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Analyst

Lauren Silberman

Deutsche Bank · covers Consumer Cyclical, Consumer Defensive

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
47on tracked calls
Challenge rate
4%2 of 47 questions
Companies
6questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 47 of 47 questions from 6 companies

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill11 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 11 challenging
CMG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

What kind of growth have you been seeing in membership in recent quarters

Show response

Scott confirmed 25% uplift in new members plus reactivation of lapsed consumers, citing removal of friction points and new benefits like chips & guac welcome offer and monthly Chipotle drops.

Any color that you can give in terms of stative trends as you move through the quarter

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Adam walked through each month: January protein campaign strength offset by weather (100bps impact), February improvement with Chicken Al Pastor, March softening around Iran conflict, April step-up. Guided Q2 comps approximately plus 1%.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Is there more opportunity for entry-level pricing or how you're thinking about smaller portions overall

Show response

Scott emphasized protein menu is not discounting but celebrating existing offerings at approachable price points ($3.50 taco, $3.80 cup). Will test and learn on price-pointed ideas throughout year. Marketing calendar more robust and better supported than historically.

Can you just help level set what you're seeing quarter to date, perhaps pre-storm

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Scott noted strong momentum into January until winter storm hit with massive restaurant closures. Adam quantified Q1 underlying trend at -1% to -2% including ~100bps storm impact on the quarter.

Calendar 2025 Q3

do you think you're also losing customers that are trading down or out of the space, losing frequency of transactions with your more loyal customers?

ChallengingDemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Scott confirmed under-$100K and 25-34 age cohorts pulling back to grocery/food at home, not competition. Gaining market share but losing frequency from core cohorts. Summer of Extras showed they can be re-engaged.

Can you just help level set where you exited the quarter and what you're seeing from a traffic perspective?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Adam detailed 200-300bps step-down in late July/August. Initiatives offset some softness in Aug-Sep. Underlying trend softened further in recent weeks. Q4 expected to decline low to mid-single-digit.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Is there any reason you think Chipotle is more susceptible to macro today than you have historically?

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Scott candidly admitted Chipotle is not getting sufficient credit for its value proposition. Working on unique ways to communicate value that are authentically Chipotle and not price-pointed.

Can you just help level set what you're seeing on a 1-year basis in July?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Adam confirmed July at low single-digit positive comp with positive transactions despite choppiness. Expects consistent July-August-September with strong September plan.

Calendar 2025 Q1

are you anticipating comps approach mid-single-digit, or do you need the macro to get a little bit better before returning to your mid-single-digit run rate?

Guidance ReliabilityMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam was candid: initiatives can get H2 to mid-single-digit, but full-year mid-single-digit requires macro relief. Low single-digit is achievable without macro improvement.

What are you seeing in terms of cannibalization of the existing store base and whether you're seeing any incremental drag

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam confirmed comp drag from new units in 80-100bps range, consistent with prior periods. No incremental deterioration despite accelerating openings.

Calendar 2024 Q4

any more color on what you're seeing from the consumer, any shifts that you're seeing across cohorts

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Adam confirmed no changes across income cohorts, all contributing positively. Attributed the step-down to lapping 5.3% transaction comp from prior year.

DRIDarden Restaurants11 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 11 challenging
DRI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I wanted to ask about the overall consumer environment. Any color on the cadence of comps as you moved through the quarter

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Rick gave clear color: spending resilient across all income groups including bottom quintile, some softness under 35, consistent monthly cadence.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Any color on what you are embedding through the rest of the quarter

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed quarter-to-date performance taken into consideration along with macro uncertainty. Wide range reflects being thoughtful and not overpromising.

any thoughts on whether there could be a delayed reaction from consumers

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rick cited historical data showing gas prices impact durable goods more than services. Brief pullback possible from sudden spikes but usually only a few weeks. GDP is biggest traffic driver.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you just help unpack what you saw in terms of cadence of actual comp

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Raj declined quarterly comp cadence. Provided earnings perspective: pricing gap halves by Q3, pricing catches inflation by Q4. EPS growth to improve sequentially.

