024 Q4

are you suggesting that there's a pretty significant acceleration and roll out of that this year? Have you sort of accounted for the net impact of that in the guidance

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management confirmed Byte umbrella will accelerate long-term deployment, cited KFC kiosk-driven digital growth, France loyalty sales up 40%, and planned expansion to five additional markets.

SYYSysco2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
SYY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

just the questions that have come up as part of the FTC review process for Restaurant Depot

M&ARegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Kevin said the questions were as expected and laid out the pro-deal case (separate channels, no price increases) but did not detail the specific FTC asks.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Can you just talk about your confidence in sort of private label penetration, right? Based on your comments, it sounded like maybe it had been running higher just due to the environment

Show response

Kevin broke down penetration by customer type: up for mom-and-pop, down for small chains due to improved national brand fill rates. Trade management deals being deployed to recover share.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
DRI Darden Restaurants110%none of 11 questions
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill80%none of 8 questions
SBUX Starbucks80%none of 8 questions
MCD McDonald's Corporation729%2 of 7 questions
CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.60%none of 6 questions
DPZ Domino's60%none of 6 questions
YUM Yum! Brands30%none of 3 questions
SYY Sysco2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • DRI
    Darden Restaurants · 11 questions
    0%none of 11 questions
  • CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • SBUX
    Starbucks · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • MCD
    McDonald's Corporation · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • CAVA
    CAVA Group, Inc. · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • DPZ
    Domino's · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • YUM
    Yum! Brands · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • SYY
    Sysco · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q320%none of 2 questions2
2024 Q470%none of 7 questions6
2025 Q1714%1 of 7 questions6
2025 Q280%none of 8 questions6
2025 Q360%none of 6 questions5
2025 Q450%none of 5 questions4
2026 Q1813%1 of 8 questions6
2026 Q260%none of 6 questions6
2026 Q320%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2024 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q17 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  4. 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  8. 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 6 companies
  9. 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Cost Pressure15
  • Demand15
  • Margin12
  • Competitive Dynamics10
  • Product Launch8
  • Pricing8
  • Revenue Growth6
  • Innovation & R&D5
  • Capex Investment5
  • Macroeconomic4
Show all 19 topics
  • Geographic Expansion3
  • Cloud & AI2
  • Supply Chain1
  • M&A1
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Labor Market1
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Trade Tariffs1