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Analyst

Zach Fadem

Wells Fargo · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
52on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 52 questions
Companies
10questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 52 of 52 questions from 10 companies

HDThe Home Depot, Inc.13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 13 challenging
HD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

my first question is on cross-selling between SRS and GMS. you have talked about 400 million for the year

Show response

Richard confirmed the ~$400M cross-sell expectation and reframed the opportunity as system-wide, starting with penetrating the in-store Pro wallet; Ann-Marie and Michael Rowe detailed QuoteCenter and Pro ecosystem traction.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Could you talk to your expectation for second half comp impact from SRS as we move through the new year

Show response

Richard noted SRS delivered $4B in sales with positive organic growth; roofing comps were slightly negative but improved compares in H2 should help. Q2-Q3 last year had historically low hail and hurricane storms.

the first question is for Q1, could you isolate the GMS impact versus core?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Richard confirmed core margin was stable with GMS accounting for the vast majority of the 75bps decline. Cost headwinds biased toward increases from fuel and commodities but tariff refunds could provide significant offset.

Calendar 2026 Q1

could you talk about the performance of markets like Florida and Texas that saw a more challenging housing turnover and home price appreciation environment compared to those markets with perhaps a ...

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ted said no meaningful regional bifurcation despite differences in home prices and turnover. Storm lapping created the biggest geographic comp differences. With turnover at 30-40 year lows everywhere, no statistical significance from price declines alone yet.

We've got larger tax refunds coming, perhaps also a more manageable tariff environment. Could you talk through these dynamics, particularly as you think through first half versus second half within...

MacroeconomicTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ted said tax stimulus could add ~0.5pt of comp at midpoint but not planning on much. Billy confirmed mostly done with tariff pricing, mid-single-digit exposure, ~3% SKU price impact, over 50% sourced domestically. Richard guided H2 comps slightly higher than H1 due to storm lapping.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Could you help us understand what's onetime in terms of impact transactions, et cetera, on Q3 and Q4?

Show response

Richard quantified GMS transaction fees at ~$0.05 EPS for the year, all in Q3. Inventory increase principally from GMS addition and investments in DFC speed promise.

any call-outs on commodities versus same-SKU inflation? And then with last quarter ticking down on promo

PricingTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Billy said ticket growth primarily from customer trade-up and innovation, not broad inflation. Promotional activity consistent year-over-year in both Q3 and Q4. No meaningful trade-down observed.

Calendar 2025 Q3

there's been a lot more talk about the potential for rate cuts later this year. And we also have some tax reform dynamics

MacroeconomicRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ted said economic uncertainty is the top deferral reason by wide margin. Tax bill resolution removes one source of uncertainty. Rate relief would help but no crystal ball on the trigger level.

do you view this more as a catch-up due to weather or an underlying change in trend?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ted attributed Q2 strength to both broader engagement across categories and favorable July weather in the North. Only slight uptick needed in H2 to meet 1% full-year guide.

Calendar 2025 Q2

is it fair to say in that scenario that your price spreads versus your peers would widen?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Richard declined to speculate on competitive pricing dynamics but expressed confidence in HD's own position with best-in-class merchants and SKU-level cost models.

from an accounting perspective, you're under the retail inventory method

MarginTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Richard acknowledged minor variability from retail method but said nothing significant to flag. Retail pricing moves in ordinary course each quarter.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how much of your business would you categorize as needs based versus discretionary today?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

medium

starting with the hurricane impact, Richard, you called out about 55 basis points in Q3. Any color on category impacts and if those sales skewed more DIY versus pro?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

high

AZOAutoZone8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
AZO company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

do you think it is fair to assume that DIY volumes could improve simply because we are lapping that initial deferral

Show response

Jamere acknowledged transaction declines have been unusually elevated with a 3-handle for multiple quarters. Sees opportunity for improvement in traffic as deferral cycle is lapped.

the performance of the 35-40 new Mega Hubs today and how this cohort of Mega Hubs compares to historical openings

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Jamere said stronger commercial business drives faster mega hub ramp; also using mega hubs more for direct-to-customer delivery rather than just fulfillment sourcing.

