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Analyst

David Tarantino

Robert W. Baird · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
48on tracked calls
Challenge rate
13%6 of 48 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 48 of 48 questions from 7 companies

SBUXStarbucks8 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
SBUX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how long can you keep up the same-store sales momentum that you’re seeing currently

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Niccol answered directly, attributing momentum to Green Apron staffing and routines and naming remaining runway in both dayparts, though without quantifying a comp ceiling.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how much runway you think the operations improvements alone still have in terms of being able to drive comps

DemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Niccol pointed to 40% of stores still below 4-shot Grow scorecard as clear upside opportunity. Coffeehouse uplifts only at 300 stores with 1,000+ planned by fiscal year-end and 8,000+ target thereafter. Lead stores continue to perform.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how much benefit you might have seen from the transfer of the sales from the stores that you closed

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brian quantified approximately 0.5pp of comp from sales transfer, confirming the remaining ~3.5pp was organic. Both non-Rewards and Rewards transactions grew. Pilot 650 stores continue to outperform fleet by about 200 basis points in comp.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you talk about where you are in the journey after only maybe a couple of months in place

DemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Brian explained they are only 8-9 weeks into full rollout and seeing week-over-week improvement. Initial 650 pilot stores continue to outpace the broader portfolio, suggesting further upside as newer stores mature.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you maybe just frame up some of the cost offsets you mentioned to that number and whether you think it's possible to fully offset that number

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Cathy acknowledged extensive opportunities across COGS, operating expenses, and G&A but declined to quantify offsets, noting work spans FY26-28 for durable cost structure improvements.

Calendar 2025 Q1

should we think about a slower pace of unit growth in the near term that eventually accelerates later as you do this evaluation?

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brian confirmed slower near-term builds while resetting renovation and new build costs, then ramp back up. Still sees potential to double US store count with right cost structure.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can you maybe talk about whether that was comparison-related, or do you think you're seeing some underlying structural improvement?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Brian directly addressed both drivers: shift from discounting to broad marketing attracted non-rewards customers, and morning daypart showed sequential improvement.

Calendar 2024 Q3

I was just curious if you could elaborate on what are some of the elements you're seeking

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Niccol described lowering renovation cost, separating mobile pickup and warmer cafe design, but deferred on the remodel-cycle schedule.

CAVACAVA Group, Inc.7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
CAVA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I wanted to revisit the question on new unit productivity, which has been strong for several quarters in a row.

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Tarantino asked how broad-based the strong new-unit productivity is; Tolivar said it spans all geographies and formats, aided by rising brand awareness.

Calendar 2026 Q2

are there other factors that are limiting the flow through on the additional revenue that are worth calling out

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Tricia attributed the margin caution to salmon, energy/fuel surcharges and digital-mix OpEx; noted the top-end RLM guide was raised 10bps.

Calendar 2026 Q1

any other changes do you think you need to accomplish the growth you want to beyond this year?

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Direct: infrastructure/tech is in place; the biggest governor to growth is deepening the people-development pipeline as CAVA scales toward 100+ units/year.

Calendar 2025 Q4

And I was wondering if you could just address that change and why that happened?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Framed the transition as proactive rather than reactive; cited the intense discount environment and doubling down on guest experience, but gave no specifics on the change.

Calendar 2025 Q3

if I look at the guidance for the full year, the midpoint would assume something in the neighborhood of 3% or a little bit better than that in the second half

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CFO confirmed the trend line is tracking to the implied second-half comp, with exit rates above the 2.1% Q2 print and continued acceleration into Q3.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I was hoping you could comment on the performance for the brand and some of the newer markets that you entered

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Tricia noted the quarter ended April 20 (post-Liberation Day captured) and that new markets (Indianapolis/Fishers, South Florida, Lafayette) meet or exceed expectations. Direct.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what you've seen out of the 2024 class and whether the new targets are anchored on what you're seeing

Show response

CFO confirmed the 2024 vintage is outperforming 2023 and underpins the raised AUV and returns targets.

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
CMG company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

I was wondering if you could comment on where you think the full year restaurant margin would shake out on a comp that's about flat

Show response

Adam detailed Q1 pricing-inflation gap of ~250bps margin headwind. Full-year pricing 1-2% vs inflation 3-4% creating ~150bps YoY margin decline. Plus 10-20bps higher ad promo and 20bps gift card comp headwind. Gap narrows throughout year.

what is the path then from this baseline to get to, I guess, margins approaching 30%?

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Adam confirmed pricing dislocation resolved by year-end, then transaction-driven flow-through to reach 27-28% and beyond at $4M AUV. Scott added 1-2% pricing vs industry 4% strengthens value proposition and preserves pricing power for future years.

Calendar 2025 Q2

there's some debate in the investment community about whether Chipotle is just reaching a scale at which it's going to be tough to drive that kind of comp growth

ChallengingRevenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Scott attributed weakness to macro, noted low-income consumers shifting to QSR $5 meals. Acknowledged need to think differently about value at Chipotle but maintained confidence in mid-single-digit path.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how did you diagnose that it was all macro and not something specific to Chipotle?

