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Analyst

Kelly Bania

BMO Capital Markets · covers Consumer Cyclical, Consumer Defensive

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
36on tracked calls
Challenge rate
6%2 of 36 questions
Companies
8questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 36 of 36 questions from 8 companies

CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
CASY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I wanted to just go back to the beer, snacks and cigarette commentary and the impact on the grocery comps.

Show response

Darren detailed each: cigarettes in a decades-long decline with nicotine margin double combustibles; snacks pressured by national-brand pricing, offset by private label; beer soft, offset by liquor and RTD cocktails.

Calendar 2026 Q2

what drives that further increase in CPGs for next year? Is that just given how strong they've already started out?

Show response

Steve cited a strong Q4 exit plus structural drivers (CPGs tracking CPI, small-operator pressure) as supporting the mid-$0.40s modeling assumption.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I was just curious if you have seen any impact to consumer behavior, traffic ticket, inside sales just in the past few weeks?

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Darren said no behavior change. Fuel up ~$0.30/gal from recent events but still $0.30 below Ukraine-war starting point. Currently low $3/gal, well below $5 threshold. Positive traffic to stores continues. Value proposition strengthens in higher-price environment.

Can you talk a little bit more about the timing and cadence of additional rollout of that program to more stores?

Product LaunchPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rollout over next 2 years by distribution center, requires fryer installation and training. Pricing maintains gap below national competitors like pizza strategy. Creating incremental occasion; wing-only customers visiting and increasing frequency. $7.99 for 8 pieces.

Calendar 2025 Q3

just curious if there's any more learnings that you can share or even refinements to that original plan for the $45 million in synergies.

M&AGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Darren said integration on track. Fuel and G&A synergies tracking ahead of plan. Kitchen remodels (biggest bucket) haven't started; permitting in progress. Steve said $45M still right number but prospects likely above that once remodels complete. Fikes CEO used to price all fuel personally.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Just wanted to talk about the same-store sales outlook for fiscal '26 in that 2% to 5% range. I guess it's just a little lower on the low end there than the past several years

Guidance ReliabilityProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Darren said low end reflects reasonable conservatism given macro uncertainty. Wings test at ~225 stores showing encouraging results with strong guest feedback, modifications ongoing, more to come later.

just wanted to ask about the EBITDA contribution from CEFCO in the quarter and what's embedded in the fiscal '26 outlook from the deal there?

Show response

Steve said Fikes was EBITDA accretive in Q4 as expected. FY26 contribution will be less than $80M pro forma (some stores still ramping) but consistently double-digit millions accretive each quarter.

Calendar 2025 Q1

just curious how much EBITDA the acquisition of Fikes added to the quarter and how much it's contributing to the 11% EBITDA growth forecast

Show response

Fikes was EBITDA negative in Q3 due to $13M integration costs; will be modestly positive in Q4. The EBITDA raise to 11% is a mothership phenomenon, not Fikes-driven.

I was just wondering if you can talk about how Casey markets, kind of legacy markets performed from a fuel margin standpoint

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Steve confirmed legacy Casey's CPG was ~$0.38 before Fikes blend-down of ~$0.02. Same-store gallons of +1.8% excludes Fikes entirely.

COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
COST company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

are you willing to share some metrics on what new member households look like in international countries such as Asia

Subscriber GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Gary declined specific international metrics but said Asian warehouses have far more members each who visit less frequently, versus fewer, higher-spending U.S. members.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I wanted to ask first, if you could just talk about the pharmacy category. A lot of moving pieces being called out

Revenue GrowthInnovation & R&DRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Gary said pharmacy will see only a small top-line impact from Medicare maximum fair pricing, the business grew faster than total sales aided by new AI in-stock tools and digital checkout enhancements, and declined to size retail media because the value will flow back to members and show up in top-line growth rather than margin.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Hoping to go back to the topic of of renewal rates a little bit. I know you don't prefer to guide or or forecast

Subscriber GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Gary said the renewal drag is entirely attributable to the digital-sign-up cohort, early communication-targeting results are encouraging but one quarter in, and a couple more quarters of slight decline are still possible.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Just wanted to ask about membership growth and total membership households that continue to increase

Subscriber GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Gary emphasized word-of-mouth organic growth over geographic splits, saying international opens drive more new sign-ups while US fill-ins drive faster sales ramps by freeing up capacity in impacted warehouses.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Just wanted to try and see if we could understand your your stance on inventory planning here.

InventoryPricingTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Gary gave pineapples/bananas (held price) vs flowers (passed some through) as live examples of item-by-item tariff mitigation, and pointed to opportunities to lean into US-produced items.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Wanted to just ask about membership fees. Obviously, you've had the increase in the US and Canada that's flowing through

Subscriber GrowthPricingGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Gary announced Japan and Korea fee increases following Australia, Mexico and the US, and outlined executive-membership maturity curve internationally.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I was wondering if you could just talk a little bit about your partnerships with Instacart and Uber now that you've had Uber for quite some time

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ron said partnerships increase member shop frequency and enable cost-effective small-item delivery. Gary confirmed growth at least in line with digital business; Ron corrected to slightly higher.

WMTWalmart Inc.5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
WMT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

how you are communicating this to your customers and membership base to ensure you're generating the ROI that you expect

PricingTrade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Furner said rollbacks span food, general merchandise, consumables and fashion, communicated via in-store signing and the homepage, but did not quantify ROI by category.

Calendar 2026 Q1

advertising, $6.4 billion now

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Rainey said large numbers make same growth rates more challenging but overall progress not slowing. Growth increasingly from marketplace sellers versus first-party brands. VIZIO advertising achieved triple-digit growth in quarter with a lot of runway as base is not as large. As percent of addressable market or GMV still long way to go versus best-in-class competitors. Furner said Seth Dallaire moved to enterprise role with marketplace VIZIO advertisements data services and Walmart Plus to build once scale globally. Share relatively low compared to addressable market with opportunity to accelerate growth in other markets.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how incredibly consistent, so many of the key metrics are really across the board

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rainey said team feels good about relative price gaps and value with over 7,000 rollbacks. Quarter was quite consistent with no month outlier. Pockets of moderation in low income cohort with wage growth disparity at widest in almost a decade. Walmart better insulated than most given value proposition. If more consumer pressure people become more value seeking. Furner added more than one thing can be true at once with accelerated gains in higher income customers throughout quarter. Apparel grew over 5% every month. All income levels participating in delivery choices. Rainey said marketplace categories like automotive toys electronics apparel growing north of 40% showing broader assortment resonating.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you ended up with some lower markup

MarginTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Furner said merchants have capabilities to mix business and be competitive. Over 7,000 rollbacks with customers responding to value investments. Focused on inventory management with how you close a quarter determining how you enter the next. Tailwinds from markdowns and shrinkage due to inventory management. Improvement in days on hand in stores supply chain and fulfillment centers. Turns increasing with 4.6% comp putting company in good position. Will watch competitors closely to maintain price gaps. Delivery at scale and speed driving dollar share gains in key food categories. Pretty consistent quarter to quarter from merchandise margin standpoint.

Calendar 2025 Q1

the tariffs and just what you're assuming

Trade TariffsGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

McMillon said tariffs managed for many years with great team and wired to save people money. Cannot predict future but can manage well. Delivery speed important with assets close to customers as big advantage. Make fluid decisions about technology wages and prices. Rainey confirmed no explicit tariff assumption in guidance and feel good about ability to navigate. Newer businesses contributed over half of operating income growth. Densification of delivery network improving unit economics.

KRKroger4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
KR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

add a little more color on how you feel about market share and what that fresh versus nonfresh dynamic looks like

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

David itemized the 265 basis point headwind (IRA 140bps, brand-to-generic 60bps, eggs 30bps, cyclospora 35bps) and said Kroger widened its share gap to Circana's rest of market.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you just maybe help parse out more specifically the impact of pharmacy on the quarter? It sounds like you are estimating some slight market share improvements

Revenue GrowthMarginCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

David said pharmacy impact similar to recent quarters. Slight unit deceleration in Q3 driven by discretionary categories and meat inflation, offset by deli and natural/organic strength. On $400M reinvestment: split between pricing, in-store experience, technology, and operating margin improvement, specifics in 2026 guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I was just curious, if you have any specific strategies or factors that you would attribute that to? And also in that, you noted strong demand in delivery. And I was wondering if you could clarify ...

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ron declined to break out delivery channels or specific strategies. Attributed growth to unified leadership under Yael Cosset. David noted strong metrics across households, order volume, and orders per household.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I think this quarter and this year, even came in ahead of plan, but it sounded like this year is planned flat. So just curious if you could talk about what maybe different about this year versus th...

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Todd attributed 2024 margin outperformance to shrink improvement from ORC strategies and AI-driven sell-through tools. Expects some shrink benefit to continue but will start cycling gains mid-year. Alt profit expected to see dollar growth above 2024.

SYYSysco4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
SYY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I wanted to ask about the, the incremental cost savings related to the tech and AI initiatives.

