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Sentiment · FY2025 Q4
| Analyst | Firm | Questions (Challenge)Percentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|
| Neil Mehta | Goldman Sachs | 8 (13%) |
| Arun Jayaram | JPMorgan | 8 (0%) |
| David Deckelbaum | TD Cowen | 8 (0%) |
| Kalei Akamine | Bank of America | 8 (13%) |
| Scott Gruber | Citigroup | 8 (13%) |
| Matt Portillo | Tudor, Pickering, Holt | 8 (0%) |
| Derrick Whitfield | Texas Capital Securities | 8 (0%) |
| Betty Jiang | Barclays | 6 (17%) |
| Nitin Kumar | Mizuho Securities | 6 (0%) |
| Doug Leggate | Wolfe Research | 5 (40%) |
| Firm | Analysts | Questions (Challenge)Percentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | 1 | 8 (0%) |
| Bank of America | 1 | 8 (13%) |
| Tudor, Pickering, Holt | 1 | 8 (0%) |
| Citigroup | 1 |
| Quarter | Revenue | Rev YoY | EPS | EPS YoY | Op margin | Net margin | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 Q4 | $1.45B | -3.3% | $0.40 | -27.3% | 26.1% | 20.5% | $190M |
| FY2025 Q1 | $2.02B | +40.7% | $0.68 | +44.7% | 40.4% | 25.6% | $635M |
| FY2025 Q2 | $1.73B | +34.7% | $0.67 | +131.0% | 27.2% |
| 8 (13%) |
| Goldman Sachs | 1 | 8 (13%) |
| JPMorgan | 1 | 8 (0%) |
| Texas Capital Securities | 1 | 8 (0%) |
| Wolfe Research | 2 | 7 (29%) |
| 29.5% |
| $296M |
| FY2025 Q3 | $1.82B | +40.3% | $0.42 | +23.5% | 25.9% | 17.7% | $327M |
| FY2025 Q4 | $1.79B | +23.8% | $0.48 | +20.0% | 22.5% | 20.6% | $376M |
| FY2026 Q1 | $1.95B | -3.4% | $0.61 | -10.3% | 33.2% | 23.9% | $991M |
Management’s own words, often on a non-GAAP, constant-currency, or adjusted basis — so these can differ from the GAAP figures above (e.g. constant-currency revenue growth excludes currency swings).
Coterra delivered Q3 with oil, gas, and BOE all approximately 2.5% above midpoint while NGL production hit an all-time high, generating $533 million in free cash flow on $1.7 billion of pre-hedge revenue with 57% from oil. The company raised annual BOE guidance to 777 MBOE/day and gas to 2.95 Bcf/day, both 5-6% above initial February guidance, while capital held at approximately $2.3 billion. Franklin Mountain and Avant integration is complete with 10% well cost reduction, 15% projected LOE savings, and 10% more inventory than acquisition underwriting, while up to 3 microgrids are planned targeting 50% power cost reduction. Total term loan repayments reached $600 million through Q3 with share buyback reinitiated in October, and the company provided a 2026 soft guide showing capital modestly down year-over-year while maintaining the three-year outlook ranges.
Capex Investment | Pricing | Capital Allocation | Competitive Dynamics | Guidance Reliability | M&A | Cost Pressure | Demand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024Q4 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 2025Q1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2025Q2 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025Q3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| '24Q4 | '25Q1 | '25Q2 | '25Q3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capex Investment | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| Pricing | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 |
| Capital Allocation | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Competitive Dynamics | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Guidance Reliability | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| M&A | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Cost Pressure | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Demand | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Company | Score | Trend | Rev YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
CTRA Coterra | 9 | +40.3% | |
| APA APA Corporation | 4 | -16.4% | |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 9 | +15.2% | |
| DVN Devon Energy | 4 | +3.0% | |
| EOG EOG Resources | 7 | -2.3% | |
| EQT EQT Corporation | 9 | +49.8% | |
| EXE Expand Energy | 6 | +359.1% | |
| FANG Diamondback Energy | 6 | +48.9% | |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum | 6 | -6.5% | |
| TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 8 | +17.0% |