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Analyst

Mike Roxland

Truist Securities · covers Consumer Cyclical, Industrials, Real Estate

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (8 quarters).

Questions
69on tracked calls
Challenge rate
14%10 of 69 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 69 of 69 questions from 7 companies

IPInternational Paper13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 4 of 13 challenging
IP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I think you -- last quarter, you were guiding them to be up around 3%. What changed with respect to what occurred

ChallengingDemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Lance clarified the 3% referred to outperformance versus the market, not absolute growth, and said nothing changed versus expectations.

I mean have you reworked contracts that is allowing you to recapture price at a faster pace than you have historically?

Show response

Lance gave a process answer rather than a contract change; Andy attributed it to commercial team retooling and changed incentives.

Calendar 2026 Q1

with the revised guide, $3.2 billion, $3.5 billion this year. At the midpoint, the $250 million cut. Can you help us bridge how to get the 2027 EBITDA of $5 billion

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Bridge to $5B via: incremental price flow-through (net $50/ton NA, half in 2026 / half in 2027; EUR100 EMEA mostly in 2027), plus operating cost improvement funnel, plus modest 1% NA and 1-2% EMEA market growth plus share wins. Does not include any additional pricing beyond what's been published.

strategic customer wins, obviously, it's helping you drive your volume growth, pretty strong performance there. To the extent you can comment on what end markets do you see these gains

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Wins are broad-based across all product categories, both national and local in US. Central (pan-European) accounts strong in EMEA but local European wins need improvement. Pricing discipline maintained, service and quality drive wins, not aggressive pricing. Radically restructured sales force and incentive system in US.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Some calls in North America appear to be more sticky like, like, no reliability, etcetera. I mean, your volume's up for 2% in 4Q, better than you expected, yet EBITDA missed

ChallengingCost PressureCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Two sticky cost areas: lingering closure costs during shutdown/disposal, and mill reliability requiring consistent multi-year investment. A single struggling mill can cost $100M/year. Spin not driven by cost challenges but by regional value maximization, almost zero overlap between NA and EMEA businesses.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you've mentioned accelerating cost actions in North America. You sold the bags business. You mentioned just now outsourcing a large portion of your IT support

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

All announced actions captured in 2026 bridge. Approximately 75%+ realized in 2026 with 20-25% tail rolling into 2027. In terms of big structural actions in NA, most have been addressed. Remaining work on cost structure in mill system, overhead, and just starting EMEA journey.

can you help us understand the EBITDA benefit associated with those closures. Because when I look at previous closes, like Orange and Red River, you guys called out specific

Cost PressureCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Savannah effectively a push on EBITDA basis but huge ROIC win, replacement asset value north of $1B. Through the cycle, Savannah was destroying value and not returning cost of capital. Riceboro was modestly positive, very small mill with uncompetitive cost position. No more near-future capacity removals planned.

Calendar 2025 Q2

you did have -- you see some better pricing in the second half, but it looks like some pricing has weakened as well. So that could threat in 2026

ChallengingPricingDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

First European price increase sticking with all evidence supporting it. More cautious on second price increase given market conditions. Nothing built in for this year or next on the second increase.

you're moving at a very fast pace with some of the box plant closures. You mentioned streamlining in the subregions into 7 from 13

Cost PressureLabor MarketTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

European structural change requires consultation processes making it slower. Silvernail committed to reinvesting in strategic assets and exiting businesses that cannot stand on their own. Acknowledged decisions are hard but necessary. Team in Europe excited about winning.

Calendar 2025 Q1

can you give us a sense of your operating rate in North America in 1Q, where does it stand now that things have stabilized?

Supply ChainCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Silvernail confirmed stability in April demand but declined to give specific operating rate. Noted ability to pull forward footprint optimization if demand weakens but doesn't see structural change to 2027 endpoint.

Could you provide just some more color about the share gains that you had there? Where was your share prior?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Silvernail detailed 30-40% of business is local. On-time delivery improved from high 80s to high 90s over two years. Went from losing local market share to holding/gaining, driven by investment in people and operations.

Calendar 2024 Q4

one of your objectives for 2025 is to balance capacity to your demand, so I'm wondering can you help us

Supply ChainCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Silvernail was deliberately opaque due to remaining DS Smith restrictions and stakeholder sensitivity. Confirmed aggressive footprint optimization in both box and mill systems.

is there's been any pushback, any resistance? And what are you may do to sort of like grease the wheel

Labor MarketCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Silvernail said there was enormous pent-up demand for change. Key enablers are capital investment decisions and removing bureaucratic constraints on local managers.

