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Analyst

Peter Keith

Piper Sandler · covers Consumer Cyclical, Consumer Defensive

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
26on tracked calls
Challenge rate
8%2 of 26 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 26 of 26 questions from 7 companies

ROLRollins, Inc.9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 9 challenging
ROL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how do you feel about the drier ground conditions this year as a potential headwind on the business?

Show response

Management engaged the drought/weather hypothesis but concluded weakness was too geographically broad to be weather-driven.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what were the positives that offset and I'm assuming pricing played into that, but I was hoping you could answer the question.

Show response

Ken cited materials and supplies improvement plus leverage on less-variable costs (branch rent, professional services) driven by 3-4% pricing. These positives were unfortunately fully offset by the fleet and insurance headwinds.

what you experienced as headwinds on free cash flow in Q1 reversed in Q2 where now we should see abnormal year-on-year increase.

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ken said interest payments are semiannual so Q2 won't have the headwind. Tax timing benefits mostly front-loaded in H1 with full potential visible by Q4. Mid-teens full-year cash flow growth target intact.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I wanted to just dig into the incremental EBITDA margin which was below 20% and make sure I understand it.

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ken quantified lost one-time volume at $12-15M with $7-8M profit impact, plus $6M fleet gains headwind (80bps). Not still aggressively hiring in Q4 but carrying people brought on earlier in the year who are trained and experienced for peak season.

are there any that need to be made or any sort of structural changes to the CRM infrastructure to help drive that collaboration?

Innovation & R&DCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ken said AI focus is on orchestrating systems rather than full CRM overhaul; still in first inning of discussions. No major CapEx change expected in 2026. Enterprise-wide financial systems being implemented but not disruptive to cash flow profile.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you've stair stepped up above 30%. Is this something you think is now sustainable for at least the foreseeable future?

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ken said 35% validates capability but will fluctuate with investment cycles. Focus remains on double-digit revenue growth, double-digit earnings growth, and compounding cash flow.

I was hoping you could just unpack the drivers to that improvement? And are those drivers sustainable?

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ken cited ~$20M lower cash taxes and better receivables management; ex-tax benefit, cash flow still compounding at ~18%. Mid-teens growth sustainable.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Are you now lapping growth investments so that, that pace of spend comes down?

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ken confirmed lapping begins in Q3, expects improving margins in H2. Will continue investing if it delivers double-digit EPS growth and 15-20% cash flow compounding.

is there anything evolving in the model where you're seeing more, I guess, improved expense control?

MarginCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ken described broad cost review covering events, meetings, back office, cash management, and processes as part of value creation program.

BBYBest Buy6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
BBY company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

Do you still expect it will have a positive impact on EBIT this year?

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Corie highlighted strong KPIs: high unit sales in accessories, lower return rates than 1P, 80%+ returns to stores, strong customer experience scores. Matt said OI impact shifted from slight positive to neutral due to slightly different product mix and slower ramp than originally modeled, though gross profit rate impact remains positive.

what's driving the decel in the overall outlook vis-a-vis Q3?

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Matt cited tougher Q4 comps vs Q3 (Q4 last year saw growth while Q3 saw pressure), gaming growth slowing from Q2 launch pace, and wearables not expected to repeat Q3 growth levels. Holiday is never easy to predict.

Calendar 2025 Q2

are there other products or innovation launches that are coming in the upcoming months that you've got your eye on

DemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jason highlighted: Windows 10 end-of-support in October driving upgrades, millions of Macs still on pre-M-chip, mini LED and anti-glare TV innovation, and AR/mixed reality wearables growth. Corie added handheld gaming innovation and high-end gaming computers/monitors.

are you still on track for a mid-year launch?

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Corie confirmed mid-year launch timeline and that even after investments and cannibalization, marketplace is expected to be accretive at both gross profit and OI levels. Canada experience informs their cannibalization estimates.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I wanted to just first dig into the Q4 comp outlook for flat to down three and how you constructed that outlook

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Matt explained that first 3 weeks represent only 20% of Q4 sales, acknowledging promotional calendar shifts will create different spending patterns.

Could you just update us on your sourcing exposure, where you are today, with both China and Mexico

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Corie disclosed ~60% COGS from China unchanged, Mexico second largest, and outlined mitigation strategies including pre-buying, vendor partnerships, and assortment changes.

TSCOTractor Supply4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
TSCO company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Is that category getting worse? Like I guess if you could talk about the trend through the quarter

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Hal said pet comp trends stable for 6-7 months but below expectations. Share performance stable. Pet over-indexes in Q1 by nearly 5 points vs rest of year. Multiple offsets across portfolio. Guidance assumes continued pressure with gradual improvement as initiatives take hold.