If you go back to prior fiscal stimulus, which brands tend to benefit the most

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Rick noted no-tax-on-tips and overtime benefits could help OG, Cheddar's, Chuy's more (higher median/lower income mix), but all brands benefit from consumer stimulus.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you just help unpack sort of what you saw in terms of cadence of comps during the quarter

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Raj shared June was strong, July weakest (still positive), August had biggest industry gap. Regionally, Texas still soft, Florida picking back up, California had decent strength.

do you expect like 2Q to peak in terms of actual commodity inflation

Cost PressureCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Raj confirmed Q2 likely peak for commodities inflation, with Q3/Q4 not much lower. Every quarter going forward expected north of 3%.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you just talk about how you're thinking about the cadence of comp as we move through the year

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Raj noted Q4 momentum carried into first weeks of June but macro uncertainty warrants prudent range. First half should be stronger than back half.

If your top line comes in stronger than expected, how are you thinking about flowing through to earnings versus reinvesting back in the business

MarginCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Raj confirmed margin will be flat to positive per framework, with incremental sales flowing through at current margins and excess reinvested.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Is that where you're currently running and you assume current trends hold?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed Q4 running ahead of 3% through first three weeks.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you just talk about the cadence through the quarter? And any color on what you're seeing in December

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Raj confirmed underlying base traffic trends improved sequentially across all brands when adjusting for weather and holiday impacts.

DPZDomino's7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
DPZ company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

Is this more a function of reduced net unit opens, or should we anticipate incremental closures

Geographic ExpansionGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Reddy said the cut reflects back-end loaded openings and franchisee profit pressure, not closures, with long-term store potential unchanged.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Is it fair to assume Q2 comps are the lowest for the year, just given the comments that average check should get better

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Reddy reaffirmed the full-year comp guide and explained the store trim via franchisee profitability, but explicitly deferred 2027 to the Q4 call.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what are you defining as low single digit to the 0% to 3%

Guidance ReliabilityCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Sandeep confirmed guidance is 'anything positive in the low single digits' for both US and international. Russell noted gas prices primarily impact consumer disposable income rather than driver supply, staffing levels remain strong. Companies that can drive profitable value will succeed in this environment.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What do you think is driving that weakness more recently in restaurants, just broadly

MacroeconomicGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sandeep was transparent: macro pacing as expected through Q3 but sequential slowing observed in early Q4. If it intensifies further, could pressure full-year 3% comp. But slate of initiatives allows them to control destiny. Russell added short-term category pressure leads to long-term opportunity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you just give a bit more color on incrementality, what you're seeing in terms of traffic versus average ticket contribution

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Russell confirmed high expectations met; chose medium size deliberately so competitors with only large stuffed crust can't easily match pricing. Sandeep noted 3.4% comp driven by incremental traffic; stuffed crust is evergreen.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Do you expect incrementality of 50% now is you're Domino's Direct customers, or is the lower incrementality a function of multiple partnerships

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Russell confirmed multi-platform overlap drives 50% (vs higher Uber-only). Carryout deceleration attributed to lapping carryout special and loyalty launch from prior Q1. Expect balanced growth for year.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how are you thinking about balancing the timing of a high volume LTO with potential additional delivery partners

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Russell declined to confirm specific products, emphasized volume capacity below COVID peaks with better operations. Sandeep confirmed aggregator back-half impact and two new products are in the guide.

MCDMcDonald's Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
MCD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Are you seeing overall beverage attachment increase for the business, trying to understand the incrementality

Product LaunchDemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO said the beverage platform is delivering incrementality: over half of traffic comes after lunch (lower-volume dayparts) and average check is up about 50% over the full day average on food attachment; Germany with the full range shows meaningful comp and cash-flow lift. He did not size energy drinks as a percentage of the lineup.

Calendar 2026 Q1

do you expect the balance of the quarter to rebound back to where you were running?

Revenue GrowthMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO said April was an isolated difficult comp month. CEO added expectation is to continue gaining share in May and June, though industry growth outlook is an open question given heightened consumer anxiety.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you give any color on how we should be thinking about, I guess, Q1, knowing there's some weather there

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ian said Q1 comp will decelerate sequentially from Q4 across all three segments; first half expected stronger than second half on lapping benefits.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is there any evidence of share shift from fast casual into QSR from that higher income consumer

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ian said no fundamental change in high-income trend; Chris confirmed breakfast remains most economically sensitive daypart, MCD holding share.

Calendar 2025 Q2

it's been a bit more difficult perhaps in recent years to get franchisees to coalesce around national price points

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Chris cited $2.99 Snack Wrap as proof franchisees can align on nationally advertised prices despite varied wage rates across US markets.

Calendar 2025 Q1

unpack U.S. comps a bit more. Can you talk about what you're seeing across the low, middle and high income consumer

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ian confirmed low income down ~double digit, middle income close to that, while positive comp guest count gap maintained vs competitors.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how you're thinking about comps on a full-year basis in the US and IOM

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ian declined specific comp numbers but framed Q1 as the low point with gradual improvement through the year.

