Start 30 days free, no card. Full Pro access for a month, then decide. Start free

Back to analysts list

Analyst

Tim Thein

Raymond James · covers Industrials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
41on tracked calls
Challenge rate
7%3 of 41 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 41 of 41 questions from 7 companies

CMICummins10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
CMI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

the outlook for parts demand in North America, just again, the on-highway piece specifically.

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO said aftermarket parts demand is strengthening on aging fleets and improving economics (bottom of the guide raised), and China data center visibility mirrors North America's.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm just curious about the kind of the underlying profit dynamics in China

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rumsey and Mark explained China profitability supported by tighter emissions driving content adds, successful localization, and data center power demand surge. China now a tailwind.

through the use of credits or other means that Cummins would be able to defray or potentially offset any potential penalties

Show response

Rumsey avoided specifics on penalties or credits, noting EPA rule revision still pending. Plans to continue current B Series through 2027, launch new platform January 2028.

Calendar 2025 Q4

the data center revenue in total in '25. Can you help us on that? And then what is embedded in 2026 across power systems and distribution

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Arens confirmed total company data center revenue of approximately $3.5 billion in 2025, up from $2.4-2.6 billion previously disclosed. Split between Power Systems and Distribution segments.

your joint venture partner in your AMT venture announced a potential or likely spin-off of that business. I am just curious if that impacts could that give rise to potential option

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rumsey noted it is premature to speculate on Eaton JV implications. Expects continued partnership for optimized powertrain solutions regardless of corporate structure changes.

Calendar 2025 Q2

is that bringing along more services and more kind of ancillary type revenues with those installations

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Smith cited broad international operations improvement including Africa, where early risk/execution issues are resolved. Installation services for power gen flow through Distribution.

operators that are looking to leverage [indiscernible] as a way to kind of gain off-grid primary power

Show response

Rumsey confirmed still primarily backup power today with strategic evaluation underway but no meaningful near-term business impact from prime power shift.

Calendar 2025 Q1

maybe we can dig a bit more on the margin performance there and specifically on, you mentioned aftermarket being a contributor

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Smith cited multiple factors: strong aftermarket, product coverage at 1.9% (vs 2-2.5% norm), light-duty pricing from new product launch, cost control. Tech fees likely to be lumpy going forward.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the expectation to get that business to EBITDA breakeven by '27, is that still in the cards

ChallengingInnovation & R&DGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Smith was transparent that Accelera breakeven by 2027 is not on track, but core business is outperforming enough to hit total company targets.

Just as you think about the margin outlook for '25 on flat to down revenues, a pretty nice improvement

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Smith cited cost restructuring since Q4 2023, internal resource reweighting, and continued improvement in the Drivetrain and Braking Systems (ex-Meritor) business.

PCARPaccar8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
PCAR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

are you starting to see any change in utilization or aspirations to reverse that and start expanding

DemandCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management confirmed improving lease utilization and strengthening used truck market as early indicators of market recovery

Is there a mix shift between large mega fleets versus your historical small fleet base

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management dismissed customer mix concern, noting broad-based demand across fleet sizes with fuel surcharges not materially changing patterns

Calendar 2025 Q3

I'm just curious what you're seeing in that business. Just with respect to utilization

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Feight confirmed PacLease utilization healthy, one of many indicators suggesting market approaching bottoming point.

did you give a comment just with respect to pricing that you realized in the truck business in the third quarter

Show response

Feight gave YoY price -1.3%, cost +4.6%, net -5.9%. Sequentially was -1.6%. Expects favorability as things stabilize going forward.

Calendar 2025 Q1

The outlook for 90,000 to 100,000 units in 2025, was that altered in terms of how you're thinking about the market size

Show response

Feight confirmed medium-duty market estimate unchanged at 90,000-100,000 units.

I'm just curious if the company is thinking of any changes to the footprint with respect to the Canadian and Mexican output

Trade TariffsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Feight expressed strong confidence in existing footprint across Denton, Chillicothe, Renton, Mexico, and Ste. Therese. No plans to change.

Calendar 2024 Q4

a big if, but we had the dollar at today's levels through the quarter, some pretty big moves against some of your key currencies

Show response

Poplawski quantified FX impact at ~$20M negative to Q4 net income. Schippers confirmed it's factored into 15.5-16% Q1 margin guidance.

any comments you could provide just as it pertains to order activity and how the backlog is filling in both North America and Europe

DemandSupply ChainTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Feight shared backlog: ~75% full in Q1, ~50% in Q2. Mix returning to traditional levels as vocational share normalizes.

