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Analyst
Mike Baker
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters; questions recorded in 6).
- Questions
- 19on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 26%5 of 19 questions
- Companies
- 7questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 6with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 19 of 19 questions from 7 companies
ULTAUlta Beauty5 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Our tracking suggests that it's growing nicely, maybe even doubling its daily sales versus when it started
Show response
CEO framed TikTok Shop as complementary, focused on new-guest acquisition into the loyalty ecosystem rather than driving incremental e-commerce revenue.
at the lower end, you did increase the operating income growth. So is that more -- I suppose it must be on the SG&A line
Show response
CFO attributed the raise to strong execution in both gross margin and SG&A but stayed general, citing the value-creation balancing of leverage versus reinvestment.
Calendar 2025 Q4
How do you see the competitive situation today versus three months ago or earlier in the year?
Show response
Kecia acknowledged competitive environment but emphasized Ulta's differentiation: 46.3M loyalty members, low-to-lux assortment, services, experiential shopping, BOPIS proving customers still want stores. Confident plans are working and in early phases.
Calendar 2025 Q2
bigger picture, is it more competitive now than it has been? Less competitive?
Show response
Kecia characterized competitive intensity as consistent but now cycling through brick-and-mortar prestige expansion. Emphasized own marketplace launch and beauty-tainment events as differentiators.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Remind us your exposure now to Europe potentially seeing two hundred percent tariffs and presumably that they'll retaliate.
Show response
Paula confirmed limited direct import exposure (~1%). Additional exposure in fixtures, lighting, and Ulta Beauty collection brand. Teams monitoring and scenario planning.
CVNACarvana Co.4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
to get there in 5 years, off of 2024, that's like a 48% annual growth rate. You're having a great year this year, but I think your unit growth rate year-over-year is up like 43%
Show response
Corrected math to ~40% CAGR for 5-year, ~20% for 10-year. Emphasized 1.5% market share with lots of headroom and machine getting simpler.
It implies about, at the midpoint, 30% EBITDA growth. So obviously, a little bit of a slowdown from the first half
Show response
Declined to elaborate beyond stated guidance. Framed numbers as big and exciting milestones on the path to 3 million units.
Calendar 2024 Q4
to the extent that tariffs likely drive up new car pricing, can you remind us or how do you think about how that impacts used-car pricing?
Show response
Acknowledged uncertainty. New car price increases would likely support used car prices indirectly. Operating as normal year.
what do you need to see to take that number - that margin outlook higher?
Show response
Confirmed targeting high end of 8-13.5% EBITDA margin range. Future fundamental gains will primarily be shared with customers to drive volume.
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
people did their maintenance in the first quarter with their tax refund dollars. Does that impact spending in the second and third quarter historically
Show response
Brad said based on 30 years of experience, Q1 strength is more likely catch-up/pent-up demand than pull-forward, citing category performance data as evidence.
Your costs were still high this quarter, but presumably a lot of that was due to increased labor to support the high comps rather than the legal and health care situation
Show response
Jeremy explained SG&A was in line with expectations, higher per-store growth driven by cadence vs H2 2025 comparisons, incremental spend for elevated volumes, and insurance/liability costs continuing as expected.
Calendar 2024 Q4
the expectation, I think, then is for the first quarter comp to be lower, yet I thought you said that January is running Happy exit rate of 2024
Show response
Jeremy clarified that January comps are below December levels due to tough prior-year weather comparisons, but underlying business volumes are tracking consistent with December exit rate and in line with expectations.
you're not expecting any pickup in in 2025 outside of potential tariffs. You know, any reason why, you're not seeing that increase in inflation
Show response
Jeremy explained auto parts pricing adjusts more gradually than fast-turn consumer goods due to slower inventory turnover, and management prefers not to speculate on future inflation not yet seen.
BBYBest Buy2 questions · 1 reporting period · 1 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
can you square those as the consumer not pulling back or we're not seeing any demand destruction from higher prices?
Show response
Corie stressed that the value-seeking, deal-focused consumer behavior predates tariffs, it's been consistent for several quarters. Consumers trade down in some categories (TVs) but spend on innovation (computing/tablets).
do you think you saw any pull-forward in demand?
Show response
Matt acknowledged a couple of weeks of possible pull-forward but noted Easter shift makes it hard to size. Corie added Switch 2 pre-orders created a perception of CE spending that won't flow through until Q2. On share, Corie said Q1 may have seen slight loss given fewer launches but expects full-year share gains in computing and gaming.
TGTTarget Corporation2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 2 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
One criticism maybe is that it's the same management team. I think at some point, people would have -- some investors wanted people from the outside. But clearly, there's a lot of change going on here
Show response
Baker pointedly asks why the same leadership team is only now driving change. Fiddelke cites institutional knowledge advantage, candid self-assessment, and notes over half the leadership team is new to role or new to Target in the last 18 months.
Calendar 2025 Q4
October flat, yet you're guiding to down low single digits to the fourth quarter. Is that indicative of a little bit of a slowdown post Halloween?
Show response
Fiddelke cites monthly volatility (flat in Aug/Oct, down ~4% in Sept) as reason for cautious Q4 guidance. Highlights strong inventory positioning entering holiday.
COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q1
extending the hours has led to incremental gallons? Are you seeing customers take advantage of that?
Show response
Gary said early reaction to extended gas hours is positive and COST believes its price gaps remain favorable with proactive investment.
Show 1 more company
TSCOTractor Supply1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
Can you talk about the timing of when you start to leverage some of the investments that you've made over the last few years
Show response
Hal confirmed both initiatives self-funding in 2026 with no incremental operating expense dilution. Final Mile capturing $10M+ in annual freight savings. Direct sales: last year's 50 reps pay for this year's next 50. No further rate dilution from either initiative.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| ULTA Ulta Beauty | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| ORLY O'Reilly Automotive | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| BBY Best Buy | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| TGT Target Corporation | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| TSCO Tractor Supply | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- ULTAUlta Beauty · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- CVNACarvana Co. · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- ORLYO'Reilly Automotive · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- BBYBest Buy · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- TGTTarget Corporation · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- TSCOTractor Supply · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q1 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q2 | 5 | 40%2 of 5 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q3 | No questions recorded | — | — |
| 2025 Q4 | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q1 | 3 | 67%2 of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2026 Q2 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 40% (2 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q3No questions recorded
- 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 33% (1 of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 67% (2 of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand6
- Competitive Dynamics6
- Margin5
- Pricing4
- Guidance Reliability4
- Revenue Growth4
- Trade Tariffs3
- Macroeconomic2
- Cost Pressure2
- Innovation & R&D1
Show all 11 topics
- Capex Investment1