WYWeyerhaeuser13 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 13 challenging
WY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

in OSB, can you give us a sense of what's happening with the start-ups for those new mills?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Devin said WY only knows what has been publicly reported; the two new OSB mills appear pushed to end of this year or early next.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Climate Solutions, you had sales of $100 million -- $111 million in 1Q, a big increase

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Dave Wold confirmed $94 million Florida conservation easement was the primary driver of the Q1 Climate Solutions jump.

has the competitive landscape changed such that there's increasing competition

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Devin acknowledged competitive intensity but emphasized WY competes on service model and product value rather than lowest price. Trus Joist brand and innovation drive differentiation.

what gives you the confidence that you could have such a step down in the back half of the year

ChallengingRevenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Dave Wold noted typical front-loading pattern in SLS from timing and mix. Historical pattern supports the cadence. $425M full year guide remains appropriate.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Any way to expand on what factors you're referencing

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Devin detailed integration benefits: optimal log mix delivery, flex on supply during weather events, product mix optimization. Dave Wold added strategic advantages like co-locating Timberstrand facility with timberlands.

any concerns over the government cutting funding

Regulation PolicyInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Devin expressed confidence that NCS is not materially at risk. Partners are sophisticated and anticipated policy changes. 45Q preserved in Big Beautiful Bill. Possible air pocket toward end of decade on renewables but no near-term meaningful impact.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what's your expectation for 3Q operating rate, given your outlook ] for lower sales volume

Show response

Devin confirmed lower Q3 EWP operating rates reflecting softer market. Can dial up if demand improves. Emphasized high-quality product and customer demand but prudent to pull back at current building levels.

is it fair to say that EBITDA in wood products could be down $50 million, $60 million sequentially

Show response

Devin declined to predict commodity prices but provided sensitivities for analysts to calculate. Noted industry unlikely to operate below cash breakeven indefinitely, implying eventual pricing recovery.

Calendar 2025 Q1

does it tend to be higher margin relative to wind, solar and carbon credits and mitigation banking

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Devin described CCS margins as incredible since it involves leasing subsurface space with minimal cost on WY's part. Pure upside similar to wind agreements.

CCS is a big opportunity, but not as big as you originally planned

ChallengingInnovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Devin pushed back strongly, clarifying the magnitude of CCS opportunity remains significant. Only the timeline has extended due to permitting and industry maturation.

can you remind us the operating rate you ran at an EWP in 1Q and what you expect in 2Q?

Show response

Devin attributed order file improvement largely to seasonality as weather improves. EWP operating rates at low 70% in Q1, expected to improve in Q2.

Calendar 2024 Q4

risks to Natural Climate Solutions, particularly given the new administration

Regulation PolicyInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Devin expressed confidence NCS businesses will persist despite policy uncertainty. Solar economics are strong independently. IRA tax incentives likely to remain as money flows to Southern red states.

Can you just comment about how the testing has gone, using that furnish? How has it performed?

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Devin expressed high confidence in testing results, noting extensive in-house R&D and ability to use existing mill for testing. Product expected to be well received.

PKGPackaging Corporation of America12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 12 challenging
PKG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

any color you can provide on the miss in your legacy business relative to expectations?

ChallengingMarginM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kent detailed Greif's 14¢ contribution, 4¢ from a depreciation benefit, the rest from higher volumes and integration.

Calendar 2025 Q4

if you had those 2 extra shipping days in 1Q, would things be looser and volumes be softer?

Show response

Mark confirmed would still run full with extra days, expects to run entire mill system full out for all of 2026. Tom said underlying demand improving across all segments including previously weak auto, building products, and durables. Consumer sentiment and GDP cited as positive drivers.

Can you just provide some more color around those commitments? Is it something you're looking to keep?

Show response

Tom confirmed PCA has met all Greif purchase/trade commitments and is discontinuing them. These were agreements Greif had that PCA would not typically maintain.

Are you reflecting the $70 per ton in your 1Q guide?

PricingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kent said only a small amount of the $70/ton increase is in Q1 guidance since it's effective March 1. Tom noted price increases roll through over approximately 90 days with some contracts extending to midyear.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Was that all due to the outages, these will get Massillon and Riverville? Or was there any economic downtime

M&ACapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Kent confirmed lower Greif September results were from outages and $12M timing effects on revenue/profit recognition, not economic downtime. 2026 CapEx details to come in January.

