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Analyst
Scot Ciccarelli
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).
- Questions
- 63on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 14%9 of 63 questions
- Companies
- 11questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 8with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 63 of 63 questions from 11 companies
GPCGenuine Parts Company10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 3 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you guys clarify your comments around financing fees being under review from your cost allocation slide?
Show response
Bert clarified the $50 million relates to the AR factoring program under capital-structure review, not a change to supply chain financing; direct.
Is there much of an impact at all on the Industrial side, or is that really focused on auto
Show response
Will and Bert quantified the Iran conflict as almost entirely an Automotive impact, a $16 million EBITDA hit, all but $1 million in Auto; direct.
Calendar 2026 Q1
What are you hearing just in terms of your conversations with your independents, given their appetite for inventory
Show response
Will described positive and optimistic tone from recent meeting with 20 largest U.S. owners. Alain Masse driving good alignment on business priorities. Exploring creative ways to support independent inventory investments. Partnership described as best in recent years. Independent sales outperformance encouraging.
any more detail around the profitability of your North American company-owned stores versus the independent biz?
Show response
Will declined specific profitability disclosure but confirmed compelling entitlement case from 2025 strategic review. Best-in-class company-owned stores already at entitlement level, need to get all stores there. Noted B2B business has different benchmarks than traditional retail. More detail at Investor Day.
Calendar 2025 Q4
can you give us an idea about the earnings contribution company-owned versus independents?
Show response
Bert deferred detailed breakdown to future Investor Day. Confirmed 65/35 store split with sales more 50/50. Both contributing to profit. Will highlighted operational improvements in company-owned stores with payroll efficiency at best-ever levels in Q4.
can you help us better understand the margin pressures on the North American auto business? A 14% EBITDA decline against pretty soft performance in the prior year
Show response
Bert attributed North America auto margin pressure to wage cost inflation, U.S. healthcare up $32M for the year ($20M above plan, high single-digit growth), rent, freight, and disproportionate IT investment flowing through SG&A as cloud migration shifts CapEx to OpEx. Core cost growth of 1.7% in Q4 excluding acquisitions and FX.
Calendar 2025 Q3
do we think that the independents have been losing market share? And like is there a way to potentially quantify that?
Show response
Will pushed back on share loss premise, noting independents are managing inventory mindfully rather than destocking. Partnership with independent owners described as good as it has been in some time. Inventory positions never healthier in aggregate.
Is there a point in your estimation where the independents have to start building back up their inventory levels from where they are currently?
Show response
Will acknowledged room for independents to carry more inventory. Bert anchored potential acceleration catalyst on interest rate relief, noting independent owners managing working capital tightly in current rate environment.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Can you guys just provide a bit more color on your expectations for same SKU inflation in the U.S. business?
Show response
Bert detailed inflation assumptions weighted slightly more to NAPA than industrial and more U.S. than international. SG&A inflation running 3-3.5%, creating approximately 100bp gap versus top-line benefit across all geographies. Emphasized declining profitability is not the objective and restructuring actions aim to bend the curve.
Calendar 2024 Q4
North American comp growth has slowed further, and it is lagging a bunch of the other industry leaders
Show response
Will acknowledged improving internal metrics but did not directly address the gap versus competitors, pivoting to forward-looking progress narrative.
AZOAutoZone9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 2 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
How are you thinking about or modeling the higher comp contribution that you should get from the new store acceleration
Show response
Jackson said newer stores comp higher near term but, at 236 domestic adds on a ~6,500-store base, they don't move the needle much; mature stores are still progressing.
have you made any changes to your domestic store opening plans for 2028, or was the whole change on Brazil?
Show response
Daniele confirmed the domestic ~300-store target holds; the FY2028 cut (500 to 430) came from slowing Brazil to focus on the US and Mexico.
Calendar 2026 Q2
what is the comp waterfall contribution today just so we can better understand how the go forward contribution might be
Show response
Jamere did not share a specific number but confirmed outsized comp contribution from accelerated new stores moving from 150 to 200+ domestically per year.
