Sentiment · FY2026 Q1
What companies say about each other on earnings calls — extracted verbatim from public transcripts. Mentions from the newest quarter are a Pro feature.
“There certainly have been some long-term secular gainers as well, progressive being one of them.”
Copart cites Progressive as a long-term secular share gainer among auto insurers; because Progressive routes salvage elsewhere, its share gains are a headwind to Copart's insurance volumes — a positive read-through on Progressive's market-share trajectory.
“you're seeing obviously Progressive continuing to take share.”
An analyst notes Progressive continuing to gain auto-insurance market share; management affirms more aggressive carrier behavior, a share read-through for PGR among Copart's insurance clients.
“Progressive, as you know, well has been growing rapidly.”
Allstate names Progressive as one of its three most aggressive auto competitors and notes it has been growing rapidly, a positive read-through on Progressive's share momentum.
“you're missing some of the best product, Progressive Direct or so on and so forth”
EverQuote cites Progressive Direct as an example of a carrier whose best rates stay off comparison sites, underscoring carriers' protectiveness of direct rates.
“Yesterday, Progressive gave us a little unpleasant news about their poor charge.”
An analyst references a Florida excess-profit charge disclosed by competitor Progressive, probing whether Travelers has similar exposure; Travelers says it does not expect to owe such a return.
“Progressive is a really strong competitor in auto. They have great capabilities. I expect them to stay strong in auto.”
Allstate's CEO characterizes Progressive as a strong, well-capable auto-insurance competitor expected to remain strong, a positive read-through for Progressive's competitive position.
“Over time, they -- progressive kept driving up their spending. And so we get to 2019, and we're like -- you know what, like we could keep pouring money at Esurance, and we're never going to have the brand Allstate has.”
Allstate cites Progressive's continually rising direct-channel ad spend as a key reason it retired the Esurance brand in favor of investing directly in the Allstate brand for direct sales.
“I think Progressive had a call this morning and very aggressively reminded everybody of that, and we're competing in the same markets.”
Kemper's CEO cites Progressive's own commentary on market normalization as corroborating evidence that the broader auto insurance hard market is softening, implying moderating growth for competitors like Progressive as pricing discipline erodes across the industry.
“You don't have to look further than progressive to see this play out over numerous market cycles in the broader standard and preferred auto market.”
Kemper's CEO cites Progressive as the archetype for how carriers with pricing/underwriting advantages outperform through hard-market auto insurance cycles, positioning Kemper as following a similar playbook.
“Well, you're you're talking well, the auto market has obviously been competitive. And both Progressive, GEICO, State Farm, the big carriers that we compete with all the time have been out in the market and competitive this year.”
Allstate names Progressive as one of the major auto insurance competitors that has been active and competitive in the market in 2024.
“We are not going to compete head on with a GEICO or Progressive or State Farm on ad spend and hope to outplay them at the game that they play so very, very well.”
Lemonade's CEO explicitly frames Progressive as an ad-spend incumbent in car insurance that Lemonade will avoid competing with head-on, instead differentiating on telematics and cross-sell.
“We bought protective insurance to kind of expand our fleet.”
Progressive referenced its acquisition of Protective Insurance as part of its Horizon 2 commercial-lines/fleet expansion strategy.
“we've seen companies like Waymo that seem to be leading in the commercialization of autonomous vehicles. But over the past decade, it appears that Waymo has about 200 million AV miles, which is a very small fraction of overall VMTs.”
Progressive cited Waymo (Alphabet) as the leader in AV commercialization but noted its ~200M cumulative AV miles remain a tiny fraction of total U.S. vehicle miles, supporting its view that autonomy adoption will be gradual.
“In Progressive loss experience, we see that Tesla Model 3s have higher loss costs than similar EVs. This is due both to higher frequency and higher severity.”
Progressive's loss data show Tesla Model 3s carry higher loss costs (frequency and severity) than similar EVs, and it noted pilot insurance programs for Tesla FSD, relevant to autonomous-driving insurance dynamics.
“when you compare like the Waymo cars in Austin, and we look at our relationships with TNC, we've not seen too much of a change and the changes there with pretty heavy Waymo use has not muted TNC miles.”
