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Analyst

Paul Lejuez

Citigroup · covers Consumer Cyclical, Consumer Defensive

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
48on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 48 questions
Companies
11questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 48 of 48 questions from 11 companies

TJXTJX Companies10 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
TJX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

on the small decline in transactions that you referenced, Ernie, on the Marmaxx side

Show response

Ernie attributed the transaction dip to missing mix items, not conversion or value competitiveness.

Calendar 2026 Q2

what is the profile of the new customer at each of the divisions?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Herrman confirmed disproportionate Gen Z and millennial new customer acquisition across all TJX brands, with income demographics balanced and skewing slightly higher than general population.

I'm curious what your plan in 1Q from a traffic versus ticket perspective?

Show response

Klinger declined to break out traffic vs ticket plans, stating it is not significantly important whether growth comes from extra trips or bigger baskets.

Calendar 2026 Q1

SG&A leverage came in a little bit lighter than I think what you guided to despite higher sales. So just curious if you could talk about the flow-through

Show response

John attributed SG&A shortfall vs guide entirely to incentive accrual. Basket drove more of the comp than transactions across all divisions. HomeGoods transactions flat in Q4 (up for full year) partly due to late January storms. Ernie emphasized balanced good-better-best mix drives both ticket and traffic without top-down retail mandate.

Calendar 2025 Q4

If it was mix that drove the basket. In terms of higher AUR, higher ticket. Or are you seeing true true price increases

Show response

John said price drove more of the basket increase than mix. Ernie confirmed selective pricing following competitor increases, with value perception scores extremely strong. Lower-income demographic slightly outperforming across majority of geographies but all income bands healthy. Not a long-term trend, just a nudge.

Calendar 2025 Q3

any more detail you could share, higher income, demos versus or lower income maybe just to build on that also, just regional differences

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Marketing campaigns targeted at broad demographics. New customer acquisition skews younger. Canadian border saw slight shift of Canadians shopping domestically rather than cross-border, but minimal total impact.

Calendar 2025 Q2

What percent of your product currently is direct-sourced by you? And how might that change, if at all, in response to the current environment

Supply ChainDemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Direct sourcing is less than 10% and won't change materially. Income demographics showed strong sales across all bands, leaning slightly toward lower-income. TJX is pulling back upfront buying to buy more hand-to-mouth.

Calendar 2025 Q1

If you can talk about what drove the stronger performance in Canada and international

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ernie attributed strength to tactical flow execution, gift category depth, good-better-best balance, and healthy home businesses in both regions.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I'm curious if you can talk about whether your view of the consumer has changed versus the last time we heard from you

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

John confirmed no change in consumer view. Ernie added bullishness on the home category, noting it has been strengthening over the last few quarters beyond just Q2 to Q3.

if you can just talk at a high level, about how you're thinking on margin expansion opportunities or challenges in 2025

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

John declined to provide FY26 guidance but reiterated the long-term algorithm: on a 3-4% comp with no outsized expense increases, flat to up 10bp pre-tax margin. Emphasized top-line growth as the biggest lever.

LULULululemon Athletica7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
LULU company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

if you think you've got a traffic problem that can be solved by increased marketing

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Asked whether the shortfall is a traffic problem (marketing-fixable) or a product problem; Frank said predominantly traffic pressure plus negative but non-worsening conversion.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm just curious if we should read that as you guys being happy with full-price selling in the Rest of World and China

Geographic ExpansionMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Meghan confirmed full-price selling remains healthy internationally with no North America-like headwinds. Andre described international model built on premium brand-first positioning, minimal discounting, and community grassroots approach driving full-price focus.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Curious if you could talk a little bit more about the China business, what you saw in e-comm performance versus stores

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Calvin described strong China performance driven by 11/11 platform activations where LULU showed up with least discounting. Outerwear including Wunder Puff and Featherweight performing well. Gaining share across all tier cities including Tier 2 and 3.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you maybe talk about the gross pressure from the reciprocal tariffs as well as the de minimis on an annualized basis?