If same SKU inflation steps down by, call it, 250 or 300 basis points, in your fiscal fourth quarter
Show response
Jamere said the step-down is driven by lapping, not market change. Commercial transaction growth, share gains, and improving traffic trends provide comp support beyond inflation.
Calendar 2026 Q1
can you help quantify the sales lift you are seeing in stores in a market where you open a Mega Hub
Show response
Management declined to quantify but confirmed MegaHubs continue to exceed expectations. Four-wall performance still improving. Halo effect lifts entire satellite network. Target raised multiple times over years, now 300+ at full build-out.
why was DIY's low point the middle four weeks, if I wrote that down right? And commercial's low point was the last four weeks
Show response
Management explained middle four-week cold snap last year drove DIY batteries and cold weather product, creating tough DIY comp. Last four weeks' ice/snow closed commercial shops but helped DIY. Two-year comp basis was consistent.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Can you quantify for us the comp contribution from those stores? Like is it something that's big enough that we could see it from the outside
Show response
Management declined to quantify but confirmed broad-based growth across national accounts, regional accounts, and local shops.
Calendar 2024 Q4
There is a very large retailer out there that's become increasingly price competitive across a lot of product categories
Show response
Management dismissed mass retail threat as limited to batteries/oil categories, not the core hard parts business.
is the improvement you referenced just fully due to easier comparisons?
Show response
Management cited easier comps plus growth initiatives, inventory deployment, and speed/service improvements as drivers.
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
Are we to assume an incremental 60 basis points of pressure in 3q and 4Q
Show response
Richard framed the refund/cost dynamic as a Q2-Q3 timing item with Q4 gross margin about flat, and said housing turnover at historic lows shows little volatility from recent rate moves.
Calendar 2026 Q2
Is there a way to size up how much of your business is typically exposed to these bigger ticket projects?
Show response
Ted acknowledged they track transactions by ticket size and basket composition but declined to disclose the specific dollar exposure to large projects.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you update us on that most recent performance and where you have rolled it out?
Show response
Ted declined to update the $1B incremental figure but confirmed momentum building. Trade credit still early days with small single-digit thousands of accounts. On-time and complete delivery saw step change improvement.
Calendar 2025 Q2
the 17 markets where you had extra capabilities rolled out for the complex Pro. Can we get an update
Show response
Ted confirmed still at 17 markets with maturing sales teams, pricing, and delivery. Final IT build for order management and account management to be completed throughout 2025.
can you just comment on the expectations regarding SRS getting layered into the comp kind of mid 2Q
Show response
Richard explained SRS will enter total company comp mid-Q2 but not US comp. SRS delivered $2.6B in Q1 exceeding expectations and on track for mid-single-digit annual growth.
Calendar 2025 Q1
What what's the biggest sticking point as you roll this out? Is it building, especially, Salesforce?
Show response
Ann-Marie emphasized complexity of rolling out all capabilities in concert, delivery, sales force, order management, at the right speed to avoid failure points with new pro relationships.
a a billion dollars of incremental sales in the seventeen markets where you've started to build out complex pro capabilities. How do you actually measure that
Show response
Ann-Marie explained measurement as incremental outperformance of 17 initiative markets vs top 40 markets, with three more FPCs under construction.
Calendar 2024 Q4
can you guys give us an idea of the magnitude of difference in performance in the 17 markets where you rolled out incremental pro capabilities versus the rest of the base
Show response
high
is there a broader estimate for the weather impact in the quarter?
Show response
medium
COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
with 8 quarters in a row where the membership growth has slowed, what do you think it will take to reverse that
Show response
Gary framed current membership-growth rates as the new normal as younger digital members mature, citing executive penetration and Asia as future catalysts rather than a near-term reversal.
Calendar 2026 Q2
do you think Costco will ultimately need to build out your own 1P delivery
Show response
Ron said Costco is satisfied with third-party same-day partners (sub-45-minute US delivery) for now, citing the 2020 big-and-bulky acquisition, and will revisit if needed.
