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Analyst
John Kernan
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2025 Q4 (6 quarters).
- Questions
- 23on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 4%1 of 23 questions
- Companies
- 6questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 6with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 23 of 23 questions from 6 companies
DECKDeckers Brands8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
Is north of 20% plus operating margins, how you look at the business long term
Show response
CFO confirmed tariff headwinds will pressure margins further in FY2027 first half. Q2 demonstrated ability to mitigate through disciplined management. CEO noted strong financial profile enables continued investment in capabilities.
can you talk to the split between DTC and wholesale in Q3 and Q4 a bit more
Show response
CFO explained wholesale expansion front-loaded in H1, creating timing-driven DTC pressure. Back half will see more DTC growth on percentage basis as wholesale normalizes. Wholesale expansion will begin to slow as company approaches 50/50 balance.
it's safe to assume at least that magnitude carries into the first half of next year, I would assume
Show response
CFO confirmed equivalent gross margin pressure carries into FY2027 first half if tariffs remain unchanged.
Calendar 2025 Q2
U.S. was down 3%, international up 50% in Q1. How should we be thinking about that within Q2
Show response
CFO confirmed Q2 international growth will moderate from Q1 timing effects but bulk of growth still from international. Domestic side will see incremental improvement. HOKA US DTC improvement is expected to be gradual and incremental, building sequentially.
Calendar 2025 Q1
How should we, you know, get about these new wholesale partner doors for HOKA globally, both domestically and internationally
Show response
CEO noted expansion across specialty, sporting goods domestically and internationally. Still underpenetrated versus competitors. Declined to name specific accounts but emphasized expanding product offer enables broader distribution.
UGG outperformed your expectations pretty significantly in the fourth quarter. Just curious if you'd give more color on UGG and by region, channel
Show response
CEO highlighted UGG expanding beyond slippers into sandals, sneakers, clogs, and slipper-sneaker hybrids. Men's business continues to outpace women's. CFO emphasized scarcity model driving high gross margins and full-price selling.
Calendar 2024 Q4
the operating margin profile of the business is the highest among the sector peers. As you look at HOKA and UGG, what opportunities are left
Show response
CFO acknowledged margin maintenance challenges as brands scale, citing inflationary pressures, FX headwinds, and freight. Scarcity model and full-price selling remain key margin drivers.
How did the 12% growth in the U.S. compare to your expectations? And maybe talk to the drivers of that growth
Show response
CEO confirmed US growth met expectations. International continues to outpace US as planned. Long-term target remains 50% international mix.
RLRalph Lauren Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
can you quantify the tariff impact on gross margin this year, net of the pricing
Show response
Justin said tariffs are the biggest gross margin headwind but confident in more than offsetting with AUR, promo pullback, product elevation, and favorable mix. Cost inflation pressure disproportionately impacts North America, shifting profitability contribution toward international.
Calendar 2025 Q1
the geographic EBIT margin, you know, now at 26% at your highest margin region
Show response
Justin said encouraged by momentum and elevated positioning. Cautious on macro headwinds. Patrice noted planning 10 new owned stores and 25 partner stores in Europe for FY2026.
Calendar 2024 Q4
you reduced the global discount rate by five hundred basis points in the quarter. Obviously, strong performance in wholesale and DTC
Show response
Justin said promotional pullback lever has significant runway. New consumer acquisition focused on full-price customers gives confidence in continued AUR growth and margin expansion.
Calendar 2024 Q3
Europe comps up 15%. It's your least penetrated region from a DTC perspective
Show response
Patrice said Europe still very underpenetrated. On track with Investor Day target of 40-50 full-price stores. Opened 44 since FY2022, planning 20 this year. 14 opened in Q2.
ROSTRoss Stores4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
I'm just curious what you think the opportunities for merch margin are going forward
Show response
Hartshorn said merch margin was better than expected with less ticketing and stronger shrink. Expects relatively stable but sees opportunity from branded vendor relationships and closeouts. DC pressure to continue through Q4 then improve as next DC is 2-3 years away.
Calendar 2025 Q3
what are the near and long-term returns on this? How can this lift the overall margin profile of the business long term
Show response
Hartshorn expects DC leverage over next 2 years. Long-term algorithm: 5% store growth + 3% comp = ~5% EPS, plus 1-3% EBIT upside and 2-3% buyback = ~double-digit EPS growth.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Where do you see opportunities to potentially leverage SG&A going forward? Obviously, there's a certain level of comps that would generate that
Show response
Hartshorn attributed SG&A increase to minimum wage-driven store costs. Continuously seeking efficiencies but leverage point remains around 3% comp.
Calendar 2024 Q4
What's your view on the overall availability outlook in the quality of real estate for off-price retail right now?
Show response
medium
LULULululemon Athletica3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
do you think you're becoming more susceptible to a macro environment in China now that you're pushing the end of the year, be pushing $1.7 billion
Show response
Calvin expressed confidence in long-term international growth, noting LULU ended last year at 25% international mix with opportunity for 50-50 ratio. Market share gains continue across all international regions.
Calendar 2025 Q1
it looks like marketing went up to about 5% of sales this year. It's still below some of your bigger peers
Show response
Meghan confirmed marketing at about 5% of sales going into FY2025 and noted it is an area they would look to flex depending on business trend and product newness momentum.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Can you talk to what you're seeing on the ground in China both from a top-line and margin perspective?
Show response
Frank confirmed healthy operating margin expansion in China with revenue exceeding expectations. Not optimizing margin currently, focused on long-term growth. Guided China above 30% growth in Q4. McDonald added that Italy, Denmark, Belgium, Turkey and Czech Republic planned for 2025, citing brand momentum and being pulled into markets rather than pushing.
TJXTJX Companies3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
How would you characterize the comp progression throughout the quarter? I got a quick follow-up
Show response
Comps started strong, had a small weather-related lull mid-quarter in June, then rebounded even stronger in July. Flow-through model updated to 10-20bp per comp point.
Calendar 2024 Q4
What would be the long-term driver of further merchandise margin expansion?
Show response
John identified top-line growth and market share gains as the primary margin expansion lever, noting expense decreases could also help if they materialize.
I would also like to focus in on a few of the other categories like beauty, consumables, footwear, accessories
Show response
Ernie characterized consumable and beauty categories as traffic drivers and frequency builders that offer extreme value due to high initial markups elsewhere, helping drive customer visits.
NKENIKE, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
How would you characterize inventory in the wholesale channel and the timing of when wholesale discounts
Show response
Matt said NA, EMEA, and Greater China units all down; APLA is the area of focus. The forward-looking order book is the best indicator, and GM should benefit in H2 from lapping aggressive clearance.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| DECK Deckers Brands | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions |
| RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| ROST Ross Stores | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| LULU Lululemon Athletica | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions |
| TJX TJX Companies | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| NKE NIKE, Inc. | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- DECKDeckers Brands · 8 questions0%none of 8 questions
- RLRalph Lauren Corporation · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- ROSTRoss Stores · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- LULULululemon Athletica · 3 questions33%1 of 3 questions
- TJXTJX Companies · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- NKENIKE, Inc. · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q3 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
| 2024 Q4 | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q1 | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q2 | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q3 | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q4 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
- 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
- 2024 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 33% (1 of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Margin13
- Geographic Expansion7
- Revenue Growth5
- Demand4
- Competitive Dynamics4
- Capex Investment4
- Trade Tariffs3
- Inventory1
- Cost Pressure1
- Pricing1
Show all 12 topics
- Macroeconomic1
- Labor Market1