Now that you've owned the assets for roughly 6 weeks, can you talk about any potential upside to those numbers that you foresee from those assets?

Show response

Mark declined to raise targets but said every day seeing positive results. Compared opportunity to Boise assets over the last 10 years. Preferred to remain conservative.

can you talk about maybe some of the benefits that you're receiving from that extra work that you put into the mill?

M&ACapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Mark said PCA deployed 200-person technology engineering organization. Comprehensive refurbishment touching everything from ceilings to U-drain sewers. 50% quality improvement in profiles already. Mill investments expected in tens of millions, not hundreds of millions, no Jackson-scale conversion needed.

Calendar 2025 Q2

you said, it sounded like box shipments sort of stated in June. Wondering what's happened there?

DemandTrade TariffsM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tom cited tariff uncertainty, customers managing inventories tightly. Automotive, building products, salty snacks/sugary beverages all under pressure. On Greif, capital avoidance is significant, box plants now cost $300M, mills $1B+.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Was something specifically the way you ran your mills? Was it something with the contracts where price was able to flow through faster?

Show response

Tom said price increase implemented as announced. Larger portion from outside liner/medium sales and non-contract box pricing. Contractual side rolling through in normal 90-day cycle.

Can you just give us a sense of some of those business wins that you had in e-commerce, where they stand with respect to EBITDA margin

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Tom declined to give specific margin comparison. Said volume growth primarily from existing customers. E-commerce is #1 growth segment but PCA doesn't differentiate margin targets by segment.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you give us a sense of the operating rate you're currently at? Would it be fair to say you're running full out

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Mark declined to confirm running full out but said running hard. Counce/Valdosta capacity projects would be next couple of years if approved.

Can you give us a sense of the volume cadence you're expecting through 2025?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Tom said continued steady volume growth but tougher YoY comps in back half. Capital projects coming online will support growth.

SWSmurfit WestRock10 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
SW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

does the shift of, you know, business away from CRB to SBS/CUK afford you the ability to improve your CRB asset base?

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Tony cited a specific closure and Ken added the St. Paul CRB mill, but stopped short of signalling further CRB rationalisation beyond ongoing evaluation.

where do order books stand relative to, let’s say, historical norms?

Show response

Tony gave an extended grade-by-grade and region-by-region answer covering brown grades, CUK, SBS and CRB, plus box demand nuances by market.

Calendar 2026 Q1

What levers do you have available to you internally to offset those higher costs. Are there cost takeout programs

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ken described always-active plant-by-plant cost takeout programs as part of budget process. Projects started 2-3 years ago coming online with better impact given energy volatility. Innovation programs designed to take costs out for both SW and customers (demonstrated at Amsterdam event). Every cost item scrutinized, no cost incurred is a basic principle. Works in both inflationary and low-inflation environments.

you mentioned, Tony, seeing much improved demand and strength in order books. And it seems like you sold out of most paper grades. What do you think is driving that

Show response

Tony quantified volume progression: Q4 -8.5%, Q1 -7%, April -4% YoY. Lapping higher comparators from Q1/Q2 last year. Gave LatAm turnaround example: one facility went from 350M sq meters at -$20M/year to 280M sq meters at +$15M/year. Ken cited shelf restocking need, security of supply concerns, and green shoots in home improvement/white goods as demand drivers.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Any color you can provide in terms of how demand trended in both North America and Europe in September and what you've seen thus far in October

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tony acknowledged October uptick didn't materialize. Explained legacy WestRock business taken on in prior year being exited, with some expected to return at economic prices. On CRB-to-SBS: SBS competitive due to lower price, brighter sheet, lower caliper, better printability. Already transferred ~$100M in 4-5 months.

is there anything you could do to expedite cost takeout? You mentioned, obviously, continuing to trim assets in Europe, rationalizing the 2 German plants

Cost PressureCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tony explained European system already well optimized, running full except August/December holidays. SW is low-cost producer with returns far exceeding competitors. Expects more independent mill closures. Continuous cost reduction programs across all businesses to mitigate wage inflation.

