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Analyst

Karl Keirstead

UBS · covers Technology, Healthcare

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
39on tracked calls
Challenge rate
3%1 of 39 questions
Companies
8questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 39 of 39 questions from 8 companies

WDAYWorkday, Inc.10 questions · 8 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
WDAY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

you gave us a preliminary look at 200 bps of margin expansion next year, a little bit more than I was modeling

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Zane attributed the margin path to prioritization, scale leverage, and internal AI use with flat headcount, deferring specifics to the Investor Day.

Calendar 2026 Q2

what you are seeing in terms of seat growth versus module expansion as drivers of that nice overall expansion

Subscriber GrowthDemandLabor MarketTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Robert highlighted the long runway in agent and flex credit sales. Zane confirmed FSEs were flattish with tech sector declines offset elsewhere. Aneel noted AI is replacing labor not software, positioning Workday as a beneficiary of the shift to agentic work.

Calendar 2026 Q1

you were the disruptor 20 years ago, and you and others forced incumbents at the time, Oracle and PeopleSoft, et cetera, to react

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Aneel argued this transition is different because AI is built on cloud, not replacing it. Keys are right data model for LLM reasoning, strong API investment, and identifying where customer savings come from. Role-based agent approach to improving business process execution at lower cost.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Maybe a point year over year from the tenant contracts maybe a point year over year from Paradox and a quarter from Sana

Show response

Zane confirmed Karl's math was generally right. Added that both Sana and Paradox contribute roughly one point to Q4 subscription revenue growth combined. Absent Sana, Q4 guidance was consistent with view from a quarter ago.

can you just maybe express confidence level in hitting those DIA go lives

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Zane expressed high confidence in DIA milestones worth roughly $15M in Q4. Carl added they are already negotiating a follow-on expansion to take the platform to next level with further security requirements across broader DoD.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you mentioned that the July quarter had a boost from elevated early renewals. Was that beyond what you were anticipating

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Zane confirmed early renewals were above expectations and a big contributor to cRPO upside. Paradox guidance increase is $15M, which is a good rough proxy for Q4 contribution. Carl added early renewals are entirely customer-driven by demand for new AI solutions, not incentivized.

Calendar 2025 Q2

you're already at the fiscal 2027 target. So at first blush, it's easy to conclude that maybe that out your target hasn't an upward bias

Show response

Zane noted Q1 was not just an isolated data point and outlined continued efficiency efforts. But cautioned against getting ahead of themselves given investment opportunities and uncertain macro.

advising investors to think about the time frame when you'll see real monetization of these AI products, when it can be, you know, needle moving

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Carl argued AI is already needle-moving with 100% YoY growth. Cited Recruiting Agent, Talent Optimization, Extend Pro, and Evisort (100%+ YoY). Seven new agents coming in H2.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what areas are you trimming as a result of the RIF, whether it's focused on functional areas, or GEOs that you're downsizing

Capex InvestmentCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Carl outlined reinvestment areas: AI in product/technology, international expansion including India and Costa Rica, go-to-market sales capacity, and partner ecosystem. Expects higher headcount by next year.

Calendar 2024 Q4

on Q1, you mentioned that it will likely be sub 14%. So that would be, call it, a 150-plus bps decel from the second half this year

ChallengingRevenue GrowthCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Zane cited leap year as ~1pp Q1 headwind and strategic deals contributing ~0.5pp second-half improvement. Carl detailed AI pipeline with Recruiter Agent, Talent Optimization, and upcoming Expense, Successor, and Optimize Agents.

MSFTMicrosoft Corporation8 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
MSFT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how material do you think traction could be for open and custom models over the next year or two

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Answered the architecture and Microsoft-benefit half fully (harness separate from model, Azure fungible across model families) but gave no sizing for open or custom model traction.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm just curious your confidence in working through the physical component constraints to hit that number does it involve the greater use of partners

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Amy expressed strong confidence in executing the CapEx plan, noting efficiencies are speeding up data center deliveries. Allocation will balance Azure demand with first-party Copilot usage across coding, productivity, and security.

Calendar 2025 Q4

comment qualitatively on the amount of capacity that that's coming on

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Hood said the sites are multiyear deliveries and told investors to abstract away from specific locations, the focus is adding capacity globally as fast as possible.