Progressive monitors Alphabet's Waymo robotaxi deployment in Austin and reports it has not yet reduced rideshare (TNC) miles, gauging autonomous-vehicle risk to auto insurance.
“I'm looking at the Travelers numbers and the Allstate numbers and Hartford's and I have some guesses around GEICO's numbers looking at what they've done. And it doesn't seem like they're growing very quickly”
An analyst estimates GEICO's growth also looks slow, reinforcing a view that large auto insurers are decelerating while Progressive still gains share.
“I'm looking at the Travelers numbers and the Allstate numbers and Hartford's and I have some guesses around GEICO's numbers looking at what they've done. And it doesn't seem like they're growing very quickly”
An analyst cites Hartford among peers that do not seem to be growing quickly, sizing up the competitive auto-insurance landscape versus Progressive.
“I'm looking at the Travelers numbers and the Allstate numbers and Hartford's and I have some guesses around GEICO's numbers looking at what they've done. And it doesn't seem like they're growing very quickly”
An analyst notes Allstate's policy count does not appear to be growing quickly, part of a broader read on decelerating growth across large auto insurers.
“I'm looking at the Travelers numbers and the Allstate numbers and Hartford's and I have some guesses around GEICO's numbers looking at what they've done. And it doesn't seem like they're growing very quickly”
An analyst observes that Travelers and other major auto insurers do not appear to be growing quickly, framing where Personal Auto policy churn may be flowing.
| Analyst | Firm | Questions (Challenge)Percentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets | 11 (27%) |
| Dave Motemaden | Evercore ISI | 9 (22%) |
| Josh Shanker | Bank of America | 8 (25%) |
| Elyse Greenspan | Wells Fargo | 7 (0%) |
| Greg Peters | Raymond James | 6 (0%) |
| Jian Huang | Morgan Stanley | 6 (17%) |
| Jim Bhullar | JPMorgan | 5 (40%) |
| Rob Cox | Goldman Sachs | 5 (0%) |
| Tracy Benguigui | Wolfe Research | 4 (0%) |
| Katie Sakys | Autonomous Research | 4 (0%) |
| Firm | Analysts | Questions (Challenge)Percentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | 2 | 11 (18%) |
| BMO Capital Markets | 1 | 11 (27%) |
| Morgan Stanley | 2 | 8 (13%) |
| Bank of America |
| 1 |
| 8 (25%) |
| Wells Fargo | 1 | 7 (0%) |
| Raymond James | 1 | 6 (0%) |
| Goldman Sachs | 1 | 5 (0%) |
| JPMorgan | 1 | 5 (40%) |
Progressive closed 2025 having added almost $9 billion in net premiums written and 3.7 million additional policies in force, achieving a comprehensive return on equity of 40%. A $13.50 variable dividend was declared, reflecting 3.5:1 operating leverage. The $95 billion investment portfolio returned 7.33% with higher duration positioning. A CFO succession was announced. AI strategy experiments were launched. The Florida policyholder credit accrual reached $1.2 billion, and customer affordability actions saved policyholders $1.5 billion.
Pricing | Demand | Margin | Competitive Dynamics | Capital Allocation | Innovation & R&D | Revenue Growth | Product Launch | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024Q4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025Q1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2025Q2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| 2025Q3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 2025Q4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2026Q1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| '24Q4 | '25Q1 | '25Q2 | '25Q3 | '25Q4 | '26Q1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pricing | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Demand | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Margin | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Competitive Dynamics | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Capital Allocation | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | |
| Innovation & R&D | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | |
| Revenue Growth | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Product Launch | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Company | Score | Trend | Rev YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
PGR Progressive Corporation | 7 | +8.7% | |
| ALL Allstate | 7 | +4.2% | |
| CB Chubb Limited | 7 | +9.5% | |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial | 7 | +11.6% | |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity | 6 | +2.3% | |
| KMPR Kemper Corporation | 2 | -6.8% | |
| L Loews Corporation | 5 | +2.6% | |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | 9 | +55.0% | |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | 8 | +10.5% | |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | 8 | +12.6% | |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 5 | +1.0% | |
| WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 6 | +4.0% |