Calendar 2025 Q2

How much of the business in North America remains in a loss position

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tony noted ~60% of corrugated loss-makers still to fix, expects another 40% to move to profit over coming year. On Europe, cited an independent paper mill closure announced that day as evidence of unsustainable pricing for non-integrated third/fourth tier players.

you mentioned you cut the loss making, I believe, I heard you say in North America corrugated by 40%. What metric or metrics are you referring to exactly

Show response

Tony explained ~40% of loss-making plants moved to profit through systematic account review. Volume loss is partly deliberate from exiting uneconomic contracts. Replacing lost machine time with even breakeven business substantially improves results, with ~6 month lag for machine refill.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I just want to follow up on what you just mentioned, Tony, in terms of not banking on a second half recovery. Can you give us a sense just in terms of how you're thinking about the demand trajector...

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Tony indicated slightly better H2 due to comparators, but needs consumer confidence to return which requires tariff certainty. European market described as better with reasonable demand. Reiterated value-over-volume will cause some volume loss but improve profitability.

you mentioned additional downtime of $100 million in 2Q. You had been originally thinking maybe $10 million to $15 million back in February. Where are you taking this downtime

Show response

Ken declined specifics on where downtime is being taken, said it's across the system including ahead of maintenance and CapEx projects. On synergies, confirmed exit rate of $400M by end of 2025, with phasing broadly balanced across remaining quarters.

AMCRAmcor7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
AMCR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What type of volume growth are you embedding within that -- the transition period outlook?

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Steve said the $1.80-1.90 guide embeds flat to very modestly up volume. PK attributed healthcare volume softness to a deliberate mix shift out of lower-margin medical into higher-margin pharma (nasal, ophthalmic, inhalation), which expands healthcare profit despite lower volumes, citing GLP-1, generics and air knife coating wins.

Calendar 2026 Q1

have you been able to gain any share given your global presence and product availability

Competitive DynamicsCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

PK described strong supply position: 65% of resin from NA, broad global supplier network, ability to swing volumes and reformulate quickly. Some customers approaching Amcor due to incumbent supplier issues. Still early to quantify share gains but opportunities emerging.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Given that synergies seem to be more weighted to rigid, should we expect operating leverage to be relatively muted EBITDA margins to be relatively flat year on year and flexible

Show response

Steve acknowledged Flex margins likely stable in near-term H2 but on a multiyear view, synergy capture (revenue synergies, operational improvements) will spread across both segments and drive margin improvement in Flexibles too.

Calendar 2025 Q2

What type of volume growth is embedded in that forecast

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Michael confirmed flat volume assumption underpins $0.80-$0.83 guidance. Better volumes could drive top-end; worse volumes manageable with cost actions. NA Bev elevated costs expected in Q1 but improvement thereafter. Q1 volumes expected similar to Q4.

Calendar 2025 Q1

maybe you can just comment on if that’s something that you see that’s still within the crosshairs for the combined company

Show response

PK highlighted complementary resin portfolios (Berry=PP, Amcor=PET/PE) creating harmonization opportunity. In volume-muted environment, large buyer is more attractive to suppliers needing to load capacity. Michael noted synergy target benchmarks at ~5% of sales, consistent with deal precedent.

Calendar 2024 Q4

is there anything that stands out that you weren't expecting, upside, downside?

Show response

PK confirmed no surprises in due diligence, growing synergy confidence. Michael noted continued cost focus with ~$7M restructuring benefits remaining in H2 from Russia disposal offset program.

Calendar 2024 Q3

would it be fair to say that the algorithm at least in the near term has shifted higher

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Michael acknowledged near-term observations are correct but maintained the 20-30 bps algorithm over longer periods. Cost management flexibility and mix management drive consistency through cycles.

AVYAvery Dennison7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
AVY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

So how should we think about how this renewed focus on price affects volumes?

Show response

Stander pointed to roughly 1% retail sales growth and flat CPG volumes, but held to low-single-digit base label volume growth on continued share gains.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how do you think about the cadence of IL over the duration of the year? To hit your guide for 2026 in terms of growing beyond 2025

Innovation & R&DDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed IL growth significantly H2-weighted with sequential run rate improvement. Logistics customer international expansion going according to plan; first-mile shipper orientation also progressing. Two-to-three other logistics pilots expanding.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you share what you started to do or what you're looking to do early this year? To drive that growth?

Innovation & R&DDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO outlined three growth levers: new customer acquisition for HVC, accelerated innovation commercialization (AI-designed inlays cut from 8-10 weeks to 2 weeks), and digital/AI capabilities. Hired chief digital officer. Apparel seeing new IL adoption and loss prevention expansion.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Any potential for new deployments in the near term? Any comments you may have on potential like share gains?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO expects to expand UPS share through innovation. No new logistics rollout expected in 2025; assessing 2026 likelihood for January update.