SBUXStarbucks7 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
SBUX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

what you would need to see to get towards the top end of the range on the guide

Guidance ReliabilityMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Smith laid out requirements: comps need to lean toward the plus side of 5%+, coffee prices must continue to abate, fuel costs need monitoring, and COGS from innovation needs continued tightening.

Can you give any more color on the cadence of comps as you move through the quarter?

Revenue GrowthMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Niccol confirmed strength throughout the quarter with operational Grow scorecard improving month over month. Consumer trends continued into April with no macro effects trickling into Starbucks behavior yet.

Calendar 2025 Q4

non-rewards member growth outpacing rewards member growth

DemandSubscriber GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brian explained the intentional strategy to broaden marketing beyond Rewards-only customers. Rewards member base growing through better engagement not discounting. Previewed exciting Rewards program enhancements at Investor Day focused on personalization.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What's driving the relative outperformance in the morning

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Brian attributed morning improvement to better staffing and speed of service. Afternoon shows sequential improvement but still has opportunity; staffing levels now adequate beyond 11am where they previously were at minimum.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you help contextualize like anything around the traffic lift that you might be seeing in test stores

DemandSubscriber GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Brian noted morning peak and full-day transaction improvement in Green Apron stores but deferred specifics. Rewards program will shift from one-size-fits-all discounting to tiered recognition of loyalty engagement.

Calendar 2024 Q4

How are you assessing the current level of staffing across the US system and magnitude of investment that might still be necessary?

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Brian described the 700-store pilot as testing the right labor model for brand experience. Rachel added investments are targeted via precision staffing and will be accretive longer-term through traffic growth.

Calendar 2024 Q3

How would you assess Starbucks value perceptions and to what extent you see that as a driver of current headwinds

Show response

Niccol tied value perception to overly complex customization pricing and pledged simplification, but did not detail rewards-program changes.

SYYSysco4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
SYY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

any more color on expectations on the national side? Thank you.

Show response

Management explained inbound fuel as competitive pricing/timing built into the '27 guide, and guided ~2.5% local growth consistent through the year.

Calendar 2025 Q4

How much of the growth is coming from new account wins relative to expanding penetration with existing accounts?

Competitive DynamicsLabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kevin noted new customer wins at all-time highs, customer loss rate improved meaningfully in Q2 driven by colleague retention. Penetration improved despite declining traffic. Kenny added highest new growth and lowest loss in past 12 months. Sales headcount growing in FY2026 but paced disciplinedly to volume expectations with AI360 reducing ramp time.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I think you mentioned $100 million in annualized savings to help GP dollars in the back half. Just can you expand a bit on some of the drivers of that?

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Kenny detailed three buckets of savings. Organizational optimization already implemented; strategic sourcing and supply chain efficiencies to be executed by end of Q3. Benefits are structural and carry into FY2026.

can you help us understand what you're seeing in terms of underlying dynamics and any market share dynamics during the quarter

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Kevin attributed flat volumes to hurricane impacts, holiday calendar shift, and tough prior-year comps. Normalized underlying performance was solid vs Q1.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill1118%2 of 11 questions
DRI Darden Restaurants110%none of 11 questions
DPZ Domino's70%none of 7 questions
MCD McDonald's Corporation70%none of 7 questions
SBUX Starbucks70%none of 7 questions
SYY Sysco40%none of 4 questions
  • CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill · 11 questions
    18%2 of 11 questions
  • DRI
    Darden Restaurants · 11 questions
    0%none of 11 questions
  • DPZ
    Domino's · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • MCD
    McDonald's Corporation · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • SBUX
    Starbucks · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • SYY
    Sysco · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q470%none of 7 questions6
2025 Q150%none of 5 questions4
2025 Q2714%1 of 7 questions5
2025 Q3714%1 of 7 questions5
2025 Q470%none of 7 questions5
2026 Q180%none of 8 questions5
2026 Q240%none of 4 questions4
2026 Q310%none of 1 question1
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  8. 2026 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  9. 2026 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand25
  • Revenue Growth18
  • Guidance Reliability11
  • Macroeconomic10
  • Competitive Dynamics6
  • Margin5
  • Cost Pressure5
  • Product Launch3
  • Subscriber Growth3
  • Pricing3
Show all 15 topics
  • Geographic Expansion2
  • Capex Investment1
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Labor Market1
  • Capital Allocation1