Calendar 2026 Q1
the last time you had this much cash on the balance sheet, you did pay out a special dividend. So is that something
Show response
Gary said capital priorities remain invest-in-business first, grow the regular dividend and buy back to offset dilution, acknowledged special dividend is the most efficient excess-cash return given valuation, but cautioned that matching the prior yield would require a larger payout and no plan can be shared today.
Calendar 2025 Q4
another question on warehouse expansion. What are your latest thoughts around long term warehouse potential
Show response
Gary said the 30+ new-warehouse annual goal holds over a 5-10 year planning horizon with roughly a 50/50 US vs international split, and Kirkland Signature is where they typically find the deepest price investment opportunities through supplier partnerships.
Calendar 2025 Q3
is it possible that we're seeing the delayed benefits of people affected by the membership sharing
Show response
Gary said the sharing-crackdown change has been flowing through for some time and nothing in the data points to renewed impact, while new executive benefits are driving upgrades and increased shopping frequency.
Calendar 2025 Q2
I think you guys have increased your EBIT margin on a year over year basis. Now by eight or maybe nine quarters in a row
Show response
Gary declined to extrapolate quarter-by-quarter but said over the long term COST still expects modest margin expansion as part of its member-value reinvestment philosophy.
Calendar 2025 Q1
if we get tariffs rolled into China, Mexico, Canada, would the strategy be more focused on, look, it is what it is
Show response
Ron said it will be a bit of both strategies and emphasized the SKU flexibility and strong supplier partnerships.
BBYBest Buy6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
You noted some of your newer products and form factors doubled in the quarter.
Show response
Jason said emerging categories (cards/collectibles, AI glasses, health rings) aggregate to about one point of comp and the team keeps leaning into vendor innovation like Meta spaces.
Calendar 2026 Q1
can you talk about what you saw in the fourth quarter in big screen TV sales
Show response
Jason said TV softness was industry-wide but BBY's positioning was good. Excited about RGB technology mid-year across all major suppliers as a driver. On glasses, AI glasses is a significant growth trend with strong Meta relationship; more products expected from new partners after CES buzz. Corie framed AI glasses as part of broader consumer AI hardware opportunity.
Calendar 2025 Q3
What's the split of your exposure today to China versus other countries?
Show response
Corie reiterated: US+Mexico ~25% (zero tariffs), China 30-35% (half at 30%, half at 20%), remaining ~40% from other countries at varying rates. Blended effective rate about 16% vs 12-13% last quarter, but actual cost increases flowing through are materially less than 16%.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Can you just help us better understand that? Like is that just a function of -- is it vendors moving product around for you?
Show response
Corie broke down COGS sourcing: China 30-35% (half at 30%, half at 20%), US+Mexico ~25% (zero tariffs under USMCA), remaining ~40% from Vietnam/India/South Korea/Taiwan at 10%. Key mitigations: vendor manufacturing flexibility, country diversification, volume consolidation, and assortment adjustments.
just a housekeeping item, how big was the tax settlement in the SG&A?
Show response
Matt confirmed the indirect tax settlement was at least $13 million, as it was the sole driver of the year-over-year domestic SG&A decrease.
Calendar 2024 Q4
is it possible to estimate how much of that was driven by the earlier start to Black Friday
Show response
Corie explained the team strategically started earlier with doorbusters and exciting offers targeting premium and innovative technology, acknowledging the promotional landscape.
DLTRDollar Tree5 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
We saw a decline in inventory levels. Was there something kind of unique about this quarter in terms of timing
Show response
Stewart described a conscious 12-month effort to reduce inventory and improve turns, quantifying the benefit at roughly $425 million.
can you help us understand the progress that you've already made on improving the store standards
Show response
Mike said substandard stores fell from 42% at Investor Day to less than one-third today, with progress accelerating as fewer stores remain.
Calendar 2025 Q4
should we just expect 4Q and next year to have a similar mix of traffic and ticket that we saw in 3Q?
Show response
Creedon compared favorably to break-the-dollar period, noting more strategic pricing approach this time but acknowledged uncertainty on traffic recovery timing. Glendinning pointed to Investor Day strategy organized to enhance both traffic and ticket.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you provide more color or maybe some examples of what you're seeing at the consumer level that's making it more challenging and volatile than before?
