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Analyst

Zhihan Ma

Bernstein · covers Consumer Defensive, Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
26on tracked calls
Challenge rate
8%2 of 26 questions
Companies
6questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 26 of 26 questions from 6 companies

HDThe Home Depot, Inc.10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
HD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

How do you think about AUR for the back half of the year and if there are going to be any need for price reinvestment

Show response

Billy said back-half AUR and any price reinvestment are already contemplated in the reaffirmed guide, with no changes from what was previously communicated.

Calendar 2026 Q2

How do you think the balance of the 2 are going to trend over the course of the year?

PricingTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management noted tariff-related pricing has settled at approximately 3% and year-over-year pressure is lessening, but declined to give specific ticket/traffic guidance.

Does that mean that there's more acquisitions that you need to make to continue to grow there?

M&AGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ted confirmed HVAC will become SRS's fifth vertical with modest tuck-in acquisitions to add manufacturer geographies, while leveraging HD infrastructure for national parts distribution.

Calendar 2026 Q1

on inventory, up about 10% year-over-year. Can you talk about how much of that is driven by GMS versus the cost going up? Is there any underlying increase in the inventory buildup as well

Show response

Richard attributed inventory growth primarily to GMS addition, plus higher tariff-driven costs and some year-over-year increase from accelerated delivery speed investments. Said in-stocks and inventory position are in great shape for 2026.

can you talk about the big ticket discretionary projects? How sales trends are trending there? And are you seeing any improvement

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ted said big ticket discretionary remains the telltale for a demand inflection and HD has not seen it yet. Positive comp in FY2025 came from other categories, not large remodel projects. Will be the key signal for a market turn.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I think if we do the math based on the reported numbers last year, kind of implies a high single-digit percentage decline on a year-over-year basis

ChallengingM&ARevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Richard explained $2B reflects partial-year ownership during GMS's weakest seasonal period plus weather impact. GMS continues to take share across all categories.

is there a path for you to structurally improve or recover your margins as you start to gain more

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ted said wholesale vs retail margin structures won't dramatically change, but cross-sell synergies and operating efficiencies across larger scale will drive leverage over time.

Calendar 2025 Q2

the acceleration in comps over the course of Q1, was there any Easter timing shift impact in there

Show response

Richard confirmed Easter shift benefited March and hurt April. Adjusting for Easter, April US comp would have been closer to 2.5% versus reported.

Can you just help us understand how much of that was driven by SRS in the base?

Show response

Richard confirmed majority of inventory increase was SRS addition. No meaningful pull-forward. Also invested in DCs to support speed initiative momentum.

Calendar 2025 Q1

How does your Complex Pro initiatives impact your long term ROI expectations, taking into account that you are extending more trade credit

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ted emphasized pro ecosystem is relatively asset-light with leased DCs and trucks, commissioned sales teams, and currently tiny trade credit exposure.

DGDollar General6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
DG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

your full-year guidance does imply some sort of a moderation compared to the really strong trend that we saw in Q2

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Todd said top-line fundamentals are intact but flagged a large Q4 winter-storm lap; Emily noted delivery outsized growth.

Calendar 2026 Q2

as you start to lap some of the tougher shrink comparisons as the year goes on, how to think about the cadence of margin

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Donny walked through Q1's 65 bps gross margin gain from markups, shrink and damages, and reaffirmed confidence in the 6% to 7% long-term operating margin framework.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Todd, you mentioned that the remodels are generating about, like, the 3% to 6% sales lift, which I believe are at the lower end of the previous ranges you've given

ChallengingCapital AllocationCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO noted Project Elevate at ~3% comp (year one, not yet cycled), Renovate at ~6%, both delivering strong returns. Highlighted 11,000 remaining US opportunities with competition not opening stores.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you help us better understand what proportion of the comp is driven by more macro-oriented trade-in versus more company-specific?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO attributed comp to both self-help execution and trade-in, noting that without Back to Basics work the trade-in customer may not have stuck. Described digital retention playbook for trade-in customers.

Calendar 2025 Q1

beyond the existing kind of 96 Dollar General stores, 45 pOpshelf stores, are you expecting more to be closed based on your portfolio optimization?

Capital AllocationRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CEO addressed closures as test-and-learn optimization, highlighted 12,000 remaining greenfield opportunities. CFO provided specific IRR (17%) and payback (2 years) metrics.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I believe you historically mentioned that the DGTP remodels had an 8% to 11% comp sales lift that compares to the 6% to 8% you were mentioning today

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

Dilts explained the lower remodel comp lift is driven by existing stores already having higher cooler counts, reducing the incremental cooler addition. Noted IRRs still exceed new store returns. Vasos added that Project Elevate could enable touching 80-90% of the store base in 3-5 years.

