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Analyst

Jay Sole

UBS · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
42on tracked calls
Challenge rate
5%2 of 42 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 42 of 42 questions from 7 companies

DECKDeckers Brands11 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 11 challenging
DECK company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

You talked about a lot of the new products that are coming out there for HOKA.

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Stefano credited product newness and innovation for sustained HOKA momentum; Steve separately bridged the Q1 gross-margin drivers.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how much of the growth do you think will come from, say, winter business, the classic business versus some of the newer stuff, spring, summer, fall

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Stefano confirmed spring/summer growing faster than fall/winter. Lowmel sneaker was the brand's #3 product. Highlighted new styles including AutoClog, Minimal sneaker, Zora, Ballet Flat, and Quill.

Do you see opportunity to open more HOKA stores? Is that part of the plan as you look out through 2030?

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Stefano confirmed approximately 25 HOKA store openings per year, focused on major cities. Mentioned recent openings in Berlin, Milan, Chamonix, and continued expansion in China.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you talk a little bit more about where lifestyle is today, what your projection is for how that business will develop

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

CEO outlined lifestyle as huge category opportunity with boosted capabilities in design, color, and lifestyle. Early reads on Stinson 7, Bondi Mary Jane, Speed Loafer very positive. Line architecture clarified with more commercial price points. Mach franchise being expanded with X3, Mach 7, and Mach Remastered across performance and lifestyle dimensions.

Can you maybe just dive into what has changed? What has driven the improvement? You talked a lot about product

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

CEO confirmed acceleration is sustainable based on learnings from prior year: spaced out franchise launches, tightened outgoing inventory, better DTC closeout management. Gaviota 5, Transport 2, and Cielo X1 3.0 all performing well. CFO added consumer engagement with franchise updates driving confidence.

Calendar 2025 Q3

do you see this year as a little bit of a transition year where you had sort of the accelerated life cycles of Bondi 8 and Clifton 9

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO noted HOKA performing probably better than expected in tariff-imposed environment, moving from mid-teens pre-tariff to low teens with tariff is encouraging. International growth validates non-tariff consumer demand. CEO acknowledged 2025 as a learning year: too many big launches overlapping, insufficient spacing.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you just talk about how you feel about the wholesale channel versus DTC channel? And then on the inventory, can you just tell us where it stands with the Bondi 8 and the Clifton 9

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO confirmed HOKA first-half growth remains mid-teens adjusting for Q1 timing. Q2 will show more balanced channel growth with improved DTC performance. CEO noted market largely clean of Bondi 8/Clifton 9; Arahi 7 moving fast. Strong pipeline including Mafate 5, Mach 3, Skyward, and spring Mach 7/Gaviota/Speedgoat updates.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Is that sort of, like, the unmitigated cost? And then and there's an assumption that, you know, you could like you said, you can take some price and share some cost

Trade TariffsCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed $150M is gross tariff impact. Three-pronged mitigation approach: pricing power, cost sharing with factory partners. Expects to recapture maybe up to half.

Can you just talk about units versus ASPs? Maybe you can give us a little bit more color on how you felt about the transition to the Bondi nine and Clifton ten

Product LaunchPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed promotions on outgoing models pressured ASPs while unit volumes remained healthy. Emphasized wholesale expansion contributed to channel shift that reduced DTC share.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how you're managing the brand, particularly HOKA for the long term and protecting the health of the brand, even in a promotional environment

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO detailed Bondi 9, Cielo X1 2.0, Clifton 10, Mafate X trail shoe, and Arahi 8 launches over Q4 and early FY26. CFO emphasized long-term brand-building over chasing growth rates.

Calendar 2024 Q3

talk about the impact of some the higher priced styles that you've introduced this year, the Skyward X, the Cielo X1

Product LaunchPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO confirmed all pinnacle products exceeded expectations at the $200+ price point, while CFO linked innovation to improving margin profile and brand strategy execution.

RLRalph Lauren Corporation9 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
RL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

How much farther do you think the Ralph Lauren brand has to go on the elevation journey from here

Show response

Justin framed AUR as an outcome of strategy with 9+ years of growth and declined QTD trends; Patrice guided China to mid-teens for FY27. Answered elevation, deferred QTD.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how you are thinking about investment priorities to continue driving strong momentum into the future

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Justin outlined three investment priorities: brand connections, product elevation, and key city ecosystems with AI capabilities. Patrice confirmed marketing at 8% of sales for FY27 with no ceiling, guided by ROI.