Show response
Creedon characterized caution as prudent given cumulative inflation impact on families and tariff uncertainty through November. Glendinning explained TSA shortfall from buyer needing fewer services, offset by other SG&A savings.
Calendar 2025 Q2
You seem to be talking about it as kind of a onetime-ish item, but still guiding the full year to the same net income
Show response
Glendinning gave nuanced response distinguishing temporary costs (store labor bubble) from ongoing tariff mitigation that provides enduring benefit. Honest framing of mix of both dynamics.
Show 5 more companies
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive5 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
We saw 5.5% SG&A per store growth, but labor is by far your highest SG&A item
Show response
Jeremy confirmed wage rates are primary driver, with trajectory improving. Flexibility in full-time/part-time mix and productivity gains from team investments are offsetting elevated rates.
Calendar 2025 Q4
if SG&A per store growth is expected to moderate in 2H, does that also imply that's kind of the exit rate and we should expect more normalized SG&A growth as we roll into '27?
Show response
Jeremy declined to comment on 2027 exit rate but noted the core day-to-day expense management feels good. The back-half moderation is partly a comparison dynamic against pressured H2 2025 rather than a signal of structural cost improvement.
Based on your history, how long could we see some of these expenses, like the health care that you mentioned, continue to run above historical levels?
Show response
Jeremy acknowledged the pressure has persisted longer than expected with a cautious posture for the first half of 2026 where comparisons are harder. Expects stabilization over time but declined to commit to a specific timeline for normalization.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Any notable differences in terms of geographic performance given some of the weather patterns that we've seen?
Show response
No material regional performance differences in Q3. First Brands is slightly over 3% of COGS with dual/triple/quadruple sourcing across DCs. Good engagement with new First Brands leadership and ability to backfill with competing suppliers.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Is there any difference on how you price or maybe even the timing between your DIY and commercial segment?
Show response
Jeremy noted the pricing process is category-by-category with different visibility on DIY versus professional, but the overall approach and outcomes are relatively consistent on both sides of the business.
DGDollar General4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
you had expected shrink and damage benefits to ease a bit this year, but I think they continue to outpace
Show response
Todd described a gainfully-employed but stretched core consumer; Donny said shrink is improving faster than planned.
Calendar 2026 Q2
What percent of your dollar mix today is value or the dollar or less price point at this stage
Show response
Todd did not quantify the dollar-mix percentage but framed Value Valley as 500 rotating SKUs within 2,000+ $1 SKUs and a meaningful comp contributor.
Calendar 2025 Q4
can you guys size the positive margin impact that the lower inventory levels have had on both markdown activity and shrink?
Show response
CEO declined to quantify but confirmed no need to rebuild inventory, with more categories to optimize in 2026+. Noted fill rates at highest levels in years while inventory declined 8.2% per store.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Today, we're seeing the opposite happen with traffic dropping in the last few quarters. Todd, why do you think that is playing out that way?
Show response
Vasos attributed traffic softening to lapping positive traffic comp from prior year. Noted ticket growth was encouraging as it came partly from discretionary areas. Expressed belief that the consumer has money to spend but is being very frugal about when and what she spends on.
LOWLowe's3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
is there any way to kind of size the amount of your exposure to those bigger projects
Show response
Brandon provided a clear breakdown: approximately 2/3 repair/maintenance and 1/3 discretionary, consistent with prior disclosures.
You had positive comps in 70% of your product categories, but the total comp for the quarter was 60 basis points
Show response
Brandon attributed the gap to ongoing DIY discretionary weakness, particularly big-ticket categories. Repair/maintenance and seasonal categories are positive while large discretionary projects remain depressed.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how much of that mix do you think that generally represents? I know just changes quarter-to-quarter, but kind of on an annualized basis?
Show response
Management cited mortgage rates around 7% and affordability as the primary constraint. Brandon noted they don't have an inflection baked into 2025 expectations.