URIUnited Rentals8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 2 of 8 challenging
URI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

If I look at the ending asset base, which maybe wrongfully using as a proxy for OEC, but it was up like 16%. And so I'm just -- my assumption has been that specialty tends to generate higher levels...

ChallengingCapex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ted confirmed specialty typically has stronger dollar utilization. Guessed timing might explain the Q1 gap but committed to following up. No underlying structural change identified.

Matt, if you could maybe speak to how the company is positioned today versus, we look back at historical periods when diesel and flatbed trucking rates really spiked

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ted cited 2022 analogy: 50%+ diesel price increase resulted in only ~15bp fuel line impact. Delivery costs moved similarly. Margins still expanded ex used in 2022. URI has long-standing focus on managing delivery costs effectively.

Calendar 2025 Q3

have you detected or seen any change in terms of -- again, just kind of thoughts around big project spending and now that some time has elapsed since the OBBBA

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Matt confirmed customer optimism persists. CCI feedback positive. Field teams asking for more fleet support. Pipeline for 2026 looks good.

the 2028 goals that you outlined at the Investor Day back in '23, you obviously wouldn't have kept it in the slides if you didn't think it was still realistic

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ted acknowledged $20B revenue target tracking well (needs ~7% compounding). Margins more challenging due to M&A dilution (70-80bps since 2022), ancillary growth to high-teens %, and elevated inflation.

Calendar 2025 Q1

from an OpEx perspective, to the extent we were to see parts pricing change or be impacted by tariffs, is there protection there?

Trade TariffsCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Matt confirmed 2025 parts costs fully negotiated and locked. Any tariff impact on parts would be a 2026 negotiation issue, not 2025.

is that creating any sort of a mix headwind for United? I guess if so, it would could it be more pronounced in what is a seasonally softer quarter?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Matt doesn't expect further headwind from mix. Q1 seasonality may amplify repositioning costs slightly. Specialty growth and cold starts driving ancillary for good reasons.

Calendar 2024 Q4

The target that you outlined in terms of the ability to outrun inflation of 1.5%, I think still believe in that in terms of realistic target for '25?

Show response

Matt confirmed they will exceed fleet inflation again. Repeated 2023 time utilization in 2024. Rate environment remains constructive as industry needs price to offset fleet inflation.

is there a way, Ted, just to think about that in terms of the contribution as to what we can expect from the deals done in the back half of the year

Show response

Ted noted ~$300M in deals mostly closing late in Q4 with little Q4 benefit. Contribution embedded in 2025 guidance but not a huge part of growth.

DEDeere & Company7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
DE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

on the roll that mix could potentially play in thinking about in 2027

Show response

Management said it is too early to tell on 2027 mix given industry uncertainty, but is encouraged by technology adoption signals.

Calendar 2026 Q2

your own expectations or the feedback you're hearing from dealers, how you expect that may play out

Show response

Josh Beal reiterated the baseline expectation for some FY2027 recovery driven by fleet aging, inventory progress, and freed-up dealer balance sheets. Brent Norwood added that dealer optimism correlates with how aggressively they managed used inventory, with some anecdotally looking to add to used fleets.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Has anything changed in terms of the expectation for the full year and how you expect to play out in terms of price versus cost?

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Price/cost now approximately neutral for full year inclusive of $600M incremental tariffs. C&F pricing reduction and slightly more material inflation offset by overhead efficiency gains from higher volumes. Q1 production costs favorable ex-tariffs. $1.2B full-year tariff guide unchanged.

Calendar 2025 Q4

The question is just on production costs. In '26. You highlighted tariffs, but just ex that, you saw kind of a build throughout 2025 in just in terms of production costs. How are you thinking about...

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ex-tariff production costs slightly unfavorable in FY2026. Overhead headwinds in large ag expected. NA labor contract creating headwinds. But significant runway remains for product and process cost reduction. Teams have delivered well over past two years with continued opportunity.