Calendar 2026 Q1

perhaps you could spend some time talking about the size of the prize in terms of expected returns and payback on these investments

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management expects outsized top-line and EBIT growth in FY27-FY28 as stores mature. Stores reaching targeted ROIC in very short period. MegaHubs performing significantly better than modeled.

it sounds like weather was about a 1 to 1.5 hit to comp in Q2. Just want to make sure that is right

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management confirmed 1-1.5pp weather impact estimate. Expects deferred maintenance to accelerate in back half of year, aided by larger tax refunds driving reinvestment in vehicles.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Any thoughts on Q4 same SKU inflation. And as you do start to see that ramp up, could you walk us through the mechanics of LIFO

PricingTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Management expects similar low inflation absent tariffs but warned tariffs could create LIFO expense headwind in Q4.

Could you remind us what a typical ramp-up is for MegaHub and the number of satellite stores at MegaHub tends to service

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Management noted MegaHubs ramp faster than typical 5-year satellite maturity, becoming magnets for traffic and lifting entire market.

Calendar 2025 Q1

could you talk through the performance of your national accounts versus independents?

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Management reported broad-based growth across segments except new/used car-related customers which remain weak due to high interest rates.

curious to what extent you'd call out weakness at the lower income consumer as a driver?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Management acknowledged ongoing pressure on lower-income consumer from inflation but expressed confidence in gaining share through improved execution.

LOWLowe's7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
LOW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how is your view of the category changed at all in light of all of the changes in the world around us

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Marvin confirmed year is playing out as expected, sales growth more back-half weighted based on comparisons and initiative timing. Bill detailed Daltile flooring rollout, appliance innovation, workwear/pet expansion, STAINMASTER carpet and Pro category improvements.

Calendar 2025 Q4

could we talk through early margin scenarios in both a status quo environment as well as the scenario where perhaps we see some benefits

Show response

Brandon quantified 20bps margin dilution in 2025, with 30bps incremental wrap in 2026 for 50bps total annualized impact, weighted toward gross margin.

I'm curious if there's any extra color you can talk through in terms of how that's trended through the year?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Marvin noted stable pro backlogs and improved confidence in labor access. Joe described a flywheel effect from Transform Pro, loyalty, extended aisle, and inventory investments.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What is the vision here, and what makes this pivot so compelling in your view, especially now?

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Marvin framed ADG+FBM as positioning for the housing inflection, noting Lowe's had strategic deficits in serving the housing recovery opportunity.

Does the comp inflection signal a turn in the home improvement market overall or is it more of a weather and seasonal bounce

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brandon reiterated no macro inflection expected, with second-half improvement driven by Total Home strategy initiatives scaling.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Curious how you think through other policy dynamics like immigration and how that could impact your business

Regulation PolicyLabor MarketTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Marvin acknowledged the question is timely and fair but gave a general preparedness answer without specific immigration impact quantification.

Do you think it's fair to say there was some post-exuberance on behalf of the consumer as a whole in Q4 that's maybe died down a little bit

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Marvin attributed the January/February softness entirely to weather, citing clear geographic evidence that spring categories perform where weather cooperates.

ORLYO'Reilly Automotive6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
ORLY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

there is some concern that the broader industry is beginning to slow, call it inflation, consumer pressures, oil prices

MacroeconomicDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Both Fletcher and Beckham pushed back, citing vehicle parc, average vehicle age and miles driven as the reason they reject the slowdown thesis.

is it fair to think about a 3% comp leverage point? And should we anticipate a return to operating margin expansion

MarginCost PressureGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Fletcher explained the second-half SG&A easing but explicitly refused to set a forward run rate or leverage point ahead of 2027 guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

to what extent you are or are not incorporating these factors in your 3% to 5% guide?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Brad noted weather is hard to predict and while early winter weather was good, some southern market weather impact may not pay off long-term like sustained northern winters. The guidance reflects what they can control with continued consumer cautiousness factored in.

at the gross margin line, maybe we could talk about magnitude of supply chain and distribution tailwinds on the do-it-for-me mix drag offset by Mexico potential benefit

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jeremy noted individual gross margin drivers are each 10-20bps. Professional mix is a decent-sized headwind, offset by acquisition cost improvements (larger driver) and distribution efficiencies. Mexico evolution adds roughly 4-5bps tailwind. SG&A insurance pressure expected more in the first half with dollar-based per-store growth front-loaded.