Calendar 2025 Q3

the investment in OpenAI that sits in other income at $4.1 billion is so large

MarginCost PressureCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Hood clarified no impact from the new agreement; the entire increase reflects Microsoft's equity-method share of OpenAI losses. No accounting change signaled.

Calendar 2025 Q2

this is the second quarter in a row of pretty material Azure upside

Revenue GrowthCloud & AIDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Nadella listed migrations, cloud-native scaling, and new AI workloads as the three compounding drivers, saying migrations are 'middle innings' and durable.

Calendar 2025 Q1

the one that stands out to me is the 16 point growth rate lift to Azure from AI

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Hood corrected the framing: Azure outperformance vs. guidance was non-AI execution; AI upside was only from delivering supply early, since supply and demand were tightly matched.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I wanted to ask you about the Stargate news and the announced changes in the OpenAI relationship last week

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Nadella reaffirmed OpenAI partnership strength and a fungible fleet strategy; Hood described the CapEx pivot toward more CPU/GPU spend tied directly to customer contracts.

Calendar 2024 Q3

how does Microsoft manage the demands on CapEx from helping OpenAI with its scaling ambitions

Cloud & AICapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Satya called the partnership mutually beneficial; Amy explained the OpenAI loss is a mechanical equity-method entry capped by the $13 billion total investment.

MDBMongoDB, Inc.6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
MDB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

what kind of AI use cases or workloads have you found have the greatest pull through to Kong?

Show response

CJ identified large customer-facing enterprise workloads and production AI agents at scale as the highest-pull-through use cases.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Did the incremental portion of those deals ramp during the April quarter?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Mike said the multiyear deals were booked as expected; incremental Atlas expansion sits ahead as those relationships grow.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I didn't hear the reiteration of the high teens total revenue growth. Is that still on the table

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Mike confirmed the medium-term high-teens total revenue growth framework from September's Investor Day still stands.

if you could just perhaps describe the bundling impact that, as you said, nicked a point off of Atlas.

Show response

Mike explained one exceptionally large bundled deal forced more revenue attribution to EA than Atlas, shaving a bit off the Atlas growth rate, a unique and unexpected event.

Calendar 2025 Q4

do you feel like it's possible that actually Mongo is already getting an AI tailwind

Show response

CJ tied core strength to modernization of unstructured-data workloads and agreed AI can drive further modernization, though not deterministically.

Calendar 2025 Q1

To what extent is that go-to-market transition reflected in your guidance?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Dev said the upmarket move is already yielding sales-productivity gains embedded in guidance, funded by reallocating sales resources rather than net new sales spend.

DDOGDatadog5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
DDOG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

I just wanted to unpack what's giving you that confidence? And in particular, is there anything interesting to call out

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

David explained Q2 confidence is grounded in record Q1 ARR adds that were very diversified and not concentrated. Olivier added that even excluding the largest Q4 customer land, Q1 was still a record ARR add quarter.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Are you able to clarify whether that was a 1-year deal or multiyear? And then related to that, David, what is the contribution to CRPO from that deal

Cloud & AISubscriber GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Obstler declined specifics, noting the contract follows typical annual-plus commit structure. Clarified RPO acceleration was driven by broad bookings growth, not materially from this single contract.

what's the opportunity for Datadog to essentially follow that behavior and begin scaling on Oracle's target

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Pomel noted custom-built training clusters like Stargate are more remote opportunities today, but if many companies adopt similar patterns, it becomes commercial. Datadog follows customers wherever they deploy.

Calendar 2025 Q2

you mentioned that you're optimistic about gross margins in the second half. Is that because of what Olivier just mentioned

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Obstler confirmed H2 gross margin optimism is driven by cloud efficiency gains from Q2 being carried forward at run rate, plus further opportunities identified using cloud cost management tools.

do you think that this could be even short term, a modest source of margin pressure

Show response

Obstler explained margin differences are driven by customer size (volume discounts), not AI vs non-AI classification. Pomel added that engineering cloud efficiency efforts using their own products drove meaningful cost savings.

SNOWSnowflake Inc.4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
SNOW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I am just curious, during the quarter, did you detect any interesting behavioral shift

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Sridhar and Christian confirmed customers want to switch and optimize across frontier and open models; neutrality and auto-routing are a clear advantage.