Calendar 2025 Q4

pet food category that was not called out as an area of outperformance within Q. I think there's been some concern out there with investors of maybe market share loss

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Seth said pet does not need to over-deliver for comp targets. No indication of share loss, holding share with trips stable. Over 2M pets through pet washes, PetVet clinic sales up 20%+. Expanding fresh/frozen pet food to a few hundred stores. 4health brand being revitalized.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how you feel about your current rate of market share capture so far year to date? And then what are just some of the competitive advantages

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Hal highlighted substantial and consistent share gains over three years, especially in CUE categories with high single-digit unit growth in feed. Scale, market leadership, and brand provide competitive advantages.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if the rising egg prices here is starting to drive some acceleration in that category. And as we think about egg prices potentially continuing to go up

Show response

Seth noted about one in five shoppers participate in backyard poultry. Rising egg prices seen as both engagement driver for existing customers and entry point for new customers.

DGDollar General2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
DG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is the gross margin outlook it does not feel like it is changed. Have you contemplated higher gas prices?

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Donny said fuel costs are expected to stay elevated all year but the team will mitigate pressure above forecast, as it did in Q1.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I was wondering if you had an early view on how the one big, beautiful bill will have an impact on your core customer

Regulation PolicyMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO detailed that no-tax-on-tips, overtime, and Social Security provisions plus child tax credits benefit DG's core customer. Work requirements not expected to be impactful; broader SNAP cuts a 2027-28 headwind.

DLTRDollar Tree2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
DLTR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

is that going out to all stores? And is there any maybe quantifiable lift that you've seen in early tests?

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Creedon confirmed rollout to 8,500 stores accessing Uber Eats' 25 million customers. Noted early order volume is encouraging even before marketing launch, with demographic skewing younger and incremental to existing base.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Are you finding any need that you have to invest more in labor? And on a related note, too, do you see any opportunity to invest more in advertising

Cost PressureDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Creedon emphasized multi-price stores self-funding through higher sales, with only one-time reset costs per store. On advertising, highlighted organic social media success including Dollar Tree dinners with 12 million views.

WMTWalmart Inc.2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
WMT company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

the new ad campaign called Who Knew

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Furner said campaign aimed to help people see Walmart differently and discover broad assortment across stores first-party e-commerce and marketplace. Launched mid-June with a lot of excitement. Hard to measure impact at this point but e-commerce channels assortment breadth and delivery speed have accelerated. Quarter delivered 26% e-commerce growth which is 5% to 6% above prior trending. Exciting plans for campaign in back half of year.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if that continued improvement could have positive implications for some of these high value revenue streams

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Doug confirmed GM improvement would benefit profitability since GM items carry higher gross margins than grocery, but noted some of this depends on the broader economy.

Show 1 more company
TGTTarget Corporation1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
TGT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

How should we think about gross margin in 2026? It sounds like there's some tariff lapping that might help. And then longer term, how should we think about gross margin?

MarginTrade TariffsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jim confirms gross margin expansion expected in 2026 from lapping tariff/inventory costs (which sit in COGS) while new investments sit in SG&A. Long-term tailwinds from Roundel, mix management, and supply chain productivity as scale drives leverage.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
ROL Rollins, Inc.911%1 of 9 questions
BBY Best Buy60%none of 6 questions
TSCO Tractor Supply425%1 of 4 questions
DG Dollar General2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
DLTR Dollar Tree2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
WMT Walmart Inc.2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
TGT Target Corporation1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • ROL
    Rollins, Inc. · 9 questions
    11%1 of 9 questions
  • BBY
    Best Buy · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • TSCO
    Tractor Supply · 4 questions
    25%1 of 4 questions
  • DG
    Dollar General · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • DLTR
    Dollar Tree · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • WMT
    Walmart Inc. · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • TGT
    Target Corporation · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q110%none of 1 question1
2025 Q250%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q350%none of 5 questions4
2025 Q4540%2 of 5 questions3
2026 Q140%none of 4 questions3
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q11 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  3. 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  4. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  5. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 40% (2 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  6. 2026 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Margin11
  • Demand11
  • Competitive Dynamics6
  • Revenue Growth3
  • Guidance Reliability3
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Capex Investment3
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Pricing2
  • Capital Allocation2
Show all 15 topics
  • Trade Tariffs2
  • Supply Chain1
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Macroeconomic1
  • Product Launch1