TSCOTractor Supply3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
Contractors, comp transactions turn positive, if pet stays negative just given the frequency related to that category?
Show response
Kurt clarified that large animal feed is the biggest traffic driver, not pet. Pet is ~21% of Q2 sales vs 27-28% in Q1. Company can comp positive even with pet headwinds given strength in majority of categories and markets. Managing business on halves, not quarters.
Calendar 2025 Q3
when you guys look at next year and the OI margin expansion you referenced, is the potential on the 2% plus comp coming from SG and A leverage? Is it coming from growth?
Show response
Kurt said gross margin expansion momentum expected in 2026. Direct sales and Final Mile investments put 15-20bps pressure on 2025 operating margin but will self-fund in 2026. SG&A normalizes with less pressure, enabling leverage at low 2% comp.
Calendar 2025 Q2
can you just provide maybe your broader latest thoughts around the competitive environment? Because it's not just Amazon, right?
Show response
Hal noted multiple past entrants to farm and ranch have not disrupted TSCO. Competes against thousands of locations daily with track record of success. Legendary service and scale remain key differentiators.
WMTWalmart Inc.2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
can you help understand the total usage of 30 and 60 minutes deliveries, which I think are all fee generating
Show response
Guggina said fast delivery sales grew 50%+ YoY supported by adoption growth and higher AOV, with GM seeing highest share gains in 5 years. Hit 1 millionth drone delivery with 40% of total in Q1 alone, live in 66 locations across 4 states.
Calendar 2024 Q4
do you have a number for that this quarter? And then is it possible to rank the drivers between advertising membership
Show response
JDR said membership and advertising drove just over half of OI improvement and a bit under a third of total OI. Business is now 18% eCommerce, up 300 basis points year-over-year.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| GPC Genuine Parts Company | 10 | 30%3 of 10 questions |
| AZO AutoZone | 9 | 22%2 of 9 questions |
| HD The Home Depot, Inc. | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 7 | 14%1 of 7 questions |
| BBY Best Buy | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| DLTR Dollar Tree | 5 | 20%1 of 5 questions |
| ORLY O'Reilly Automotive | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| DG Dollar General | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| LOW Lowe's | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions |
| TSCO Tractor Supply | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
- GPCGenuine Parts Company · 10 questions30%3 of 10 questions
- AZOAutoZone · 9 questions22%2 of 9 questions
- HDThe Home Depot, Inc. · 9 questions0%none of 9 questions
- COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation · 7 questions14%1 of 7 questions
- BBYBest Buy · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- DLTRDollar Tree · 5 questions20%1 of 5 questions
- ORLYO'Reilly Automotive · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- DGDollar General · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- LOWLowe's · 3 questions33%1 of 3 questions
- TSCOTractor Supply · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 8 | 50%4 of 8 questions | 6 |
| 2025 Q1 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q2 | 11 | 9%1 of 11 questions | 9 |
| 2025 Q3 | 8 | 13%1 of 8 questions | 7 |
| 2025 Q4 | 7 | 14%1 of 7 questions | 5 |
| 2026 Q1 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 6 |
| 2026 Q2 | 12 | 8%1 of 12 questions | 8 |
| 2026 Q3 | 6 | 17%1 of 6 questions | 5 |
- 2024 Q48 questions · challenge rate 50% (4 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
- 2025 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q211 questions · challenge rate 9% (1 of 11 questions) · 9 companies
- 2025 Q38 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 7 companies
- 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 5 companies
- 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
- 2026 Q212 questions · challenge rate 8% (1 of 12 questions) · 8 companies
- 2026 Q36 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 5 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand23
- Competitive Dynamics20
- Margin15
- Revenue Growth13
- Pricing8
- Capex Investment6
- Cost Pressure6
- Trade Tariffs5
- Macroeconomic5
- Inventory5
Show all 20 topics
- Supply Chain4
- Geographic Expansion3
- Capital Allocation3
- Guidance Reliability3
- Subscriber Growth2
- Product Launch1
- Innovation & R&D1
- Credit1
- Labor Market1
- M&A1