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Scott cited record brand tracker rankings (top 3 in 15 perceptual drivers), all-time low turnover, all-time high staffing, and continued digital innovation as evidence the issue is macro, not brand-specific.

does that give you the same answer when you look at it that way in terms of how you're guiding for the rest of the year?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam confirmed the trend line yields 0-1% full-year comp, and initiatives should build to low single-digit. Full-year mid-single-digit would require macro relief.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I was just hoping that maybe you could elaborate on how you're thinking the comp trajectory could play out as the year goes on

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Adam gave detailed quarter-by-quarter trajectory: Q1 flattish transactions due to tough LTO comps, Q2 low point from strong prior year, then step-up in Q3/Q4 to reach full-year guide.

Are you assuming something similar out of honey chicken, as you thought it Chicken Al Pastor?

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott confirmed honey chicken is NOT in the guidance, providing potential upside. Signaled mid-to-late March launch timeframe.

DPZDomino's7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
DPZ company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

give us a sense of the magnitude of the up and down around the order counts and the ticket growth

DemandPricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Reddy confirmed order counts met plan and ticket missed, but withheld the magnitudes; Weiner added directional color without disclosing figures.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm just wondering if maybe you can unpack why you think the business might be able to accelerate on an underlying basis

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Russell maintained personal 3% objective despite formal guidance lower. Plans adjusted: new calendar items starting May that weren't planned at year start. Not just value, pizza innovation also accelerated. Sandeep emphasized 'positive' in positive low single digits guidance and noted retail sales growth well above SSS from store additions.

Calendar 2025 Q4

if if you could clarify that as is is it a new goal to do that? And then I guess my questions are, you know, over what time frame do you think that's possible

Revenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Russell framed it as natural extension of 11 years of ~1 point/year share gains. Category leaders in other QSR segments at 40-50% share vs Domino's ~25%. Sandeep noted 8,500 store target keeps going up as competitive closures create more whitespace. Every prior full-potential target has been exceeded.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I just wanted to ask you to maybe explain your thought process on how the next few years could evolve and why you're so confident that 3% is the right number going forward

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Russell differentiated Domino's from LTO-driven businesses. Every launch (aggregators, stuffed crust, loyalty) becomes permanent base that compounds over time. Loyalty bigger in 25 than 24, which was bigger than 23. Aggregators not yet at fair share. Not a launch-and-replace model.

Calendar 2025 Q2

just wondering if you're starting to get line of sight beyond this year to getting towards that longer-term goal of 6% or higher

Geographic ExpansionGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sandeep confirmed India (250 stores) and China (300 stores) on track. Ex-DPE markets healthy with 2026 visibility good. DPE opening plan still being developed; unit economics must support sustainable growth.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you could elaborate on what that platform is doing relative to sales mix or what you're seeing in terms of the lift to the comps

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Russell confirmed high mix and good satisfaction scores but declined to quantify lift given only 3 weeks in Q1. Noted competitors have ~15% mix for stuffed crust as the opportunity.

Calendar 2024 Q4

My question is on the US unit growth. That number I guess, missed your target for 2024

ChallengingGeographic ExpansionGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Russell attributed the miss to hurricane impacts and noted Domino's was still multiple times higher than public pizza competitors on net openings. Sandeep cited strong paybacks and demand.

MCDMcDonald's Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
MCD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

the degree of difficulty you see in getting that done when franchisee cash flows are under a bit of pressure here

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO said McDonald's > NEXT is not primarily a remodel program; franchisees are entering a normal 10-year remodel cycle with healthy balance sheets and borrowing capacity, and much of the sales-growth investment will be self-funded through productivity.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I was hoping you could give us an update on what those trends look like in the U.S. in light of the McOpCo margin performance

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO acknowledged franchisee profitability under pressure in both U.S. and IOM from beef inflation. CFO noted hedging positions and supply chain strength provide confidence for navigating 2026 inflation.

Calendar 2025 Q4

What's the current sentiment in the system on extending that without McDonald's support

Show response

Chris said EVM corporate support has already rolled off in some places; franchisees set pricing but McDonald's defends brand value leadership through RGM.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I was wondering, Ian, if you could kind of frame up what the level of that support looks like on an aggregate basis

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ian quantified $15M of September support, ~$75M in Q4, plus smaller Q1 2026 support before corporate support ends; Chris said 98-99% of franchisees endorsed the plan.

Calendar 2025 Q2

unpack the key drivers for the IOM segment this past quarter. And in particular, I guess, what drove the strength

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ian credited EDAP platforms plus entry-level value meals in all large IOM markets, with Chris adding 'value, menu innovation and marketing... you got to go 3 for 3.'

Calendar 2025 Q1

U.S. McValue platform. And I was hoping maybe you can elaborate on how you think the current construct of that value

Show response

Chris disclosed Buy One Add One for $1 is ~10-13 points less incremental than the $5 Meal Deal and may be reconsidered.