Calendar 2025 Q4

your 18 AUR growth this quarter was well ahead of your guidance of up high single digits. Could you just walk us through the drivers

Show response

Justin said reduced discounting was primary driver of AUR upside, enabled by outsized full price demand. Other durable drivers contributed roughly equally: brand elevation, geo/channel mix, product mix, and targeted pricing. No price resistance from core customers. Value perception and NPS scores progressively increasing alongside AUR.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how are you thinking about using pricing as a lever over the next few quarters before you start to lap tariffs

PricingTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Justin said AUR drivers are durable: brand investment, full-price customer attraction, product mix elevation, geo/channel mix, discount pullback, and strategic pricing. Normal course pricing for fall plus modest tariff-related adjustments. Q4 remains most impacted quarter. Expects to mitigate cost inflation via country of origin shifts, merchandising mix, and further targeted pricing.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you walk us through your updated guidance assumptions? What changed to drive the increase

Guidance ReliabilityProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Justin said guide reflects Q1 overdelivery plus improved Q2 view, driven by all three regions. Tariff outlook broadly in line with May. Back half demand view unchanged with caution. Patrice said handbags are early innings with foundational businesses, Polo Play innovation, and strong value positioning.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how should we think about your pricing strategy for fiscal 2026, especially in the context of all the AUR growth you've already delivered

PricingTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Justin said proactive pricing taken for Fall 2025 in NA and Japan. Reassessing additional levers including supply chain diversification, cost efficiencies with partners, and selective discount reductions.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what would you consider the biggest drivers of your outperform this holiday, and how much of the beat would you attribute to near-term factors

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Patrice cited brand strength, lifestyle portfolio breadth, and key city ecosystem model as durable drivers. Women's and handbags driven by dedicated marketing, improved distribution, and product resonance.

Calendar 2024 Q3

can you talk about your confidence in Ralph Lauren's pricing power, maybe a less favorable pricing environment ahead

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Justin highlighted product elevation, geo/channel mix shifts, and customer acquisition of high-value full-price shoppers as durable AUR drivers.

can you just talk about the performance of the full-price stores in the U.S. in the quarter

Revenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Patrice confirmed on track for 15-20 new full-price stores in North America per Investor Day targets. Next opening in San Francisco.

LULULululemon Athletica6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
LULU company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I'm just wondering if you can elaborate on the social media issues that you talked about. What did they stem from?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Frank attributed negative commentary to the proxy contest and mid-April product-composition questions; stories subsided but trends haven't recovered.

Calendar 2025 Q4

who is design reporting to, who is merchandise reporting to, who's ultimately going to make the final decision on what happens in terms of product

Competitive DynamicsCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Calvin explained Andre Maestrini leads markets and GMs globally. Product, merchandising, design, and brand report to Meghan during search. Most spring 2026 decisions already made through winter buy completion.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Would you be willing to increase marketing as a percent of sales to maybe create some more traffic in the store

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Calvin confirmed no plans to increase marketing above 5% of revenue. Brand health remains strong with continued guest base growth across all age demographics. Focus on proactive showcase of new styles to high-value guests.

Can you talk specifically about how much faster lead times need to get where they are today, where you really want to take them ultimately?

Supply ChainInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Calvin described pre-aligning with vendors on key fabrics to eliminate up to 2 months from the chase process. New Chief AI and Technology Officer hired to leverage technology for faster speed to market.

Calendar 2025 Q2

How much more store growth opportunity do you see in China before you start worrying about cannibalizing your existing store base

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Meghan said LULU has 154 stores in China with a goal of ~200 in the current plan and growth beyond that. Co-location optimization strategy still early in China versus more advanced in North America.

Calendar 2025 Q1

How much square footage growth you're planning for the U.S. this year?

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Meghan shared 40-45 new openings with 10% square footage growth. North America gets 10-15 stores, majority of international openings in China. Did not break out U.S.-specific square footage growth.

TJXTJX Companies6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
TJX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I want to ask you about the 7.5 thousand long-term store target. Can you just tell us about Sierra?

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Ernie said Sierra and HomeSense grow well above 4% and confirmed ongoing new-country evaluation without naming one.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Are there other opportunities to do partnerships like you've done?

Geographic ExpansionM&ATranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Herrman confirmed interest in JVs, investments, and adjacent-country expansion, emphasizing deep talent bench enables new market entry without distracting core business execution.

how do you think about potentially raising that 7,000 number

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Herrman strongly hinted the 7,000-store target will be revised upward, citing successful expansion in Australia, Mexico JV progress, and domestic opportunities from competitor store closures.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you just really dive into that the 6% comp. Are you seeing opportunities in new categories

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Ernie declined to name specific categories but confirmed broad-based strength. HomeGoods capturing demand in categories where competitors have closed or pulled back, creating captive audience. Basic categories like bedding, towels, and utilitarian items have less competition. HomeGoods over 30% of TJX's home business at $10 billion. Social media driving impulse-driven shopping reputation.