Calendar 2026 Q2

I think a lot of investors are worried that it's going to reach a point where customers might try to govern or throttle the use of these tools to try to contain spend.

Show response

Sridhar said cost governance (account- and agent-level token limits) is being built while the productivity value sustains adoption; Brian confirmed AI products carry lower gross margin but the full-year 75% product gross margin is maintained by offsetting with lower bandwidth cost from the new AWS contract.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Was there anything unique that you did with Microsoft or with customers that are running on Azure worth calling out?

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Mike said Azure grew 40% off a lower base on better field alignment with Microsoft; AWS still biggest.

Calendar 2025 Q2

there was really no mention of macro per se and no evidence in the numbers that you guys really saw much pressure.

MacroeconomicTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Mike contrasted a more mature, cost-focused customer base and said no tariff or macro impact was visible.

TEAMAtlassian3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
TEAM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Yet, I'm looking at the Atlassian results and your margins, despite you guys also experiencing an uptick in AI usage, holding in there very well.

MarginCloud & AICost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

James cited disciplined hiring, resource reallocation, and moderating stock-based compensation, informing the 6.5% Q1 and 4.5% FY2027 GAAP operating margin guides. Mike added that a multi-year multi-model AI gateway blends models to hold gross margins despite surging AI usage.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I just wanted to test your confidence that the cloud revenue can be up enough such that you still feel comfortable with hitting that previous guide

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Joe confirmed confidence in long-term targets. Cloud growth drivers consistent with Investor Day: large market opportunities, more users, higher ARPU, cross-sell/upsell, and differentiated AI position with Teamwork Graph.

Calendar 2025 Q2

maybe you could just unpack the Q1 guide. It's a reasonably large step down in growth

Revenue GrowthPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Joe attributed step-down to smaller Q1 expiration base vs Q4, headwinds from 1-year deal term programmatic change made a year ago, and beginning to lap server end-of-support migration benefit.

Show 2 more companies
NOWServiceNow2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
NOW company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

I'm just wondering if you saw any even incremental change in broadly the selling environment in 2Q.

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Bill said demand didn't change dramatically, geopolitical and tariff scenarios have become the new norm, which itself drives need for agentic AI to help companies respond in real-time to changing supply chains and pricing.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I'm just curious whether all of this macro change and uncertainty in the last couple of months would have changed your view of that bookings CRPO seasonality?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Gina confirmed the CRPO seasonality shape is unchanged, Q3 trough followed by Q4 acceleration, and macro conditions have not altered the renewal backlog flow.

VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
VEEV company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

is there anything about the fiscal '26 5 point outperformance that in retrospect strikes you as somewhat nonrecurring

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Brian said Crossix was a major driver of last year's 5-point beat. Expect continued healthy growth but would be surprised at same level of outperformance. Guidance philosophy unchanged: give best information and call it closest to the pin. No change in approach.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
WDAY Workday, Inc.1010%1 of 10 questions
MSFT Microsoft Corporation80%none of 8 questions
MDB MongoDB, Inc.60%none of 6 questions
DDOG Datadog50%none of 5 questions
SNOW Snowflake Inc.40%none of 4 questions
TEAM Atlassian30%none of 3 questions
NOW ServiceNow2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • WDAY
    Workday, Inc. · 10 questions
    10%1 of 10 questions
  • MSFT
    Microsoft Corporation · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • MDB
    MongoDB, Inc. · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • DDOG
    Datadog · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • SNOW
    Snowflake Inc. · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • TEAM
    Atlassian · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • NOW
    ServiceNow · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • VEEV
    Veeva Systems Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q4250%1 of 2 questions2
2025 Q140%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q280%none of 8 questions6
2025 Q350%none of 5 questions4
2025 Q450%none of 5 questions4
2026 Q160%none of 6 questions5
2026 Q250%none of 5 questions5
2026 Q330%none of 3 questions3
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  8. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  9. 2026 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Cloud & AI18
  • Revenue Growth14
  • Demand11
  • Margin7
  • Competitive Dynamics5
  • Guidance Reliability5
  • Capex Investment4
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Capital Allocation3
  • Macroeconomic3
Show all 17 topics
  • Subscriber Growth2
  • Supply Chain2
  • Labor Market1
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Pricing1