Trade TariffsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Meghan quantified 2026 mitigated impact at $320 million with about half offset through expense actions and the balance through pricing (larger) and vendor negotiations. Pricing actions isolated to the U.S.

Calendar 2025 Q2

You maybe give a little bit more detail about inventory by geography?

Show response

Meghan placed potential markdown pressure predominantly in the U.S. based on traffic trends. Calvin noted anticipation of intensifying promotional activity from competitors in H2 if macro headwinds continue.

Calendar 2025 Q1

can you talk about what you saw in the other regions, including Canada, including China, international

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Meghan confirmed traffic softness is U.S.-specific with no material change in Canada or international. Lunar New Year timing shift creates a small Q1 headwind for China.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I think you mentioned e-com in the U.S. was still positive. Stores, you said, were lower. Can you talk about that e-com versus store dynamic in your other key regions?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

Frank confirmed positive traffic in both channels in Rest of World but did not break down by specific region. McDonald characterized promotional intensity as not materially higher year-over-year overall, though pockets vary by brand. Emphasized lululemon continues to operate as a non-promotional markdown-only regular-price business unlike others in the space.

DECKDeckers Brands6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
DECK company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I just wanted one clarification on the tariff pressure in the first quarter.

Trade TariffsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Stefano cited robust European demand despite a more pressured consumer; Steve confirmed Q1 was the biggest tariff headwind of the four quarters.

Calendar 2026 Q1

if you could talk about your HOKA order books. And your visibility for the brand to grow significantly in wholesale?

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Stefano highlighted strong order book driven by innovation across road and trail. Noted clear design distinction between max/glide and speed/fly silos. Lifestyle seeing green shoots with Mafate SP 2 and Bondi 7.

Is there any way to quantify the order book that you are seeing and or maybe sell throughs at retail that might be an indication of future orders?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Steven declined to share specific order book numbers but pointed to gross margin and inventory levels as strong indicators of brand health and sell-through performance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I think last quarter, you had some cautionary comments about the U.S. consumer. Just curious about your outlook for the consumer

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

CEO distinguished between economy caution and brand confidence. Brands performed well during holiday season, increasing optimism for FY2027. CFO noted if consumer shows up, brands are positioned to capture demand, which is exactly what happened in Q3.

if you can talk about sell-through by channel, specialty running, sporting goods, athletic specialty, what you saw this quarter

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

CEO confirmed sell-through outpacing sell-in across all channels. Performance product outperforming lifestyle in athletic specialty. HOKA is #2 brand in doors it's in at one of the 2 leading athletic specialty retailers for December. Brand performing well across all channels and markets.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how many stores do you have -- new stores on the HOKA front do you have in the pipeline for '26 and on what base is that

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO declined to disclose door counts or specialty channel mix but confirmed Shanghai flagship opening May 7 and continued partner store expansion in Asia. CFO noted wholesale door expansion slowing in FY26 vs FY25.

ROSTRoss Stores6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
ROST company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

if there is any way you can quantify for us the number of new customers that you are seeing

DemandSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Jim declined to quantify, framing the comp as mostly transactions split across new, returning, and more-frequent existing customers.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Did you say anything about the monthly cadence? Curious if you could share anything on that front. Home versus apparel, and specifically, not just performance, home versus apparel, but AURs

Show response

Hartshorn confirmed very consistent trends throughout Q3 driven by strong back-to-school that held. Traffic/transactions the biggest comp driver. Sales broad-based across income levels with no significant demographic shifts.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Curious if you could talk a little bit more about your transactions versus ticket, how that changed during the quarter

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Hartshorn confirmed comp driven by mix of traffic and basket, with basket from both AUR and UPT increases. Conroy said closeout availability is super strong.

Calendar 2025 Q1

go deeper into state performance or regional performance in 4Q and in which regions or states drove the slowdown

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Hartshorn acknowledged Hispanic customer overindex and said initial shock of policy actions could dissipate over time. California and Florida were in-line with chain.

how are you thinking about traffic versus transactions? And maybe just, again back to the slowdown, is that a transaction or average ticket sort of slowdown

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Hartshorn confirmed recent softness is traffic-driven, pointing to external macro factors rather than value proposition issues.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Curious if the recognizable brands and how quick you can fix those issues. And, Adam, any quantification of that shrink benefit?