DLTRDollar Tree4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
DLTR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

Did it come in a bit better than your prior expectations? If you can provide a bit more color there

Cost PressureDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Glendinning confirmed corporate SG&A ahead of plan with savings coming faster than expected. Creedon noted tax refunds from OB3 bill would benefit Dollar Tree as the best value retailer.

Calendar 2025 Q3

How do you feel about the service level, the in-stock levels in store? Will you need additional investments to sustain the momentum into the back half

InventorySupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Creedon praised store conditions improvement under 'road to gold' initiative and noted DC position is best in recent memory heading into peak holiday season. Customer insight surveys showing positive feedback.

Calendar 2025 Q2

does anything change from a strategy and philosophy perspective? And specifically on China, how important is China to you today?

Supply ChainTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Creedon reaffirmed commitment to global sourcing for lowest landed cost without specifically quantifying China exposure, maintaining flexibility to shift country of origin based on cost dynamics.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you talk about the cadence of the multi-price rollout, how the Q3 conversions compared to the Q1 and Q2? Has there been some sort of a deceleration given that we're seeing a more low-single-dig...

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

Creedon explained Q3 had 75% of conversions going from 2.0 to 3.0 versus Q1 which was mostly 1.0 to 3.0, creating a natural comp lift differential. Q1 stores remain the strongest performers, Q2 second, Q3 third. Noted the company is rebalancing the 1.0-to-3.0 versus 2.0-to-3.0 mix for next year. Also acknowledged geographic mix impact with Q3 Midwest stores not generating the same pop as California and Florida.

LOWLowe's2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
LOW company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

is the longer-term plan to resume share buybacks by then? Or should we expect additional acquisitions from here?

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Brandon confirmed focus on integration and deleverage over next 2 years with only small self-funded tuck-in M&A possible at FBM level.

Can you just help us understand to what extent you're maybe onboarding ADG on to SBM ERP system

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Marvin noted FBM's ERP is the same platform being used for ADG transition and Lowe's Pro Supply, enabling accelerated IT integration.

TGTTarget Corporation2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
TGT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you just give us an update on across the different fulfillment modes? What's the profitability looking like today? Is it going to be margin dilutive still compared to the brick-and-mortar growt...

MarginSupply ChainRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jim reaffirms the digital ecosystem (e-commerce + Roundel + Target Plus) is profitable and not dilutive, consistent with prior year messaging. Fiddelke adds that Drive Up adoption increases total customer spend 20-30% with store spending also rising, contradicting cannibalization fears.

Calendar 2025 Q1

What are the levers you can pull to improve the core e-commerce profitability from here?

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Fiddelke details efficiency gains across fulfillment modes: sortation centers, Shipt-powered store delivery, and speed improvements driving both cost savings and sales.

WMTWalmart Inc.2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
WMT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

Just trying to parse out how much of that is maybe some transitory impact versus a more structural shift in the channel.

DemandCompetitive DynamicsMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Furner reframed the store comp, stressing stores as omni fulfillment assets (last mile for 80% of e-commerce and 100% of fast deliveries) with record and growing volume.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what are the top three drivers of you improving e-commerce profitability

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rainey said advertising and membership represented little more than a quarter of Q4 operating income. Three key e-commerce profitability drivers: densification of delivery network spreading costs over more volume; over 30% of delivery customers paying extra for one hour or three hour express delivery with 77% on Christmas Eve; and newer high-margin businesses like membership and advertising with lot of runway.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
HD The Home Depot, Inc.1010%1 of 10 questions
DG Dollar General617%1 of 6 questions
DLTR Dollar Tree40%none of 4 questions
LOW Lowe's2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
TGT Target Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
WMT Walmart Inc.2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • HD
    The Home Depot, Inc. · 10 questions
    10%1 of 10 questions
  • DG
    Dollar General · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • DLTR
    Dollar Tree · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • LOW
    Lowe's · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • TGT
    Target Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • WMT
    Walmart Inc. · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q420%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q140%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q230%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q320%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q4633%2 of 6 questions4
2026 Q130%none of 3 questions2
2026 Q230%none of 3 questions2
2026 Q330%none of 3 questions3
  1. 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q46 questions · challenge rate 33% (2 of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  7. 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  8. 2026 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Revenue Growth9
  • Margin6
  • M&A6
  • Demand5
  • Capital Allocation4
  • Competitive Dynamics3
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Supply Chain3
  • Pricing2
  • Trade Tariffs2
Show all 17 topics
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Inventory2
  • Capex Investment2
  • Macroeconomic1
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Geographic Expansion1
  • Product Launch1