Calendar 2024 Q4

clarification on how you're thinking about the US recovery. I think you mentioned you expected a full recovery

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Chris framed the recovery as contingent on execution on McValue, marketing and food innovation, not just E. coli dissipating.

DRIDarden Restaurants6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
DRI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

is the spike in oil prices and hence distribution cost going to have any material impact

Cost PressureCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed FY2027 commodities inflation directionally better than 4%, even with recent oil price news. Update in June.

Are you adjusting for the lapping of the fifty-third week

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed 52-to-52 comparison is the right approach. Details on 53rd week treatment will come in June.

Calendar 2025 Q3

wanting to get your thoughts on where we are from the state of consumer spending

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rick noted no dramatic change in consumer spending. Job revision adjustments reflect what was actually happening. August retail sales and Darden results both strong.

Is that because of the price components going higher or the inflation components coming down

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Raj confirmed pricing increasing from 2.2% to mid- to high-2s through the year, plus some near-term beef pressures expected to ease.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how would you frame up that exposure?

Trade TariffsCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed 80% domestic sourcing with mitigation strategies including inventory management and alternative sourcing.

Calendar 2024 Q4

it stepped up quite a bit versus the midpoint of the range that you had last time, and I suspect some of that's related to Chuy's

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Raj attributed CapEx increase to Chuy's openings, pipeline building for next year, and some land purchases.

Show 1 more company
YUMYum! Brands6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
YUM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

are you seeing any signs of pause related to the unit growth, either for KFC or Taco Bell.

Geographic ExpansionMacroeconomicCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Turner and an exec directly addressed concerns with data: consistent 7-8% growth in disruption years, Middle East <150 units in pipeline, partners expect no change.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I just wanted to ask how you're thinking about that growth rate, for I guess, the two you know, big brands and whether commentary this morning has meant that signal that you think you might be able...

Geographic ExpansionGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed Turkey closures and Yum China lower-AUV model both impacted 2025 net unit flow-through. As higher-AUV international markets unlock with higher royalty rates vs China license fees, expect 'double whammy' of accelerating growth over time.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how you envision the growth profile for Yum! if you were to sell the Pizza Hut business

Show response

CEO focused on KFC and Taco Bell momentum drivers rather than directly answering growth profile question. Taco Bell International SSS +6% in Q3. Declined to comment on portfolio additions beyond completing Pizza Hut review.

Calendar 2025 Q2

your thoughts on your degree of confidence in getting to that 8% operating profit growth for the year? And I guess, what are the puts and takes

Guidance ReliabilityMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CFO detailed back-half profit bridge: stronger company store profit growth, $30M bad debt lap, refranchising gains, Taco Bell 24-25% margins full year. Q4 stronger than Q3 due to G&A timing.

Calendar 2025 Q1

your degree of confidence in the second half acceleration in the profit growth, and what gives you that confidence in light of maybe an uncertain macro backdrop

Guidance ReliabilityMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CFO detailed multiple profit levers: Taco Bell 24-25% margin guidance, company store margins on plan, favorable Pizza Hut profit laps in back half, and Pizza Hut expected roughly flat profit for full year.

Calendar 2024 Q4

frame up where you think that could go as a persona of system sales now that you, I think you mentioned bending the arc on some of the impact from the tech investment

Cost PressureCloud & AITranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed resource optimization program removed ~$25M G&A in 2024 ($50M annualized), expects continued leverage on G&A as top line grows, while investing in AI and supply chain.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
SBUX Starbucks80%none of 8 questions
CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.729%2 of 7 questions
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill729%2 of 7 questions
DPZ Domino's714%1 of 7 questions
MCD McDonald's Corporation714%1 of 7 questions
DRI Darden Restaurants60%none of 6 questions
YUM Yum! Brands60%none of 6 questions
  • SBUX
    Starbucks · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • CAVA
    CAVA Group, Inc. · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • DPZ
    Domino's · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • MCD
    McDonald's Corporation · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • DRI
    Darden Restaurants · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • YUM
    Yum! Brands · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q4714%1 of 7 questions6
2025 Q1813%1 of 8 questions7
2025 Q2617%1 of 6 questions6
2025 Q3714%1 of 7 questions6
2025 Q470%none of 7 questions6
2026 Q1714%1 of 7 questions6
2026 Q2425%1 of 4 questions4
2026 Q310%none of 1 question1
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q47 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 7 companies
  4. 2025 Q26 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  6. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  7. 2026 Q17 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  8. 2026 Q24 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  9. 2026 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand16
  • Revenue Growth15
  • Guidance Reliability11
  • Geographic Expansion11
  • Cost Pressure10
  • Capex Investment7
  • Margin7
  • Pricing6
  • Macroeconomic3
  • Competitive Dynamics3
Show all 16 topics
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Product Launch2
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • M&A1
  • Cloud & AI1