Calendar 2025 Q2

can you help level set us on the mix of your business that you would say requires immediate action like a dead battery versus what mix is deferrable or discretionary

Show response

Jeremy noted the vast majority of sales are nondiscretionary with little individual job price sensitivity. The greater risk is broader consumer wallet pressure causing deferrals of maintenance items, historically short-lived in their industry.

Can you talk about just the expected impact or opportunity for unlocking share gains in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brent described the I-95 corridor as the last domestic expansion frontier. Brad noted the region represents roughly one-third of the U.S. population with significant vehicle registrations and car park opportunity.

BBYBest Buy4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
BBY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

could you update us on your leverage point in 2027?

Show response

Matt described flex mechanisms: incentive comp scales back first ($100M at low end), then responsible reductions in store labor, marketing, and other variable expenses. Supply chain costs and bad debt also naturally flex. Company has proven ability to deliver OI outcomes even at lower sales levels.

any thoughts on the game plan for fiscal 2027 to return to share gain?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Jason said vast majority remains duress/replacement with high single-unit purchases making promotions less effective. Focusing on: vendor-funded specialty labor, enabling in-store takeaway, and delivery speed optimization for a duress market. Will pivot back to premium/packages when housing market improves.

Calendar 2025 Q3

How do you think about sizing a potential upgrade cycle?

DemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Matt explained computing replacement cycle is most advanced (notebooks, now expanding to desktops and gaming PCs). Gaming is launch-dependent (Switch 2 just happened, next PlayStation/Xbox consoles further out). TVs and appliances on longer 6-8 year cycles. Business shines with innovation, and momentum is building across categories.

curious how a rate tailwind would impact your business?

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Matt said rate easing would primarily benefit major appliances through housing turnover/starts, shifting customers from duress/break-fix single units to package purchases. Some home theater benefit too. BBY's broad assortment and dedicated labor position them well for a housing-driven recovery.

DPZDomino's4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
DPZ company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

are you planning for 2027 to be more promotional or less? And I recognize long term potential has not changed

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Jordan said the plan must evolve every year but does not expect promotional cadence to shift much in 2027.

Calendar 2026 Q2

if you can update us on what products you have tested internationally of late, and any thoughts on results

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Weiner confirmed the new product was developed in the U.S. rather than tested abroad, but deferred DPG results and shared no performance data.

Calendar 2025 Q3

You talk about the metrics you look at internally to measure the success of a promotion

Show response

Russell emphasized order count as key metric, short-term ticket gains sacrificing order count are unsustainable. BDE differs from competitors because discount is on items customers actually want. Sandeep added compounding frequency is the leading indicator; loyalty program is the accelerator.

Calendar 2025 Q1

could you talk a bit about the performance or take rate on Boost Weeks today versus last year and in the past

Show response

Sandeep declined mix specifics going forward; confirmed Boost Weeks roughly in line with prior year as customer acquisition vehicles. Russell cautioned against over-indexing on Boost Weeks to avoid training customers.

Show 4 more companies
SBUXStarbucks3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
SBUX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

a housekeeping question on the impact of coffeehouse initiatives like extended hours, closed stores, and delivery

Revenue GrowthTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Unusually specific: Smith split the 7.9% comp roughly in half between structural factors and underlying performance, called hours a couple of basis points, and said refunds are largely complete.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is there any color you can offer on the magnitude of operating margin performance in the first half of the year versus the second half

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brian and Cathy outlined four margin improvement drivers weighted to back half: Green Apron anniversary in Q4, savings program kicking in, tariff and coffee relief in Q3/Q4, and continued sales leverage from top-line growth.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if you were able to get all transactions under four minutes, how would you frame the comp opportunity?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Brian acknowledged comp opportunity exists but did not quantify. Shared specific learning that abandonment occurs when MOP promise time exceeds 15 minutes, targeting 12-15 minute cap.