Calendar 2025 Q3

with just a quarter left. I'm curious how much of that reflects maybe potential difference in outcomes with respect to channel inventory

Capital AllocationInventoryTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Cash flow range unchanged to acknowledge uncertainty, but midpoint stable. 220hp+ NA tractor inventory at 20% I/S ratio, flat YoY percentage but lower absolute units.

Calendar 2025 Q2

The question is on the implied profitability in the second half for the PPA segment and basically how we should be or shouldn't be viewing that

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Explained H2 PPA decrementals driven by tariff impact, unfavorable mix from NA large ag declines, and less price favorability than prior year. Smaller sales change amplifies decremental math.

Calendar 2025 Q1

How do we think about kind of that normal seasonal ramp-up that you typically see in the second quarter and third quarter

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Management clarified Q2 will be highest sales quarter for large ag, full year down 15-20%, with Q4 expected to show YoY growth.

PHParker Hannifin5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
PH company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how would you think about that kind of growth algorithm for aerospace looking out beyond '27?

Show response

Guided aerospace to high-single-digit organic growth through the FY31 target window; Todd added CIRCOR as an incremental driver once it becomes organic.

Calendar 2026 Q1

if that business picks up, does that potentially portend a mix tailwind in 2027?

Show response

Todd noted the 50/50 OEM-aftermarket split provides natural balance. Small mix shifts have limited impact on the total. Focus is on compounding OI dollars. Jennifer added distribution sits in plant industrial at positive low single-digit growth.

One of your big European-based competitors flagged more competition from some Asian competitors making inroads

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Jennifer acknowledged competition but expressed confidence in Parker's global manufacturing footprint. Teams take all competition seriously while focusing on product innovation and gaining share.

Calendar 2025 Q1

the pricing flexibility that you have in aerospace, specifically, just given typically, you have more longer-term agreements

Trade TariffsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jenny said same pricing tools apply to aerospace as industrial. Longer-term agreements exist but conversations have been ongoing since inflationary period. More pricing flexibility on aftermarket side.

if you think the damage is sort of done for the year in terms of customers pulling the trigger on those more discretionary capital decisions

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jenny said customers are cautious but not overly negative. Acknowledged uncertainty but did not provide specific outlook on when discretionary spending returns.

ETNEaton Corporation2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
ETN company page →

Calendar 2025 Q1

the day sales outstanding did seem to kind of jump out. And I -- just curious if that's a reflection

Capital AllocationDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Olivier clarified the cash flow impact was intentional inventory build of ~4 days (~$150M) to manage tariff-exposed parts, not a DSO issue.

how should we think about kind of the timing the realization of some of the associated savings in that particular business

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Olivier confirmed both restructuring program costs and associated savings weighted toward the second half of 2025.

Show 1 more company
CATCaterpillar Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
CAT company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

should we think about that as a headwind more broadly for Cat as a whole in ’25

Cost PressureInventoryTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Bonfield said absorption will be slightly unfavorable with lower volume but other manufacturing cost factors offset. Longer lead time products like solar and large engines may continue to build inventory while CI and RI may see trimming. Mixed bag on absorption impact. Depreciation also a factor within manufacturing costs.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CMI Cummins1010%1 of 10 questions
PCAR Paccar80%none of 8 questions
URI United Rentals825%2 of 8 questions
DE Deere & Company70%none of 7 questions
PH Parker Hannifin50%none of 5 questions
ETN Eaton Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
CAT Caterpillar Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • CMI
    Cummins · 10 questions
    10%1 of 10 questions
  • PCAR
    Paccar · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • URI
    United Rentals · 8 questions
    25%2 of 8 questions
  • DE
    Deere & Company · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • PH
    Parker Hannifin · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • ETN
    Eaton Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • CAT
    Caterpillar Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4714%1 of 7 questions4
2025 Q1100%none of 10 questions6
2025 Q230%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q3520%1 of 5 questions3
2025 Q430%none of 3 questions2
2026 Q1911%1 of 9 questions5
2026 Q230%none of 3 questions3
2026 Q310%none of 1 question1
  1. 2024 Q47 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q110 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  6. 2026 Q19 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  8. 2026 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand17
  • Margin14
  • Cost Pressure7
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Pricing4
  • Inventory3
  • Geographic Expansion3
  • Capital Allocation3
  • Trade Tariffs3
Show all 19 topics
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Capex Investment2
  • Cloud & AI2
  • M&A2
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Fx1
  • Supply Chain1