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

high

DLTRDollar Tree5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
DLTR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you talk about inventory in units compared to that dollar number that you reported? Also what the plan is for F '26?

InventoryCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Glendinning confirmed units down even more than dollars due to multi-price mix, noting positive labor implications from fewer units handled. On shrink, characterized FY2026 as the year to start flattening shrink results. Continued aggressive inventory management expected.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Curious what you saw Thanksgiving week and weekend. And then that 85% number I think you're talking in terms of units

Revenue GrowthDemandPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Creedon clarified 85% metric is on sales dollars not units. On Q4 start, confirmed one period in within the 4-6% guide and feeling good about holiday setup.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you talk about the drivers of the higher ticket between AUR and UPT, maybe any more detail you gave about AUR and discretionary versus consumables?

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Creedon highlighted positive unit growth despite pricing actions as validation of value proposition. Noted unit performance exceeded internal expectations.

Calendar 2025 Q2

can you maybe talk about what's happening at the $1.50 price point, and to what extent will that be used as part of the go-forward plan to offset some of these tariffs?

Show response

Creedon framed pricing as strategic and customer-driven rather than a wholesale price-point shift, noting AUR still $1.35 with 85% under $2. Higher-income customers responding to expanded multi-price assortment.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I think you already started to take some prices I'm curious if that was driven by the tariffs, that was what was driving that decision?

PricingTrade TariffsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Creedon framed price actions as response to broader inflationary environment rather than tariffs alone, citing prayer candles as an example of targeted strategic pricing. Confirmed clean deal with no lease guarantees on Family Dollar stores.

WMTWalmart Inc.4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
WMT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

the OpEx growth in the U.S. was up 7%. Were there any timing shifts that impacted that?

Cost PressureMarginCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Furner addressed traffic and unit growth on the comp, and Rainey attributed higher SG&A to depreciation from supply-chain CapEx plus group-health and claims self-insurance costs.

Calendar 2026 Q2

I'm curious if you're already seeing signs of that happening in terms of price competitiveness in the U.S. market

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Furner emphasized 33 years of competitive pricing experience, 7,000+ rollbacks as an acceleration. Rainey on tariffs was brief: merchants generally assuming the same environment as currently in place.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Any early signs based on price increases that you've taken

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rainey said elasticity differs by category with electronics toys and seasonal more pronounced seeing high single-digit AUR increases and units in flattish range. Other parts of basket had less tariff pressure and merchants mixed out baskets to minimize consumer impact. Furner said on marketplace still in $500 million items or north of range fluctuating. Focused on using AI to find assortment gaps and ensure customers can get entire basket. Nicholas added great innovation important alongside price for growth in general merchandise and higher AUR items.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what finally got you over the hump

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rainey said US profitable Sam's profitable international slightly unprofitable but combined profitable. Key drivers include densification spreading deliveries over more households and delivery cost reduction from supply chain infrastructure. Over one-third of customers paying for expedited delivery with uptick continuing. Furner added decade of investments in single app fulfillment centers and store omni enablement. Sub-three-hour deliveries up 91%. Business mix with advertising and data businesses contributed to milestone.

Show 5 more companies
KRKroger3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
KR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

if you could share the magnitude of that impact in one Q, and the impact that had on eCom profitability

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Asked on Paul Lejuez's line, David quantified the freight/diesel hit at about 15bps of gross margin (gross margin would have been slightly positive without it) and said eComm still turned profitable on record-low cost to serve.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Curious if you could talk about performance by your different income segments where you're seeing stronger versus weaker results. Also, if there are any callouts regionally.

DemandMacroeconomicPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ron detailed divergent behavior: low/middle income deal-seeking with private label shift; higher income still spending on premium but also value-conscious. Both reducing discretionary spend. No significant regional differences. Inflation expected within 1.5-2.5% range.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you talk a little bit more about the Our Brands portfolio, the growth you saw in that segment of the business versus the rest of the store and how the gap between the 2 are trending?

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ron expressed strong optimism about Our Brands as differentiator with quality, value, and innovation. Referenced Simple Truth protein line as example. No significant regional differences noted.

DGDollar General2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
DG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I am curious where you think your customer is coming from And then would love to hear you talk a little bit more

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Todd said trade-in comes mainly from drug and grocery channels and from $100k+ households, while the core customer shops more often with smaller baskets.

Calendar 2024 Q4

when you do a remodel, how much of that expected comp lift is traffic versus conversion versus ticket?

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

Vasos explained remodel comp lifts are initially ticket-driven from improved assortment, with traffic building over time through word of mouth. Dilts confirmed SG&A leverage point remains at historical 2-4% comp level and noted shrink could be a big contributor to gross margin in 2025.

RLRalph Lauren Corporation2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
RL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

I am curious what kind of activations you are most excited about for this upcoming year, how that differs by region

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Patrice declined to single out one activation, emphasizing rolling thunder approach across fashion shows, sports (Wimbledon, US Open), 50th Japan anniversary, and 60th brand anniversary. Confirmed not a World Cup sponsor but will activate in stores.

I was just curious on the margin expansion guidance. How much of that is simply regional mix

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Justin confirmed all 3 regions will contribute to operating margin expansion in FY27, with opportunity from durable AUR growth and SG&A expense leverage as fixed investments scale.

TGTTarget Corporation2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
TGT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you talk about how digital versus stores would look around that -- relative to that guidance also by category, which will be the leaders, which are likely to be the laggards

Revenue GrowthCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Fiddelke declines to break out digital vs store guidance, framing it as a consumer-centric omnichannel view. Expects digital growth to continue but betting on stores too. Jim reiterates capital follows strong returns, new stores, remodels, and technology all earn investment.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Which categories do you expect to be above? Which ones you expect to be below?

Revenue GrowthDemandPricingTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Rick declines to break out specific category guidance, noting frequency businesses should deliver single-digit growth while discretionary is planned conservatively.

NKENIKE, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
NKE company page →

Calendar 2024 Q3

Can you talk about how far that business has fallen from peak to trough? How much do you think you have to regain

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Friend acknowledged NIKE lost Running-specialty share after pulling back 4+ years ago and cited rebuilding momentum, but declined to break out Q2 gross-margin pressure by region, calling it broad-based.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
TJX TJX Companies100%none of 10 questions
LULU Lululemon Athletica70%none of 7 questions
DECK Deckers Brands60%none of 6 questions
ROST Ross Stores60%none of 6 questions
DLTR Dollar Tree50%none of 5 questions
WMT Walmart Inc.40%none of 4 questions
KR Kroger30%none of 3 questions
DG Dollar General2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
TGT Target Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • TJX
    TJX Companies · 10 questions
    0%none of 10 questions
  • LULU
    Lululemon Athletica · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • DECK
    Deckers Brands · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • ROST
    Ross Stores · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • DLTR
    Dollar Tree · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • WMT
    Walmart Inc. · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • KR
    Kroger · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • DG
    Dollar General · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • RL
    Ralph Lauren Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • TGT
    Target Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
Show all 11 companies
CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
NKE NIKE, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • NKE
    NIKE, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions5
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions5
2025 Q250%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q350%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q470%none of 7 questions6
2026 Q180%none of 8 questions6
2026 Q260%none of 6 questions5
2026 Q340%none of 4 questions4
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  7. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  8. 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  9. 2026 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand26
  • Pricing12
  • Margin11
  • Competitive Dynamics11
  • Revenue Growth9
  • Geographic Expansion8
  • Trade Tariffs5
  • Macroeconomic5
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Capex Investment3
Show all 15 topics
  • Product Launch3
  • Supply Chain2
  • Inventory2
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Guidance Reliability1