Show response

Management confirmed the $100M is net of investment, back-half weighted to USFS, builds over time, and more than covers the paused buyback.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what are the financial implications of that initiative? I believe it's intended to drive growth, but is there any sort of trade-off between margin and case growth?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kevin clarified price agility targets volume growth at maintained margins, not margin sacrifice. Not materially in FY2026 plan; being rolled out at pace of change management. Perks 2.0 and AI 360 CRM are the primary FY2026 growth drivers.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Can you just maybe drill down and elaborate on what is driving that? And are you willing to comment about where you're tracking in October?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kenny provided specific Q2 outlook and October color showing similar trends to September with stronger back half of October.

you remain quite positive on the impact from the compensation change into the second half? And can you just help us understand what gives you that confidence

Competitive DynamicsLabor MarketTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kevin cited three proof points: increasing customer count month-over-month, total team selling acceleration, and colleague growth on performance grid.

DGDollar General3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
DG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

It sounds like shrink, obviously, the outlook is 50 basis points higher than your prior plan from last year. Can you just talk about the processes or reasons of why that should go higher?

ChallengingMarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO attributed shrink outperformance to self-checkout removal, 100% front-end staffing, inventory control/SKU reduction. Noted damages expected to accelerate in 2026 with Q1 already showing improvement. COO detailed media network growth drivers: improved search, in-store audio, off-site expansion (social, CTV, video), and closed-loop measurement for advertisers.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you unpack that between the price mix and units and just help us understand what is in the plan in terms of inflation for those discretionary categories in the back half?

Show response

CEO noted non-consumable AUR was similar YoY with tariff price increases not yet a significant factor. Highlighted 25% of holiday assortment at $1 or less despite tariffs.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I was wondering if you could talk a little bit more about the same-day delivery pilot. What have you learned so far from there?

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

Vasos detailed the pilot with 75 stores using third-party fulfillment through DG app. Emphasized low cost to both customer and DG with potential to expand to match DoorDash's 16,000-store footprint. Highlighted media network upside from delivery data as a margin contributor beyond product margin.

Show 2 more companies
DLTRDollar Tree3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
DLTR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

They seemed quite strong in the first half but really shifted in the third quarter here. I was just curious if you had any explanation

ChallengingDemandPricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Creedon attributed consumable share shift to peak restickering distraction. Cited improving customer sentiment metrics weekly since September, with fewer pricing mentions and more positivity.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you just walk through some of the key factors that are driving that is a little bit lower than your prior outlook

MarginTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Glendinning cited tariff headwind shifts from Q2 to Q3/Q4, inventory revaluation timing, and higher markdowns partially offsetting freight benefits. Emphasized five levers designed to maintain gross margin integrity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how much is due to the extreme 145% tariff level during that period

Trade TariffsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Glendinning confirmed 145% rate was a big component but declined to break out precisely, noting tariff calculation complexity. SG&A investments expected in Q2-Q4 but should unwind in FY2026.

TGTTarget Corporation1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
TGT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

First, just wanted to clarify the payroll investment that you're talking about, how much of that is hours versus wages?

Labor MarketCapex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Fiddelke confirms investment in both wages and hours, specifically more floor hours for guest experience. Jim frames food investment as portfolio thinking, food drives traffic that opens the store for discretionary. Productivity gains and fresh delivery internalization drive food margin expansion.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc.90%none of 9 questions
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation70%none of 7 questions
WMT Walmart Inc.50%none of 5 questions
KR Kroger40%none of 4 questions
SYY Sysco40%none of 4 questions
DG Dollar General333%1 of 3 questions
DLTR Dollar Tree333%1 of 3 questions
TGT Target Corporation1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • CASY
    Casey's General Stores, Inc. · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • COST
    Costco Wholesale Corporation · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • WMT
    Walmart Inc. · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • KR
    Kroger · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • SYY
    Sysco · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • DG
    Dollar General · 3 questions
    33%1 of 3 questions
  • DLTR
    Dollar Tree · 3 questions
    33%1 of 3 questions
  • TGT
    Target Corporation · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q320%none of 2 questions1
2024 Q420%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q150%none of 5 questions4
2025 Q260%none of 6 questions5
2025 Q350%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q4425%1 of 4 questions4
2026 Q1617%1 of 6 questions5
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions2
2026 Q340%none of 4 questions4
  1. 2024 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q44 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  8. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  9. 2026 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Margin10
  • Revenue Growth10
  • Pricing9
  • Demand8
  • Trade Tariffs6
  • Competitive Dynamics6
  • Subscriber Growth4
  • Innovation & R&D4
  • Geographic Expansion3
  • Cloud & AI3
Show all 19 topics
  • M&A3
  • Guidance Reliability3
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Product Launch2
  • Labor Market2
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Capex Investment1
  • Inventory1
  • Cost Pressure1