Calendar 2025 Q2

the company did announce plans in late June to close 60 stores over the next 18 months. So can you just give us a sense of what that means for your IL deployments

DemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO said store closures are negligible to rollout. Kroger at ~700 stores on track, actively discussing acceleration into proteins given strong ROI.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what are you doing to try to mitigate any further share erosion in logistics?

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO detailed three-pronged competitive strategy: innovation leadership, roll-to-roll manufacturing cost advantage, and go-to-market expertise.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what gives you the confidence that they’re going to be able to keep the volumes they promised you this year?

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CEO emphasized learnings from first adoption cycle, resolved tagging issues, and broadened the response to stress multi-lever franchise strength.

Show 1 more company
BALLBall Corporation7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
BALL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

just trying to get an early read on how volumes are shaping up for '27

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Roxland sought a 2027 volume read and ramp timing; Lewis declined 2027 guidance but pointed to long-term 2-3% growth and full Millersburg value in 2027.

Calendar 2026 Q1

What levers do you have available to you internally to offset those higher costs

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Lewis cited operational excellence as primary cost offset lever, supplemented by pass-through contract structure for freight, materials, and aluminum. Rabbitt reiterated $35M Millersburg/ends costs concentrated in Q3 with possible Q4 spillover.

what you see in terms of potential for EMEA and why it has the most runway relative to other businesses

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rabbitt explained EMEA has lowest profit per can of all regions, providing the most improvement runway. Lewis added operational excellence platform implementation, network optimization with Benepack, and people/systems investment as key drivers. NA also on target for 2x leverage.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you talk about any potential changes in customer relationships, business wins the company has experienced really as a result of the recent management changes

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Lewis highlighted sold out 2026, well contracted into 2027, and some strategic partnerships extending into the next decade. Transition has strengthened customer interactions.

how much of the $500 million in savings have you realized thus far

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Lewis confirmed approximately 75% of $500M savings delivered in first 2 years (2024-2025), on track to complete in 3-year window vs original 4-year target. All 67 plants have rolled out Ball operational excellence platform.

Calendar 2024 Q4

just trying to get a sense from you as to what the competitive environment is like, particularly given softer demand maybe some competitors looking to gain share

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Fisher described pricing as healthy historically, perhaps not peak-shortage levels but still strong margins. Competitor capacity in upper Midwest not aligned to demand centers.

How far along do you think the beer companies are in this process? And I'll throw it out there, when do you expect beer demand to inflect higher

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Fisher candidly admitted uncertainty on timing but expects more aggressive pricing and promotional behavior from brewers in peak season. End consumer health remains key variable.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
IP International Paper1331%4 of 13 questions
WY Weyerhaeuser1315%2 of 13 questions
PKG Packaging Corporation of America128%1 of 12 questions
SW Smurfit WestRock100%none of 10 questions
AMCR Amcor70%none of 7 questions
AVY Avery Dennison729%2 of 7 questions
BALL Ball Corporation714%1 of 7 questions
  • IP
    International Paper · 13 questions
    31%4 of 13 questions
  • WY
    Weyerhaeuser · 13 questions
    15%2 of 13 questions
  • PKG
    Packaging Corporation of America · 12 questions
    8%1 of 12 questions
  • SW
    Smurfit WestRock · 10 questions
    0%none of 10 questions
  • AMCR
    Amcor · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • AVY
    Avery Dennison · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • BALL
    Ball Corporation · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q41020%2 of 10 questions6
2025 Q11118%2 of 11 questions6
2025 Q2911%1 of 9 questions6
2025 Q3100%none of 10 questions5
2025 Q4813%1 of 8 questions5
2026 Q11118%2 of 11 questions6
2026 Q2922%2 of 9 questions7
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q410 questions · challenge rate 20% (2 of 10 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q111 questions · challenge rate 18% (2 of 11 questions) · 6 companies
  4. 2025 Q29 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q310 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q48 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q111 questions · challenge rate 18% (2 of 11 questions) · 6 companies
  8. 2026 Q29 questions · challenge rate 22% (2 of 9 questions) · 7 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand26
  • Margin19
  • Competitive Dynamics18
  • Cost Pressure15
  • M&A10
  • Pricing10
  • Innovation & R&D10
  • Guidance Reliability6
  • Capex Investment5
  • Revenue Growth5
Show all 18 topics
  • Capital Allocation3
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Labor Market2
  • Supply Chain2
  • Inventory1
  • Geographic Expansion1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Product Launch1