TSCOTractor Supply3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
TSCO company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Could you talk about what the benefit was from tariff refunds in Q2?

Trade TariffsMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kurt discussed freight/tariff dynamics and pricing but did not quantify the specific Q2 tariff-refund dollar benefit.

Calendar 2025 Q3

maybe we could talk a bit more about the comp building blocks. Maybe we talked a little bit about direct sales. Maybe we could touch on Alivet

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Kurt declined to detail 2026 comp building blocks, saying he shared what was appropriate at this stage. Reiterated AUR staying positive, transactions as core foundation. Strategic initiatives including Allivet will contribute but won't be key comp drivers yet.

Calendar 2025 Q1

First on sale leaseback. What was the benefit in Q2 or Q1 in any update on annual cadence. And then on new store productivity

Capital AllocationGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Sale-leaseback contributed $17M gain in Q1 flowing through SG&A. New store productivity at 62% on twelve-month rolling basis, right on target. Allivet contributing modestly below a point to net sales growth.

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
CMG company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

in any additional color on regions that you might be interested in down the road

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott confirmed Southeast Asia and Latin America as target regions, seeking established partners with track records of American brand success. Strong confidence in global potential.

Is the high 30% to low 40% incremental margins still the right way to think about this business?

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Adam confirmed 40% flow-through target intact. Second half has been ~20% due to portion investment; expects return to full flow-through as offsets materialize.

WSMWilliams-Sonoma2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
WSM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

what is the weighted average tariff rate today, and how has that changed over the last two quarters?

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jeff declined to disclose specific tariff rate, citing constant changes making quarterly updates impractical. Tariff costs embedded in inventory will flow through primarily in H1 FY2026. Laura added no material freight cost increase yet from geopolitical tensions. Not sailing Suez routes. No supply chain delays observed. Reasonable estimates embedded in guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Could we start with your take on broader category performance from Q2 to Q3 and whether you saw underlying improvement there?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Laura highlighted West Elm comp acceleration as exciting. Furniture improvement without housing recovery is a strong sign. Back-to-school and Halloween were strong seasonal categories. Too early to comment on holiday given call one week earlier than last year.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
HD The Home Depot, Inc.130%none of 13 questions
AZO AutoZone80%none of 8 questions
LOW Lowe's70%none of 7 questions
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive60%none of 6 questions
BBY Best Buy40%none of 4 questions
DPZ Domino's40%none of 4 questions
SBUX Starbucks30%none of 3 questions
TSCO Tractor Supply30%none of 3 questions
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
WSM Williams-Sonoma2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • HD
    The Home Depot, Inc. · 13 questions
    0%none of 13 questions
  • AZO
    AutoZone · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • LOW
    Lowe's · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • ORLY
    O'Reilly Automotive · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • BBY
    Best Buy · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • DPZ
    Domino's · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • SBUX
    Starbucks · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • TSCO
    Tractor Supply · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • WSM
    Williams-Sonoma · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q450%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q260%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q380%none of 8 questions5
2025 Q480%none of 8 questions5
2026 Q170%none of 7 questions4
2026 Q2100%none of 10 questions7
2026 Q320%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  4. 2025 Q38 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q48 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2026 Q17 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q210 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 7 companies
  8. 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand20
  • Macroeconomic12
  • Margin11
  • Competitive Dynamics11
  • Revenue Growth9
  • Pricing8
  • Trade Tariffs7
  • M&A5
  • Cost Pressure5
  • Capex Investment4
Show all 18 topics
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Product Launch1
  • Supply Chain1
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Labor Market1