Calendar 2025 Q4

this has been a year with an unprecedented level of tariffs. And you're talking about availability of inventory. I think you just said it was off the charts

Competitive DynamicsTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Ernie admitted slightly surprised by degree of availability. Explained public retailers cannot cut ordering as drastically as tariffs would imply, they bring in fewer units but at higher dollars, and when sales don't materialize, closeout inventory flows to TJX. Choppy retail environment broadly is creating excess inventory across the supply chain.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you talk about maybe a little bit more what those -- where the opportunities are, what line items within cost of goods sold might you be able to save some money

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

John briefly noted DC initiatives for COGS and store initiatives for SG&A but declined to quantify the impact by category.

ROSTRoss Stores5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 2 of 5 challenging
ROST company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

trying to understand the comp channel a little bit better because it sounds like transactions was a big driver

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Jim said marketing, merchandising, and store experience work together as a flywheel and cannot be cleanly attributed without traffic counters.

Calendar 2026 Q1

do you think you're taking market share from other off-price retailers? Or do you think it's coming more from traditional retailers?

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Conroy said share shift is primarily from mainstream retail and department stores to off-price broadly. Other off-price competitor also posted solid quarter. Ross aims for fair share or more of the sector-level shift.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I look back, you know, ex the post-COVID period, every company hasn't guided above a two to three in at least ten years

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Hartshorn said Q4 guide is simply the internal forecast aligned with latest expectations. No change in methodology. Guide reflects how business is being planned based on Q3 momentum.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you could just let us know if you need any improvement in the comp trend to get to the negative 3% comp guidance the loan to the guide for Q1

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Hartshorn confirmed wider guidance range reflects reduced visibility. Guidance builds in continued improvement from the trend seen since early February.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I'm just wondering if there was anything related to inventory availability or just timing of buying that sort of contributed to some of the issues and execution that you, you know, you decided that...

Show response

medium

NKENIKE, Inc.4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
NKE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

Can you just a little bit of help on where you think the gross margin lands for fiscal '27?

Show response

Denton declined a gross margin guide, citing sourcing/supply chain gains offset by discounting to reset the marketplace.

Can you give us a little bit of help on how you're thinking about revenues for Q2?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Denton repeated the Cyber Week and North America sell-in comparisons pressuring Q2 growth but gave no Q2 revenue range.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you just talk about maybe what modest means

Show response

Matt explained the 2H headwind comes from lapping aggressive off-price liquidation in the prior year, but said the resulting business will be more profitable and full price.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how far are you going to take the actions in the short-term to really put the business on that sustainable path

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Elliott confirmed sense of urgency across product, marketing, and marketplace investments. Matt framed headwinds as two buckets: repositioning headwinds that will end and transitory headwinds from inventory cleanup that reverse with growth.

Show 1 more company
TPRTapestry, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
TPR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Can you talk about some of the ideas you have that you have confidence in, in the future

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Todd Kahn pointed to core platforms (Tabby, the New York/Brooklyn family, Chelsea, Teri) as durable full-price franchises with runway toward the $10 billion aspiration.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
DECK Deckers Brands110%none of 11 questions
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation90%none of 9 questions
LULU Lululemon Athletica60%none of 6 questions
TJX TJX Companies60%none of 6 questions
ROST Ross Stores540%2 of 5 questions
NKE NIKE, Inc.40%none of 4 questions
TPR Tapestry, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • DECK
    Deckers Brands · 11 questions
    0%none of 11 questions
  • RL
    Ralph Lauren Corporation · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • LULU
    Lululemon Athletica · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • TJX
    TJX Companies · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • ROST
    Ross Stores · 5 questions
    40%2 of 5 questions
  • NKE
    NIKE, Inc. · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • TPR
    Tapestry, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q330%none of 3 questions2
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q1520%1 of 5 questions4
2025 Q250%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q340%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q4617%1 of 6 questions5
2026 Q150%none of 5 questions4
2026 Q260%none of 6 questions5
2026 Q340%none of 4 questions3
  1. 2024 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  6. 2025 Q46 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  8. 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  9. 2026 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Product Launch11
  • Competitive Dynamics11
  • Demand10
  • Pricing8
  • Geographic Expansion7
  • Capex Investment5
  • Margin5
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Guidance Reliability4
  • Trade Tariffs4
Show all 15 topics
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Supply Chain2
  • M&A1